Tuesday, February 27, 2018

Bryan Caforio Is Too Negative And Too Desperate To Be Trusted With The CA-25 Democratic Nomination Again

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Katie Hill was endorsed by Judy Chu, one of the most fiercely progressive members of Congress

CA-25 has gradually gone from a deep red district to a blue district. In 2016 everyone though a Democrat would finally take over the congressional seat from a weak and extremist Republican incumbent, Steve Knight. A decade ago when Blue America was helping a parade of good Democrats, like Robert Rodriguez and then Lee Rogers battle Buck McKeon, in a humongous district that was basically most of what is now CA-25 plus most of what is now CA-08, the PVI was R+7. Today it stands at an even district. It should have been an easy win last cycle-- except that the Democrats had an absolutely terrible candidate, carpetbagger Bryan Caforio. Hillary won the district 50.3% to 43.6%. But on the same day thousands of Clinton voters refused to vote for Caforio, who lost to Knight 138,755 (53.1%) to 122,406 (46.9%). Recent polling shows many Democrats want Knight out but will not vote for Caforio.

Some candidates become better after an unsuccessful first run. Caforio hasn't. This cycle he's spent nearly all his efforts and energy trying to win the nearly meaningless endorsement of the California Democratic Party-- and saw the door slammed shut in his face this past weekend. And now he's getting desperate-- and very negative.

It's apparent that he cares exclusively about getting elected than flipping the 25th and that's why he is willing to viciously use baseless attacks against a strong, competent, progressive woman, Katie Hill, running for office. We've been working on flipping this district, slowly making progress, for over a decade. He was never involved in any way until the DCCC parachuted him out of nowhere in 2016. They wasted $3,164,363 (plus another $242,487 from Pelosi's SuperPAC) on his hopeless and inept campaign.



Caforio seems to have flipped out when the FEC report from the last quarter of 2017 was released and Katie had pulled ahead of him in fundraising, his supposed advantage over a grassroots candidate. She's now raised $693,079 to his $663,637. And then that polling above... So his immediate reaction was to panic and break his word about keeping the primary positive. A DCCC executive, furious that Caforio lied to them, sent me the disgusting Caforio memo that he's been circulating inside the California Party, "A Dozen Ways Katie Hill Doesn’t Share Our Values," a memo so filled with blatant lies and distortions that it cost him enough support to lose the party endorsement. I was told Caforio didn't want to send it out but that his chief consultant, Achim Bergmann, the sleaziest political operative in the business, forced his hand. One of Caforio's distorted lies is that Katie "repeatedly has expressed support for a flat tax, saying huge corporations and the wealthy shouldn’t pay more than ordinary people." This is the video on her website with her specific tax proposals. Does this sound like what Caforio calls it? He has nothing to offer so he tears down a progressive Democrat with the bullshit Bergmann feeds him.



The list is one ugly smear after another, lies that prove only one thing-- his unfitness for office (as a Democrat). For example, he feigned outrage that she was given a promotion and a $50,000 raise spread over 2 years. How dare a woman make that kind of money? This from a lowlife sleazy Beverly Hills attorney who makes over half a million dollars a year and tried passing himself off as a consumer advocate while advocating for the interests of Union Oil? L.A. Times reporter Javier Panzer caught him out on his bullshit.
[A]n examination of Caforio's six-year tenure at the Century City firm Susman Godfrey suggests his work more often involved being called upon by large corporations and multimillionaires from around the globe in times of legal need.

Caforio represented former Los Angeles Dodgers owner Frank McCourt during his contentious divorce proceedings in 2015. He was part of a legal team that defended Union Oil Co. of California in 2013 and 2014 when a group of 46 Montana residents accused the oil company of contaminating their property by letting petroleum seep from nearby storage tanks.

He also helped Skardon Baker, an executive with a downtown L.A. investment firm, defeat an architect who claimed he had been bilked out of $22,500 owed to him for designing a backyard cabana for the financier's Hancock Park home.
What a slimy character! And a phony. And a hypocrite. He said he was "only on the Union Oil case a few months" and he's so, so proud that he was able to trick the idiots at the Sierra Club and the League of Conservation Voters to endorse him.
Since the launch of his campaign, Caforio has emphasized his legal career. He calls himself a consumer rights attorney in campaign material. When he spoke to The Times last fall he said he had a “history of taking on the toughest fights,” including suing Swiss bank UBS on behalf of an investor.

In that case, the investor wasn't exactly an average Joe. Caforio represented Egyptian activist investor Ahmed Hussein, who accused UBS of disrupting a proxy fight he was waging with the board of a healthcare company, according to federal court records.

Caforio and another attorney from his firm won Hussein a $2-million award from the Financial Industry Regulatory Authority. Hussein-- using the same team of lawyers-- later sued UBS for more than $55 million in damages. UBS pegged Hussein's net worth at $400 million in 2012, according to the Wall Street Journal.

Though Hussein was a wealthy client, Caforio said it doesn't change the fact that he suffered losses. Caforio boasted of his own work that he "was still going up against one of the largest banks in the world."

The case was one of five listed on Susman Godfrey's online biography for Caforio under the heading "notable representations." That page was deleted sometime between April and August of this year but an online cache remains available.
Katie has all of the momentum and despite these provocations and lies, is continuing to run an entirely positive campaign because she knows that is what is best for the district and the country-- defeating Steve Knight. I called her and tried to get her to dish out a little of what Caforio is doing to her and she flat out refused. She told me she feels great about her positive progressive message and that she's not going to get drawn into any negativity with any of the other candidates. If he's still craving a business card that says "congressman" so badly, maybe Caforio will have better luck in 2020 in a different district.

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Thursday, June 29, 2017

CA-25 Should Have Turned Blue Years Ago-- If The DCCC Doesn't Try To Pick A Candidate, It Will Happen In 2018

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Last cycle the DCCC recruited some guy into CA-25 from Orange County. He had never set foot in the Santa Clarita, Antelope Valley, Simi Valley district before the DCCC decided to shove the local activist out of the race and install this Beverly Hills lawyer. The result was tragic and very predictable. IN a blue-trending suburban swing district, Hillary Clinton beat Trump handily-- 50.3% to 43.6%, a nice solid win, where Romney had beaten Obama by 2 points in 2012. But the congressional race was a mess for the DCCC's hapless interloper. The two candidates spent virtually the same amount of money-- Republican incumbent Steve Knight spent $1,674,968 and the carpetbagger spent $1,672,102. The DCCC spent massively for their loser candidate-- $3,163,901, compared to just $1,463,05 by the NRSC. Pelosi kicked in another $242,487. The results were ugly. Caforio, who had been banking on Hillary's coattails to sweep him into office, ran a pointless, uninspired, uninspiring and lackluster campaign and couldn't keep up with the enthusiasm she was generating on election day, Knight took 138,755 (53.1%) to Caforio's 122,406 votes (46.9%). That's not how you win back a district.

This year-- although Cheri Bustos and her reactionary posse have encouraged Caforio to run again-- the DCCC seems to be staying out of the primary. That's partially because the local grassroots candidate is exactly the kind of candidate who can win this district back. Unlike Caforio, who doesn't stand for anything except a desire to advance his own career, Katie Hill has a record of community service and a nature agenda of progressive policies she's running on.

