Wednesday, November 07, 2018

Some Good News The Morning After

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Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez beat Joe Crowley again last night

The NY Times defines what happened as a wave. It didn't feel like a wave to me last night-- not with Beto, @IronStache, Andrew Gillum and Stacey Abrams losing-- not to mention all those Senate races. But the Democrats did take back the House-- pretty substantially, and appear to have defeated Putin's favorite congressman, Dana Rohrabacher. The Senate is very bad news. Although Jacky Rosen beat Dean Heller in Nevada, Kyrsten Sinema appears to have lost to Martha McSally in Arizona. Marsha Blackburn defeated Phil Bredesen in Tennessee and, tragically, Beto O'Rourke lost to Ted Cruz in Texas. Democrats also lost Senate seats in Missouri (Claire McCaskill), Florida (Bill Nelson) and Indiana (Joe Donnelly) and Jon Tester may have lost in Montana; still too close to call-- with 83.4% of precincts counted, Matt Rosedale is leading narrowly-- 48.9% to 48.2%. Sorry... this was meant to be a good news post.




So far, though, Democrats have managed to flip several state legislatures-- both Houses in New Hampshire as well as the state senates in New York, Connecticut (which had been tied), Colorado, Maine and Minnesota. So, preliminary numbers show that of the 900 state legislative seats, the Democrats lost during the Obama years, about a third of them were won back last night. Unlike the DSCC and the DCCC, both of which failed again, the DLCC did very well and deserve to be congratulated.

Voters in Idaho, Nebraska and Utah voted Republican for virtually all the offices they could-- with the likely exception of Utah's 4th district where Blue Dog Ben McAdams leads Republican incumbent Mia Love 93,994 (51.3%) to 89,280 (48.7%) this morning with 68.4% of the vote counted. BUT voters in all 3 states approved propositions to expand Medicaid (under ObamaCare) that there legislatures had refused to do. That brings the total to 36 states who have opted to bring low-cost, quality healthcare to individuals who can't afford expensive healthcare.

USA Today reported this morning that "Florida voted overwhelmingly Tuesday to restore voting rights to an estimated 1.5 million former felons, including roughly 500,000 African-Americans" and that Michigan Utah and Missouri legalized marijuana.

Democrats, though losing crucial governors races in Florida and Ohio, as well as in Iowa, took 7 gubernatorial mansions away from the Republicans: Kansas (Kobach gone), Wisconsin (Scott Walker gone), Nevada, Illinois, Michigan, New Mexico and Maine.

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5 Comments:

At 6:27 AM, Blogger leu2500 said...

The silver lining is that the Democratic “moderates”, “centrists”, pick your term are dead.

Take Claire: she loses by around 6 points. At the same time as the voters in MO (1) vote for a minimum wage increase and (2) vote to legalize medical marijuana.

It takes a special kind of genius to do that and lose to one of the guys suing to end Obamacare. Maybe Missourians wanted a “crazy democrat” after all.

 
At 7:01 AM, Anonymous ap215 said...

My thoughts first off congrats to Congresswoman-Elect Alexandria Ocasio Cortez, i'm stunned Max Rose won the only GOP stronghold Staten Island over Dan Donovan, very surprised the Dems won the governor's race in Kansas bye bye corrupt cons Kris Kobach & Scott Walker, very disappointed we lost the Governorships in OH & FLA huge blows, i'll check out later the state legislatures but sounds like the Dems did very well & finally RIP the IDC last year they held the NYS Senate 41-22 but this year 39-23 Democratic Majority it sucks to be them.

 
At 7:14 AM, Anonymous Anonymous said...

This was but the first battle in what will prove to be a long and ugly war.

 
At 8:09 AM, Anonymous Anonymous said...

We won't know for years if this result was good enough. In terms of a wave, this was a historically large one in terms of raw votes with Dems maintaining a 9% edge nationally. In terms of statewide races -- particularly the Senate this is a disaster in the short-run, and missing out on the FL Gov race will make the lift a heavier in 2020. But winning the House was critical -- it looks like a gain of about 35 seats. The Dems won critical gubernatorial races in Wisconsin and Michigan which are key components of the 2020 cycle. In terms of state races and ballot initiatives the Dems did very well. In Texas, Beto's coattails carried at least two House seats and nearly others. The Dem success in state races, will likely moderate the politics of the state in the short-term.

 
At 11:23 AM, Blogger DownWithTyranny said...

Leu, I wish you were right about the Republican wing of the Democratic Party being dead but I have to disagree. They did extremely well, primarily because the DCCC backed them with massive amounts of money while ignoring progressives.

 

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