Tuesday, November 06, 2018

Will The Big Self-Funders Win Today?

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Many of the most egregious self-funders this cycle lost their primaries, like Democrats Herbert Lee (CA- $1,057,942), Alison Friedman (VA- $1,080,365), Hans Keirstead (CA- $1,080,400), David Kim (GA- $1,164,689), Jerome Segal (MD- $1,271,189), Tahir Javed (TX- $1,333,416), Sara Jacobs (CA- $2,117,987), Andy Thorburn (CA- $2,832,018) and Paul Kerr (CA- $5,912,728), as well as Republicans Troy Downing (MT- $1,100,000), Peter deNeufville (NJ- $1,238,165), Bob Corlew (TN- $1,496,153), David Dodson (WY- $1,643,784), Mike Gibbons (OH- $2,690,226), George Flinn Jr. (TN- $3,068,270), Don Blankenship (WV- $4,107,710), Sandy Pensler (MI- $5,009,578), John Kingston (MA- $5,188,265), and Kathaleen Wall (TX- $6,169,732).

Don't you love to see plutocrats waste millions of their own dollars on campaigns and fall flat on their faces. Today there are 18 candidates running who have already spent at least a million dollars of their own on their campaigns. Some will win and some will lose. Here are the ones still in the running, in order of how much they had put in by last month.


Florida Senate- Rick Scott (R)- $51,028,228 (45%) WON
New Jersey Senate- Bob Hugin (R)- $27,500,000 (30%) LOST
MD-06- David Trone (D)- $15,983,172 (100%) WON
PA-01- Scott Wallace (D)- $12,756,892 (55%) LOST
Indiana Senate- Mike Braun (R)- $9,614,377 (49%) WON
CA-39- Gil Cisernos (D)- $8,852,762 (60%) LOST
Tennessee Senate- Phil Bredesen (D)- $5,516,942 (50%) LOST
California Senate- Dianne Feinstein (D)- $5,006,050 (90%) WON
Massachusetts Senate- Shiva Ayyadurai (I)- $4,805,464 (1%) LOST
Ohio Senate- Jim Renacci (R)- $4,000,000 (25%) LOST
IN-02- Mel Hall (Blue Dog)- $2,522,000 (10%) LOST
TX-03- Van Taylor (R)- $2,136,908 (99%) WON
NY-01- Perry Gershon (D)- $1,843,746 (25%) LOST
PA-08- John Chrin (R)- $1,622,762 (10%) LOST
Minnesota Senate- Jerry Trooien (I)- $1,591,000 (1%) LOST
NJ-03- Thomas MacArthur (R)- $1,400,000 (45%) ?
PA-09- Dan Meuser (R)- $1,161,442 (99%) WON
CA-48- Harley Rouda (D)- $1,138,955 (60%) WON
That percentage next to each name is my own handicapping-- not the actual scores, but the chance the candidate has to win for all that money. We'll see later how many candidates have been able to buy seats in Congress.

[NOTE: As you can see, I've updated the list to show who won and who lost. NJ-03 is too close to call right now, although MacArthur is leading narrowly.]

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