A brand new poll from Strategies 360 Research of district voters confirms this is a big way, showing clearly that Katie can beat Knight and that in a rematch, Caforio will score exactly what he scored last time. The polling firm concludes that "Voters respond far more powerfully to Hill’s profile and candidacy than they do to Caforio’s, and Caforio remains highly vulnerable to the same powerful attacks launched against him last year." This are the statements read to poll participants about each candidate:
Katie Hill, a Democrat, is the daughter of a police officer and a nurse who grew up in our area and still lives with her husband on a small farm in Agua Dulce. She started working at age 12 and put herself through college and grad school, and dedicated her career to serving homeless veterans, families, and seniors as the executive director of a statewide housing and services organization. She has balanced a multi-million dollar budget, overseen a staff of 400 people, passed bipartisan legislation, and helped create thousands of local jobs. Katie is a new kind of leader, a political outsider dedicated to the priorities and needs of people and her community, not special interests or divisive party politics.

Bryan Caforio, a Democrat raised by two public school teachers, lives in Santa Clarita with his wife. He has spent his career as an attorney representing regular people, from helping tenants in need, to taking on banks regarding the housing crisis, to representing whistleblowers who identified waste and fraud in the system costing taxpayer money. Now he is running for Congress to stand up for hardworking people by fighting against the extreme special interests that take advantage of the customers they’re supposed to serve and the politicians who enable them.

Steve Knight, a Republican, has dedicated himself to serving our community as a veteran of both the Army and the police force, and now as our Congressman. He has a reputation as a fierce advocate for veterans, fiscal responsibility, job creation, and public safety, standing up for small businesses and fighting for drought relief. In Congress, he will continue to put the safety of our families and the economic success of our region first, push for less spending and lower taxes, and always fight for our local values.
As you can see in the bar graph, match-ups between Katie and Knight show her leading, while the match-up with Caforio and Knight show him losing again (with a similar ceiling of support). Their conclusion: "Katie Hill is the only Democrat in this race who can beat Steve Knight in a head-to-head general election matchup... Only Hill can put together the broad-based coalition needed to win this seat. She far outperforms Caforio among both Democrats and Independents." In fact, Hill performs better among every group polled, from the far left to the center-right. Further, "Caforio manages a 9-point lead against Knight among women but Hill wins them by double that margin (18 points). Hill outperforms Caforio by a net 6 points among voters favorable toward Bernie Sanders, and she runs a net 8 points ahead of him in the Santa Clarita area to which Caforio is a newcomer.




Hill’s profile produces a far more favorable result than Caforio’s (using Caforio’s own website language). After these balanced profiles, Hill leads Knight 49-45% while Caforio trails him 45-50%. Generically, the table below shows a) that voters are far more likely to support a candidate here with Hill’s background than Caforio’s, and b) the importance they place on support a candidate who “grew up in our area and understands local values”-- a statement to which only Katie Hill can lay claim among the Democratic contenders.


Goal Thermometer There's someone else running as well, Jess Phoenix, but polling shows her with just 5% support. Blue America has endorsed Katie Hill and if you'd like to help her campaign get out her message, win the primary and beat Knight in 2018, please consider contributing at the ActBlue thermometer on the right. Last night Katie told us that "the results of this poll are extremely encouraging. It shows that voters want a candidate who truly understands their needs and values, and who has a demonstrated track record of working to solve the problems we face as a community. As someone who really does understand what affects my friends, family, and neighbors in this district on a daily basis, I've chosen to focus my platform on addressing those concerns. That means fighting until every single person has full healthcare, and fundamentally rebuilding the middle class. Those are huge undertakings, but actually accompishing them starts with ensuring we have a truly representative government-- real people, who really 'get' the communities they want to represent, who aren't beholden to the party establishment or special interests. I've spent my entire life in the district, I know what people care about and how they are hurting, and I hope to be a voice for my community in the House of Representatives."



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Monday, May 28, 2018

Winning One Of The Last Republican Held Seats In Los Angeles-- A Two-Part Guest Post By Lee Rogers

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Anyone who has followed this blog for the past half dozen years knows Dr. Lee Rogers, primarily because he ran for Congress in CA-25 twice. The heart of the district is Santa Clarita but spreads south to Porter Ranch, west into Simi Valley, north as far as Gorman and east to Palmdale and up to Lancaster in the Antelope Valley. Lee challenged powerful (and corrupt) Republican Buck McKeon in 2012 and 2014, In 2012 he scared McKeon with a much closer race than he was used to, 129,593 (54.8%) to 106,982 (45.2%). McKeon decided to retire. In 2014, Lee was one of the first victims of the new jungle primary, when two Republicans prevailed in the first round and no Democrat made it to the general election. Today he is a prominent, internationally-known speaker and author on health policy. This week he endorsed Katie Hill for the CA-25 election.

Democrats' Chance to Flip CA-25 Rests with Katie Hill, Part I
by Dr. Lee Rogers


The outlook to flip California’s 25th District has never looked better. But that outlook is dimming with the prospect of a Bryan Caforio win over Katie Hill in California’s top two primary. Caforio lost to incumbent Republican Steve Knight in 2016. Caforio, who is attempting to run as a progressive, is dogged by his work as a lawyer representing big corporations, millionaires, and an oil company against citizens claiming seeping petroleum polluted their land.

Katie Hill, who is from the district and work includes being the executive director of the nonprofit PATH (People Assisting The Homeless), has worked to pass measures in LA area to reduce homelessness.

“In the Business of Helping People”



A political-newcomer, Hill has even out-raised Caforio $1.1M to $1M for the primary election cycle. Even more astonishing is what trusted political analysts are saying about Hill and CA-25.

The Cook Political Report has CA-25 as a toss up and cautions Democrats could nominate the “wrong” candidate.
CA-25: Steve Knight (R)-- Northern LA County: Santa Clarita, Palmdale

Toss Up. Democrats don't face any risk of a primary lockout here, but they do run the risk of nominating the "wrong" candidate. Knight faces four Democrats on the June ballot, but the race for the second runoff slot is between non-profit executive Katie Hill and 2016 nominee Bryan Caforio. The "Beverly Hills trial lawyer" label doomed Caforio in 2016, and a Caforio nomination could help Knight survive in a district Hillary Clinton carried by seven points.

Hill, 31, grew up in the district (unlike Caforio) and has run one of the largest anti-homelessness non-profits in the state. She owns guns and horses and culturally fits this parochial seat. Her first ad features her narrating her pitch while mountain climbing. She would offer a stark generational contrast to Knight, who has a tendency to shoot from the lip. And with the help of EMILY's List and LGBT groups, she's outraised Caforio $1 million to $883,000.

But despite her general election appeal, Hill isn't a sure bet to advance to November. Caforio is running as the "true progressive," retains plenty of name ID from his last race and is fond of replaying an old endorsement video President Obama cut for him in 2016. Meanwhile, Hill risks splitting women's votes with two minor Democrats on the ballot, volcano scientist Jess Phoenix and former Oak Park school board member Mary Pallant.

If Hill advances, Knight would probably become the underdog. If Caforio advances, Knight would still have a chance of keeping this seat in the GOP's column.”
Local Democrats have a real chance to add to a Democratic majority and rebuke Donald Trump’s policies in Washington, but only if they choose the right opponent to Representative Steve Knight.

Katie Hill’s platform of Universal Healthcare, Rebuilding the American Dream, and having an accountable, representative Government resonates with people in the district and is strengthened by the fact that her message is delivered by such a credible person.

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Tuesday, May 29, 2018

No More Republican Members Of Congress From Los Angeles? Time Has Come Today-- Guest Post By Lee Rogers, Part II

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Yesterday Dr. Lee Rogers took a look at the crucial congressional race in CA-25 for us. This is Part II. I suggest you take a look at Part I if you missed it while observing Memorial Day.

"This is Bryan. Don’t be like Bryan." Caforio Threatens CA-25 Democrats' Chances in November
by Dr. Lee Rogers


In California’s 25th District, one Democratic candidate is foolishly fueling an uprising against himself, which will limit any chance he has of winning in November, should he clear the primary. Bryan Caforio’s campaign has engaged an unprecedented negative campaign against a fellow Democrat, Katie Hill.

Now, the nascent, but growing #LyinBryan and #NeverCaforio movements threaten to undermine a general election campaign against incumbent Representative Steve Knight, who already bested him in 2016 by 6%, even though Hillary Clinton beat President Trump by 7%. Knight’s claims that Caforio was a carpet-bagging Beverly Hills attorney were particularly damaging and progressives were already leery of Caforio’s negative campaign against fellow Democrat Lou Vince and his history representing big corporations, millionaires, and an oil company against a group of Montanans.



Caforio’s recent despicable behavior caused me to produce a 2 minute video opposing his intraparty “slash and burn” campaign, pointing out his lies which include mail pieces accusing Hill of giving bed bugs to the homeless people she helped as Executive Director of People Assisting the Homeless (PATH). Caforio inaccurately likens Hill to Donald Trump, when in reality, running a lying, negative campaign is the closest you can get to being Trumpian.



Another contender is Democrat Jess Phoenix, a volcanologist (with an “o”, not “u”), who has performed well in the debates, by many accounts even better than all the other candidates. She is very knowledgeable and impressive, but now, at the final hour of the primary, she has not raised enough money or momentum to beat Caforio and threatens to split the Hill Democratic vote, risking Caforio advancing and dooming Democrats in November. If Phoenix runs again in the future, the organization she’s built in 2018 will certainly help her be a formidable candidate from the start.

I think Democrats have a real chance to turn CA-25 blue in 2018, but only if they choose the right candidate, Katie Hill, and reject Bryan Caforio’s negative, lying campaign.

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Friday, February 16, 2018

DCCC Big Foots Into Orange County-- Excellent News... For the NRCC

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The DCCC has mostly stayed out of the California Democratic primaries... but that changed this week. So far they've just been getting some of their puppet organizations to weigh in on the side of their corrupt conservative recruits. Yesterday Cook's David Wasserman had a fine description of what's going on in CA-25 (Santa Clarita, Antelope Valley and Simi Valley) but for a post entitled Battle for the House: Are Crowded Democratic Primaries a Blessing or a Curse? he missed the whole point of what's going on in the state now. Maybe he'll follow up another day. His post makes the case for why Katie Hill should be the Democratic nominee-- even without mentioning the poll that shows Katie beating Steve Knight 53-40% while the widely disliked corporate carpetbagger, Bryan Caforio, essentially tied with Knight.
Katie Hill, 30, is a first-time candidate who may be one of the most impressive Democratic contenders of 2018. The daughter of a nurse and a police officer, she studied nursing herself before shifting to the non-profit sector, and by 29 she was running the largest anti-homelessness non-profit in California, with an annual budget over $40 million. But her ability to navigate a tricky primary may hold the key to Democrats' chances of flipping a critical district.

Republicans' biggest structural advantages in the House-- think geography, incumbency and money-- have been weakening all cycle. Pennsylvania's GOP map just got thrown out, at least 32 Republicans aren't seeking reelection, and over three dozen GOP incumbents were out-raised by Democrats in the final quarter of 2017-- including GOP Rep. Steve Knight (CA-25), whom Hill out-raised. In the past, these kinds of trends have foreshadowed wave elections.

But as primary season approaches, the explosion of candidate and donor interest on the Democratic side has a caveat: in a lot of races, Democrats suddenly have more well-funded hopefuls than they know what to do with.

In fact, crowded fields of Democrats-- there are at least 43 GOP-held seats where at least two Democrats have at least $100,000 in the bank-- have become a GOP talking point. According to the Republican narrative, primaries will force Democrats to spend all their money attacking each other and running far to the left. As a result, their nominees will enter the general election bruised, broke and more aligned with the Resistance than swing voters.

So, are these congested Democratic primaries a blessing or a curse? The answer: it depends on the situation, but overall, Republicans shouldn't count on them to save their majority.

First, it's important to remember that competitive primaries didn't stop GOP candidates from winning in 2010-- in fact, many races forced them to hone their skills and helped them get known earlier. Second, for Democrats, nominating a candidate who emerges from a primary broke (a problem that can be fixed) should be less of a fear than nominating a candidate who doesn't fit his or her district (a problem that can't).

Case in point: California's 25th District, located in northern Los Angeles County. As he was in 2016, Rep. Steve Knight is once again one of the most vulnerable GOP incumbents in the House. Knight is a dyed-in-the-wool sophomore conservative with an in-your-face reputation (in 2015, he told a protester "I'll drop your ass") sitting in a district that voted for Hillary Clinton 50 percent to 43 percent. He's also a relatively weak fundraiser known for running low-budget races.

So how did Knight win reelection in 2016 with 53 percent while President Trump lost the district by seven points? And how is he the last Republican from LA County remaining in Congress? The answer: Democrats' star recruit turned out to be a less than ideal fit for the district.

The 25th CD is anchored by northern Los Angeles County and is getting more diverse (38 percent percent of its residents are Latino) and less Republican every year. But culturally, it's worlds apart from downtown Los Angeles. Despite its growth, Santa Clarita likes to think of itself as a small town, and the nearby Antelope Valley is lower-income and heavily dependent on agriculture. Many voters own guns, and a substantial number own and ride horses.

...In 2016, Knight lucked out when Democrats nominated Bryan Caforio, a partner at a downtown Los Angeles law firm who grew up in upscale Orange County, went to Yale Law School, and moved into the 25th CD to run. Caforio emphasized that his parents were public school teachers, but Republicans mercilessly attacked him as a "Beverly Hills lawyer" propped up by "limousine liberal" donors. It worked, despite Trump's unpopularity.

As a young, female political neophyte, Hill would offer a jarring contrast to Knight, a longtime politician. But unlike Caforio, she wouldn't be susceptible to the carpetbagger label. In fact, she might be Democrats' dream candidate for the down-home, independent-minded 25th CD.

Hill grew up in both the Antelope Valley and Santa Clarita, the daughter of a long line of military veterans. She attended Cal State Northridge, owns guns, and lives with her husband on a farm where they raise horses, goats and chickens. Until recently, she didn't consider herself especially political, but campaigned to pass an anti-homelessness ballot initiative in 2016 and confronted Knight about the GOP healthcare bill at a 2017 town hall.

She's garnered the endorsements of EMILY's List and nearby Democratic Rep. Judy Chu. In the final quarter of 2017, she raised $248,000, slightly more than Knight. She's down-to-earth, talks openly about family members' struggles with addiction and earned praise for sharing the story of her unplanned teenage pregnancy via a Facebook video. She describes herself as a pragmatist who didn't have a strong preference between Clinton and Bernie Sanders in 2016.

There's just one catch: Caforio, 34, is running again in 2018, and he and Hill are vying fiercely to advance to the general election in the June 5 top-two primary. Caforio carries over plenty of name ID from the 2016 race, as well as institutional support from the likes of [fellow corporate whore] Lt. Gov. Gavin Newsom and a host of labor unions. Caforio is seeking to run as the "true progressive," and in January won the party pre-endorsement convention with 73 percent of delegate votes.

California's party endorsements aren't binding or especially predictive; after all, Caforio himself beat out a Democratic party-endorsed former LA police officer in the 2016 top-two primary. But according to one private mid-January survey, he narrowly led Hill, likely owing to his residual name recognition. And having been on the ballot before is extremely valuable in a district covered by the cost-prohibitive LA media market where paid communication is limited to digital and mail.

Hill has tied Caforio in fundraising and has almost four more months to close the name ID gap, but Caforio may also feel pressure to attack Hill. For Caforio, who has defended large corporations in major suits, chastising a non-profit executive could risk backfiring. Nonetheless, his campaign could go after Hill's gun collection, skepticism towards full single-payer healthcare or six-figure non-profit salary in an effort to drive a wedge between her and Democratic primary voters.

Another complication for Hill is the candidacy of another female millennial Democrat with a non-profit background, geologist/volcanologist Jess Phoenix. Phoenix, 36, grew up in Colorado and didn't move into the district until recently. She co-founded a science education nonprofit, has appeared on CNN to talk about her candidacy, and has received some money and support from fellow scientists. She's not a top-tier candidate, but could siphon primary votes from Hill.
Goal ThermometerThe real problem in California though-- which has all the operatives' hair on fire and which the DCCC is using as an excuse for driving progressives out of the races-- isn't exemplified by CA-25. It's the top two jungle primary which could result in lots of Democrats splintering the Democratic vote so badly that 2 Republicans could slip into the general-- with no Democrat. The 2 seats most susceptible to that would be CA-39 and CA-49, neither of which has an incumbent. Roll Call, a DCCC stenography outlet, explained it early yesterday:
California Democrats at the federal, state and local levels have been engaged in conversations about the nightmare scenario in which no Democrat makes the ballot in November, especially in GOP districts they view as key to winning back the House.

Members of the California delegation gathered at the Democratic Congressional Campaign Committee on Tuesday to discuss a “variety of strategies and political items,” according to a source familiar with the meeting.

And Democratic lawmakers are already having discussions with candidates about stepping aside.

“I know that one of the hardest things to do is to get someone to not run for Congress. The only thing harder than that is to get someone to not run for Congress who’s been running for a year,” California Rep. Ted Lieu said.

“And so you can’t really force someone to not run for Congress if they want to,” said Lieu, a DCCC vice chairman. “We’re just trying to get information to campaigns and urging the ones who have not received traction to do the right thing.”

Lieu said Democrats specifically worry about the prospect of no Democrats advancing in the contests for two recently open GOP-held seats in Southern California: the 39th District, represented by Rep. Ed Royce, and the 49th District, held by Rep. Darrell Issa. Both Issa and Royce are retiring.

Both districts are among the seven Democratic targets in California that are represented by Republicans but voted for Hillary Clinton in 2016.

Five Democrats have filed with the Federal Election Commission to run in the 49th District, and seven have filed to run in the 39th District.

Sam Jammal, a candidate in the 39th District, lags behind four other Democrats in fundraising-- though all of them have made significant personal loans to their campaigns. He said Wednesday that no one has asked him to drop out of the race.

A onetime chief of staff to California Rep. Tony Cárdenas, Jammal said his connections to the district make him a strong candidate, and he wants to make his case to voters.

“My focus has to be on giving them something compelling to vote for,” he said.

But Lieu said the goal is for the Democratic fields to narrow before the March 9 filing deadline.

One Democratic official stressed that the 39th and 49th districts presented the greatest risk to Democrats. But others said crowded races in some of the other targeted districts also risk seeing the strongest candidate not making it through the primary.

The official noted that several Republicans are also running in these districts, so they could face a similar problem of splintering the GOP vote.

Some Democrats are worried there could be a backlash if politicians are seen as taking sides in some primaries.

“People don’t like, frankly, the D.C. establishment to pick their candidates,” said California freshman Rep. Nanette Barragán. “They want their local candidates. They want people they believe in and don’t like hearing about D.C. getting involved.”

Barragán won her race in 2016 against a Democrat who was backed by the state and local party establishment. She said any candidate who is willing to put in the time and effort should run for Congress, but conceded there are also candidates who may not be completely dedicated and could end up splitting the Democratic vote.

Lieu and other Democrats said grass-roots activists were just as concerned about the crowded fields, and they were all engaged in discussions about how to move forward.

“I am concerned about making sure that this process is done as inclusively as possible,” Eric Bauman, the chairman of the California Democratic Party, said in a phone interview when asked about potential backlash.

“I’m more concerned about electing Democrats who will restore us the majority in the House,” Bauman said.

Some Democrats have already begun discussions with campaigns that they believe do not have a chance of winning the primary.

Lieu said they have shared opposition research and polling numbers with campaigns to demonstrate they do not have a path to victory. He declined to identify the campaigns he has contacted.

Cárdenas, who chairs the political arm of the Congressional Hispanic Caucus, said he has also had discussions with candidates.

“It’s never telling anybody what to do,” he said. “But it’s just saying, ‘Look, I’ve been doing this for 20 years. I’ve won and lost races.’ And sometimes it’s either timing or sometimes things aren’t coming together. And maybe it’s an opportunity to think honestly, and say, ‘Am I in it for ego, or am I in it to be the representative?’”

Cárdenas, who also did not say which campaigns he spoke to, said the reaction from candidates has been “pretty resistant.”

Bauman said the congressional delegation has been very engaged in discussions about the crowded primaries. He also said he had been working with the DCCC and other stakeholders to make candidates aware of the impact of crowded fields.

No California hopefuls are in the DCCC’s Red to Blue program, which connects candidates to committee resources. But the committee has not ruled out playing in the California primaries.

“Grassroots activists have put these races into play, and they deserve to have a Democrat on the ballot this November,” said DCCC spokesman Drew Godinich. “As has been the case in the past in California’s open seats, all options are on the table in order to ensure that happens.”

Other Democrats are taking matters into their own hands.

Two operatives behind Democrat Doug Jones’ victory in the Alabama Senate special election last year launched a new super PAC on Tuesday called CA-BAM (merging the two states’ names). They hope to identify the Democrats who would have the best chance of winning in November, and potentially provide data to thin out some of the crowded fields.

“In that case, what groups like ours can do is not just gauge the best candidates for the fall, but more importantly try and figure out who the strongest candidates are for June,” said pollster Paul Maslin, who launched CA-BAM with media consultant Joe Trippi.

“And then frankly somebody has got to go to the ones who are down the list and see if they can be convinced to end their candidacy,” Maslin said.
Yeah... Joe Trippi, certainly one of the least honest brokers in all of Democrat world... let's trust him to get paid off to pick our candidates. How about the crooked and inept right-winger the DCCC hired as the West Coast staffer, Kyle something or other, the former campaign manager for right-of-center worthless goof ball Raul Ruiz (who was part of that meeting) and who's main concern is making sure no progressives get into Congress. A major part of the problem is that the DCCC sent several ridiculous candidates from CA-48 (Rohrabacher's district) to run in CA-39 which no one thought they could win anyway... until incumbent Ed Royce announced he was retiring. So conservative self-funding carpetbaggers Gil Cisneros (the DCCC's top pick and the least likely to win anything) and Mai-Khanh Tran are now in a race with an even bigger self-funder (also a carpetbagger), Andy Thorburn, and two local progressives with the ability to actually beat a Republican, Sam Jammal and Jay Chen.

The biggest spender in the race so far is "ex"-Republican Cisneros, a former slumlord who will never have even a remote chance no matter how much he spends, has given himself $1,352,762 and has spent-- not counting all the bribes he's paid out for endorsements-- $588,850. This guy, who can't open his mouth without lying, and who voted for McCain and Palin instead of Barack Obama, knows nothing about issues that motivate Democratic voters. And this is who the DCCC wants in the race? I've been told from sources who know, that the DCCC fully understands that Cisneros can't win but they don't want to alienate him and his bank account and don't care if they lose the district-- even though Hillary won it 51.5% to 42.9%. The DCCC thinks they know better, even though local Democrats disagree entirely. This was the result of the pre-endorsement vote: Cisneros (and the other foolish DCCC recruit, Tran), each got exactly ONE (1) vote, for those hundreds of thousands of dollars spent. Maybe Cisneros should just go back to being a Republican where trying to buy a congressional district is considered perfectly fine and no one ever minds.


Sometime people ask me "what's so terrible about Cisneros? Is he really the worst candidate the DCCC has this cycle. Is it just because you hate bribery so much?" No, there's lots more that's terrible about him than paying off other crooked politicians for endorsements and I've been covering it here at DWT since he first popped up. Let me give you a few things-- truly just a few. This is what the DCCC thinks is a fine candidate:
Cisneros registered to vote as a Republican in San Diego County in 1999, and registered again as a Republican in L.A. in 2008
Voted fior ands donated to McCain/Palin
Switched to Democratic Party in 2015 when he started thinking about running for office
Though he calls himself a Democrat, now Cisneros says his views haven't changed since he was a Republican, and though he lies about everything, this one I believe him on.

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Monday, January 25, 2016

DCCC Trying To Force Some Rich Candidate From Orange County On Santa Clarita

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Blue America is matching every dollar up to $5,000 for Lou Vince

Just when we thought the DCCC was finally going to cave and support a real Democrat for Congress, they discovered yet another way to lose in California's newly blue 25th District. This time, it is a Beverly Hills lawyer, Brian Caforio, who has absolutely no idea what issues are even important to the people in the district but who was "given" the district by the DCCC. He lives in Orange County.

Instead of supporting Lou Vince, the grassroots-backed candidate who has been endorsed by the local Democratic clubs (as well as by Blue America-- you can contribute to Lou's campaign here), the DCCC has parachuted in a wealthy lawyer because he claims to be able to raise large amounts of money. Sounds like a perfect fit for Steve Israel’s DCCC. No surprise, when the DCCC hatched this scheme, they neglected to talk to a single local activist and unsurprisingly, this week, the Simi Valley Democratic Club and the North Valley Democratic Club, two of the largest clubs in the district, voted unanimously to endorse Lou Vince over Caforio, the DCCC having already pressured Maria Gutzeit to get out of the race.

And, to add insult to injury, the “we don’t get involved in contested primaries” DCCC Western Regional Political Director actually sent Lou an email to say he was making calls to California Democratic Party delegates to encourage them to not submit their pre-endorsement ballots for Lou. He wants to be able to funnel DCCC money to Caforio and Lou winning the CDP endorsement would dash those hopes.

Meanwhile, the progressive Democrat in the next district, Ted Lieu, has been giving Lou Vince advice and helping him with his campaign. "Lou is the clear choice in this race," he said. "He will work tirelessly for the residents and represent them best in Congress. I know I look forward to working with him on the issues that matter most in Washington, whether it be tackling climate change, fighting for the middle class or making sure that we stand up for progressive values whenever they are threatened in Washington. I whole-heartedly endorse Lou Vince for Congress."

As we've said before, Lou is the best bet for taking the Simi Valley/Santa Clarita/Antelope Valley district. A police lieutenant and a veteran, Lou matches the profile of the district perfectly. The hard-working families of the area have already made it clear that they don’t like carpetbaggers. Last cycle, Tony Strickland outraised Steve Knight 5 to 1 and claimed he was the chosen one. Yet, Steve Knight trounced Tony Strickland in the general election because Strickland was a carpetbagger, just like Caforio.

The stakes could never be higher for CA-25. The Porter Ranch gas leak is inside the district and Steve Knight has been noticeably absent. Knight and his Republican Neanderthals want to do away with the EPA, the very agency that should have prevented this disaster. Rather than supporting an agency that keeps us all safe, Knight wants to get rid of it and allow corporations to self-regulate. I think we’ve all seen how well that has worked for Porter Ranch.

While Knight stays cozy in DC, the DCCC has scripted Caforio to hit the issue, claiming he cares about our health and the environment. Problem is, he doesn’t even know what the other environmental problems are in the area and there are plenty. In fact, Ed Begley Jr. and RL Miller, chair of the California Democratic Party environmental caucus, two of the most important environmental activists in California, have endorsed Lou because of his environmental stances.

Yesterday Lou told us that: "The 25th district has numerous environmental issues due to years of Republicans pushing through the agenda of the developers who bankroll their campaigns. The Porter Ranch disaster is just the latest case in a long line of environmental damage that needs to be undone. While Steve Knight continues to have a minimal visibility on the issue, another one of my opponents has been seeking to profit politically from the disaster. With no connection to the district at all, he believes that by snapping some pictures with an unpopular Congressman that he 'knows' the environmental issues. Yet, he hasn’t said a single word about the upcoming Chiquita Canyon Landfill Expansion, which will site the largest dump in the United States within 500 feet of an elementary school in a primarily Latino community. Where is Bryan Caforio on Chiquita? Where was Bryan Caforio 2 months ago? The answer is not in the 25th District."

If Bryan Caforio wins the primary, the DCCC will undoubtedly lose in the 25th District once again, a long pattern of bungling for them. It’s not often we have a candidate like Lou run for an office who could truly have a huge impact on the House floor. Having a former cop stand on the House floor and call for criminal justice reform would be a powerful ally for all progressives in the chamber. Not to mention having a Marine veteran calling for common sense gun measures. Lou certainly has the credibility to speak out on those issues.

That’s why we want to make sure Lou has the support he needs to win this June. That’s why we've decided to go all in for Lou. Blue America will be matching every contribution made to Lou’s campaign, thanks to two anonymous donors, on this page this week up to $5,000.

This is our chance to get a true blue progressive in the House and show the DCCC that it is the grassroots that really matter and that they should start fighting Republicans, not progressive Democrats.

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Monday, February 01, 2016

Why The DCCC Is Anathema To California Democratic Activists And Progressives

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Lou Vince was the pick of 82% of CA-25 party leaders, despite corrupt DCCC boss Steve Israel

Yesterday, Gallup released a survey showing that voter identification with the Democratic Party has sunk to an all-time low, just 29% (slightly better than the GOP's 26%), as more and more people view themselves as independents (42%). Americans haven't abandoned the party of Franklin and Eleanor Roosevelt; the party of Franklin and Eleanor Roosevelt-- on every level-- has abandoned them. The Democratic Party is now nearly as much a subsidiary of Wall Street as the GOP is. As Pelosi has grown less and less capable of leading and as Chuck Schumer has consolidated his control in the Senate, the congressional wing of the party is basically in thrall to an ugly combination of K Street and Wall Street. The party is next-to-worthless as a vehicle for social change or for fighting to protect the interests of ordinary working families. Today caucus goers in Iowa will decide if the party is indeed the Clintons' corrupt self-serving establishment or still part of a vision for a better nation for the millions of families who are not wealth elites.

Back in December, we looked at why grassroots activists have had their fill of the DCCC and have been increasingly telling corrupt and incompetent Beltway party bosses to stay out of their states. Today everyone reviles the DCCC and identification with the Democratic Party itself is disintegrating because of the likes of Rahm Emanuel, Chris Van Hollen, Debbie Wasserman Schultz, Steny Hoyer, Steve Israel and Ben Ray Luján.

Sunday, Javier Panzar, writing for the L.A. Times, looked into how Beltway Democratic Party hacks are destroying the party in California. He focused on the tremendous victory local Democrats in the Santa Clarita/Ventura area had this weekend in humiliating Israel, Luján, Zoe Lofgren and Pelosi. The clueless party bosses had invented a candidate from Orange County, some rich lawyer named Bryan Caforio, and decided to impose him on local Democrats. Woah-- did that ever not work! Yesterday the state party rejected the DCCC's demands that the party not endorse local candidate Lou Vince. 82% of the party delegates pre-endorsement vote went to Vince despite a month of hysterical calls from DCCC headquarters. In a huge slap in the face of the corrupt DCCC only 6 delegates voted for Caforio (out of 50). Vince will be the official Democratic Party candidate no matter what incompetent Beltway types like Israel, Luján and Pelosi want.
Democrats are eager to oust Knight, a freshman who earned negative headlines and represents the 25th Congressional District in north Los Angeles County and Simi Valley. But first the party's establishment will have to make peace with those local party activists who are upset with Caforio's late entry into the race, his lack of roots in the area and the quick support he has received from national Democrats.

The rift in the 25th District and an ongoing dispute between Democratic party leaders and locals in the Central Valley congressional seat offer an inland California flavor to what is a national trend this year: grassroots activists bucking the establishment.

Caforio raised $138,835 before the year ended, less than a month into his candidacy, according to federal campaign finance filings. He already has been endorsed by six members of California's congressional delegation and Lt. Gov. Gavin Newsom. Four members of Congress or their leadership PACs have contributed to his campaign [including Eric Swalwell, Alan Lowenthal and Zoe Lofgren].

But local partisans are upset that Caforio, a trial lawyer who attended UCLA and Yale Law School, and his wife only recently moved into the district from Los Angeles. Caforio was not registered to vote in the district until late November.

When the Simi Valley Democratic Club made its endorsement in the race two weeks ago, all 15 voting members chose Vince.

"There was a lot of negativity about the new guy. He is a carpetbagger," said Jodie Cooper, the club's executive vice president. "[Vince] really made a concerted effort to meet with people and then all of a sudden this guy comes in with money?"

...Despite the grassroots support, Vince, who currently serves as a police watch commander, has struggled to raise the money needed to take on an incumbent. His only congressional endorsement has come from Rep. Ted Lieu (D-Torrance) and that was before Caforio became a candidate. Still, Vince's list of supporters includes local officials and numerous activists.

"When it comes down to it, our volunteers are going to be the ones knocking on their neighbors' doors," said Vince's campaign coordinator John Casselberry Jr.

Some Vince supporters, like state Democratic Party delegate Patricia Sulpizio, said they could end up voting for Caforio if he makes it through the June 7 primary and Vince doesn't. But they are disappointed that members of Congress and party leaders are coalescing behind a candidate locals don't know or seem to be endorsing in large numbers.

Vince supporters have accused the Democratic Congressional Campaign Committee of meddling in the primary race, which officials have denied.

"You can buy a seat in Congress if you have money or if you have friends and associates with money, and that is really disturbing to me," Sulpizio said.

Local Democrats in the Central Valley also have been frustrated with the national party in recent years, said Mark Martinez, a politics professor at Cal State Bakersfield.

Rep. David Valadao (R-Hanford) has trounced Democrats for two cycles in the 21st Congressional District despite the party's 16 percentage point edge over Republicans among registered voters. Prominent locals told the Fresno Bee in December that part of the blame fell on the DCCC for micromanaging failed 2014 candidate Amanda Renteria's campaign.

Fowler City Councilman Daniel T. Parra is challenging Valadao in the primary, but he also has not raised much money. Democrat Connie Perez made a big splash when she entered the race but dropped out less than a month later, in part, Martinez said, because of frustrations with the DCCC over campaign staffing.

"What you have here is people who think they are masters of the universe," he said. "They are good at reading numbers but they aren't good at reading people."

The DCCC reputation is so bad in the area that Bakersfield lawyer Emilio Huerta, who entered the race in early January, has been telling voters he was not recruited by the group.

"It's unfortunate that [the] DCCC doesn't have a good track record here in terms of running successful candidates," Huerta said. "They don't take advantage of local clubs or local committees. They bring their playbook to the table and ignore us local folk."
This is Caforio's FEC report. After looking at reports like this for over a decade I can tell you with a straight face, I've never seen anything like it. There isn't one single contribution from the district (other than the money he and his wife gave from their newly rented apartmentin Valencia). But-- literally-- this DCCC plant couldn't get a single person living in the district to give him a dime! Blue America has endorsed Lou Vince, as well as 2 other progressive California challengers who have no support from the DCCC, Nanette Barragán and Bao Nguyen, all three of whom can be found on this page if you are inclined to support independent-minded reformers rather than DCCC hacks, who always lose.

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Sunday, August 13, 2017

Is It OK To Campaign For Congress On "Medicare-For-All?"

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The other day I was talking with a first-time Democratic candidate who has a bit of a reputation as a centrist, although he insist-- at least to me-- that he's a progressive. I'm not persuaded. He says he's kind of, sort of good with Medicare-For-All but there's no way he'd say he's going to co-sponsor John Conyers Medicare-For-All bill. He claims the district isn't ready for that yet and maybe he can lead them in that direction and maybe we can go to it incrementally. I do like one argument he makes, which I find refreshingly sincere: he says he doesn't want to pivot after he wins the primary and that whatever he backs now-- to appeal to Democratic audiences-- is exactly what he wants to say to general election audiences. His swingy red district is one of those districts where independents determine who goes to Congress.

Thursday L.A. Times reporter Sarah Wire posted a provocative piece about messaging: How does a progressive Democrat try to unseat a Republican? Step one: Don't talk about single-payer healthcare. And the piece was about a Blue America-endorsed candidate, Katie Hill. Katie was "sitting around a kitchen table with a local activist group last spring when one of the attendees asked her a question: Will she have to 'soft pedal' her stance on any issues to unseat Republican Rep. Steve Knight in the 25th District?"
The progressive Democrat started to answer, then paused to ask a person livestreaming the meeting on Facebook: “This isn’t going to be something that I’m going to be blasted all over Facebook for, right?”

After getting assurances that the video would only be available to a private group, Hill said one of the issues she can’t discuss directly is single-payer healthcare.

"I shouldn't go into the district and talk about single-payer, right? Like, that word by itself is going to be something that just immediately turns off a lot of people," Hill said. "But, if I talk about how we need to make sure that everybody has access to healthcare and that it's affordable for everybody and how having a government option [is needed] at the very least, that is something people can really get behind. It's more about the way we talk about things than being very far apart on issues."

The video, which was posted online to the storage site Dropbox and shared with the Los Angeles Times this week, shows the delicate line some Democratic candidates are walking as the national party goes after the more than 30 seats it needs to win back control of the House. The idea of a single-payer healthcare system, in which the government pays for a base level of healthcare for all citizens, has been growing in popularity in party circles since it became a major policy plank in Sen. Bernie Sanders’ campaign for the Democratic presidential nomination. But it remains a nonstarter for many conservatives, and is unlikely to catch on in a Republican-controlled Congress and White House.

The path to a House Democratic majority goes through the seven California Republican-held districts that backed Hillary Clinton in 2016. That includes places like the 25th District, where voters have sent Republicans to Congress for decades, but Democrats have a 3-percentage-point voter registration lead and voters there chose Clinton by nearly 7 percentage points in 2016.

Hill said in an interview that she believes the country will eventually have single-payer healthcare, but using the term puts off people in a district with a large number of conservative voters. Hill said she asked whether the video-- shot during a May 2 gathering for the liberal activist group Indivisible-- would be widely shared because talking to a liberal group is different than talking to the general public.

“Look, is it the best idea to be talking about the strategy for how we frame conversations? Probably I wouldn’t be advised that’s what I should say,” Hill said.

Hill has spoken publicly about her wish for every person to have healthcare, and paying out of pocket for her teenage brother’s drug addiction treatment. But she said achieving a single-payer healthcare system shouldn’t be prioritized over working for healthcare solutions in the interim, including practical fixes to the system that both sides can embrace.

“It comes down to having nuanced discussions,” Hill said. “As purple districts, we have the opportunity to say, ‘No, we can’t have these binary conversations.’”

Healthcare is expected to be a key issue in the 2018 contests.

Democrats are already lambasting GOP lawmakers, including Knight, for backing their party's House healthcare bill in May. Knight has said it was a tough vote, but he thinks it was the right bill to address changes needed to the Affordable Care Act, and he isn’t worried about Democrats using it against him.

At the same time, some have threatened to make support for single-payer healthcare a litmus test for Democrats. Our Revolution, a political group inspired by Sanders, threatened primary challenges this week against Democrats who aren’t vocal about it.

Former Ohio state Sen. Nina Turner, president of Our Revolution, told Politico, "We're not going to accept no more hemming and hawing. No more game playing. Make your stand."

Backers of single-payer healthcare in California are also trying to recall Democratic Assembly Speaker Anthony Rendon because he shelved a bill to create a state system earlier this year.

But the National Republican Congressional Committee is trying to use single-payer healthcare against Democrats. Just last week, it went after another Democrat in the race against Knight, Bryan Caforio, over whether he supports a single-payer system. He has said for months that he does, although Caforio, like Hill, doesn’t use the phrase. He’s more likely to refer to “Medicare for all.”

“This is a universal human rights issue and I’m going to talk about that in the district,” Caforio said.

Caforio lost to Knight in 2016 by 6 percentage points. Three other Democrats have announced challenges, but Caforio and Hill have an early fundraising lead.
DCCC messaging gurus-- they literally only hire morons-- insist that candidates not campaign on "Medicare-For-All." So I asked some of the candidates who Blue America has endorsed and some of the ones we are currently vetting. The question, in fact, is part of the vetting process. We started with Katie. She told me she hasn't gotten any backlash, "Anyone who actually reads the article as opposed to just the headline knows that my comment was about messaging only. And most people who are paying attention have heard me over and over again talk about Medicare for all so they know it's something taken out of context in an attempt to make me look bad. My mistake was asking if the video was going to be shared (or thinking for a second that it wouldn't be). Everything else I said is consistent with what I have said everywhere throughout this campaign, both in public and in private."

I caught up with Randy Bryce just as he was flying back to Wisconsin from having given the keynote speech at Netroots Nation. He reminded me that he talks about Medicare-For-All-- and using that phrase-- in virtually every speech he gives. Then I asked a go-to progressive I know I can always trust to give me an unadulterated progressive perspective, Hawaii state legislator Kaniela Ing. Here's what he told me:
The consultant class is obsessed with having candidates try to sound like America's most popular politician while somehow not upsetting their donors. Unfortunately for them, authenticity matters, and voters are smarter than they think.

A silver tsunami of aging boomers is approaching, and single-payer, Medicare-for-all is America's only sensible and sustainable healthcare solution. Anything short will continue to allow big-pharma, corporate hospitals, and insurance companies to exploit the sick and their cash-strapped families into paying way too much for needed services. This in turn could have devastating effects for our overall economy.

Democrats know that healthcare is a human right. If you want to reach Republicans, add that Medicare is the most efficient system we got, and that Medicare-for-all will save taxpayers $17 trillion. We have facts on our side and shouldn't run from them.

Voters in both parties recognize that the pharmaceutical industry, insurance companies, and corporate hospitals have too much power. The People's trust will go to the party or set of candidates willing to take them on.
Wendy Reed is running in a much redder district than Katie's though they both share part of the Antelope Valley in southern California. Wendy's opponent is the Republican Majority Leader Kevin McCarthy and she told us that she disagrees "that talking about single-payer is a campaign no-no, totally disagree. As candidates, we must talk with voters about good policy, and provide the breadth and depth of information on these issues that might not be provided on mainstream media. Moreover, the only thing that wins elections is integrity. We must never shy away from our commitment to good policy. Health care is a human right and Medicare For All will save us all money. It is good policy. Of course we should have these discussions with those we hope to represent."

Two Blue America-endorsed candidates in Orange County, Doug Applegate and Sam Jammal, progressives opposing, respectively, GOP entrenched incumbents Darrell Issa and Ed Royce. Doug pointed out that "I’ve argued and my platform has always fought for single payer Medicare-for-All. That’s why I’m so proud to have earned the National Nurses United endorsement, and I’ll always have their back." Sam Jammal said simply, "I strongly support Medicare for All, because (1) I believe health care is a human right; and (2) Medicare works and we should invest in what works. Try finding a senior who hates their Medicare and wishes to get rid of their Medicare; that person doesn't exist. As a former business executive, you invest in what works and scale it. Government should be doing the same when it comes to health care. People want quality, affordability and access  Medicare provides all of this for our seniors, which is why we need to protect it and expand it. Additionally, we aren't talking enough about out of pocket costs and how they are crippling our families. This is why I will campaign on universal health care and, in particular, Medicare for All because its the best approach for lowering health care costs. Voters want solutions that will work for them, not millionaires or special interest. My campaign is about voters in my community and finding solutions that will improve their lives. This is why I will continue to campaign on Medicare for All."

Kia Hamadanchy is running for the Orange County seat occupied by Trump pawn Mimi Waters. A young attorney who once worked for Sherrod Brown in Washington, he values clarity and honesty and abhors the kind of murky approach that leaves voters trying to sift through the verbiage to understand where a candidate really is. "When I talked about healthcare," he told us, "I use the terms single payer and Medicare-for-All, because I want to make it clear to everyone as to what kind of healthcare system I believe we need in this country and to make clear then when I'm elected to Congress I will sign on as a co-sponsor of John Conyers' Medicare-for-all bill. And its also important that people know what exactly we stand for as a party and we aren't just against Donald Trump. Mimi Walters voted for a bill that would take healthcare away from 22 million people and she needs to be held accountable for that vote. But at the same time there are real issues with healthcare in this country and its important to demonstrate to the people of Orange County that we as a party have solutions to address these issues."

We also spoke to an Orange County candidate who we haven't endorsed yet but is being looking at closely. Harley Rouda was a Republican, then an independent and now he's a Democrat. Our experience with "ex"-Republicans is horrible. They get into Congress and then revert to their old conservative ways and prove to be more Republican than Democrat. All feel most comfortable joining the Blue Dogs and New Dems. Look at Charlie Crist (FL), Patrick Murphy (FL) and Tom O'Halleran (AZ)-- "ex"-Republicans with horrible voting records on core Democratic issues across the board. HOWEVER, once in a very blue moon we find an Elizabeth Warren, once a Republican who truly saw the light and did not convert for opportunistic career calculations. Is Rouda more like Elizabeth Warren or more like Charlie Crist? He says so. That's what we have to figure out as he runs for the seat currently occupied with Putin-prone GOP nut Dana Rohrabcher. His statement on healthcare was clear and straight-forward: "I support Universal Healthcare across the United States and the development of a Medicare-for-all system. It’s the right thing to do-- and it’s also the smart thing to do. There are 40 industrialized, developed nations in the world. Of these 40 countries, 39 have Universal Healthcare. Only one does not. The United States of America. The United States spends almost 19% of its annual GDP on healthcare insurance, and healthcare needs. That is 2.5 TRILLION dollars a year! The other 39 industrialized countries that do have universal healthcare spend around 10% of their annual GDP on healthcare expenses. These countries are providing better healthcare services to their citizens-- and at half the cost. Something is just not adding up in America. In addition, healthcare expenses are the leading cause of personal bankruptcy in the United States and a leading cause of homelessness. This is why I support Universal Healthcare across the United States and a single-payer system. Developing a Medicare-for-all system is right for the American people-- and right for the American economy.


We spoke to three Blue America-backed candidates in Illinois, Marie Newman who is primarying anti-healthcare Blue Dog Dan Lipinski; Geoff Petzel who is taking on Trump/Ryan rubber-stamp Peter Roskam; and Dr. David Gill in the central part of the state, who's challenging another rubber-stamp, Rodney Davis. Marie reminded us that she uses "Medicare for all" everywhere. "I also use say: 'Medicare for all is the most logical way to achieve single payer for now.' This is not new. I also say that 65-70 percent of the country wants single payer. I believe in single payer and now, most of the country does too."




Pretzel was just as clear, even if his response was more involved. "Personally I agree with Our Revolution. Dems who don't publicly support single payer should get a primary challenge. I strongly support single payer, have since I ran in 2011, and proudly show my battle scars for taking that stance. Because I support single payer I was not endorsed by local media in 2011. In a bigger picture, Dems lack of vocal support for single payer is my biggest personal issue with the party. Just the other day I had a serious discussion about running as an independent instead of a Democrat because the party isn't pushing progressive policy positions like they should. The reason I'm not running as an independent, other than the prohibitive ballot requirements in Illinois, is that I believe we need to re-set the Democratic party and place it back on a track that supports progressive ideas proudly and loudly. [Democrats who] fear to proudly promote single payer makes me believe they're not real progressive and represent the status quo we have been served by the DCCC over and over again."

Goal ThermometerDr. Gill was reluctant to offer advice to other candidates-- but never reluctant to talk loudly and clearly about what he believes in. "As an individual who hasn't yet won a general election, far be it from me to try to advise other candidates. But I have had some relative success: I lost in IL-13 by only 0.3%, compared to other Democrats who have lost here by 18 to 20%. And I think the most important part of my ability to appeal to people across the political spectrum, even those who disagree with one or more of my progressive positions, is the fact that I am genuine. I simply say what I believe-- I don't try to tailor my talk or be particularly nuanced. I've been a physician for 29 years and I've been a member of Physicians for a National Health Program for 25 years, and I'm sick and tired of watching the vast majority of Americans get ripped off by a for-profit private health insurance industry that doesn't provide them with one iota of health care or actually give a damn about their well-being. I use that type of language while also incorporating the terms 'single payer' and 'improved Medicare for all', and I make it clear that I'm running because I ACTUALLY CARE about their well-being. The same caring instinct that drove me into a career in medicine is what drives my desire to be a leader in Congress. Each candidate has a unique set of circumstances, but I think that demonstrating a passion is ultimately even more important than the particular words that we put forth."

The progressive running in the Oklahoma City district (OK-05, where Trump beat Hillary 53.2% to 39.8%) is Tom Guild, who Blue America has endorsed. "A single payer Medicare-for-All health care system," he told us, "ensures that every American will have essential health care coverage. Since health care is a right and not a luxury, it is tragic that the United States is the only major world class nation without a health care system that covers everyone. Our system is one of the most expensive in the world, yet isn’t one that enjoys the best health care outcomes for its citizens. The current system leaves millions without coverage every year. Australia, Canada, and Great Britain all have national health care plans, that are considered three of the best health care systems in the world. The cost of health care is much higher in the U.S. than in any of these three western democracies. Single payer cuts paperwork and takes the profit motive of current insurance mega corporations out of the equation. It also reins in the huge profits and sky high prices of prescription drugs manufactured by Big Pharma. If we can cover every American for a lower cost, it makes sense to do so. We can use the trillions saved by not fighting the next expensive and endless wars and put that savings towards providing universal health care for our fellow Americans. For now, it makes sense to shore up the Affordable Care Act, and strengthen the individual market. Adding a public option would go a long way towards making the ACA function at a higher level. However, certain politicians have made a living and guaranteed their elections and re-elections recently by demonizing what they distastefully refer to as Obamacare. It is unlikely that they can get beyond their strong dislike or even hatred of anything named after former President Barack Obama, and take a mend it, don’t end it approach. If so, their inability to move forward hastens the day when America will join the rest of the world and adopt a single payer universal coverage Medicare-for-All system. When we have a majority of progressives in the U.S. House and Senate, and a new president we can make single payer a reality. As  the simple prayer goes, God grant me patience, and please hurry!"

South of Oklahoma City is Texas and one of the districts worth targeting is the Austin-San Antonio corridor seat held by crackpot science denier Lamar Smith. The progressive running against him-- likely to be Blue America's next endorsee-- is Derrick Crowe. He told us "I support Medicare For All in virtually every speech, in front of every audience. It's in our literature and is one of our main platform planks. Democrats shouldn't shy away from it for any reason. Most Americans think our country should make sure everyone has health care coverage, and among those under 30, a stunning 89 percent support that statement, with 66 percent of those young people saying they want a single national government program. Nearly two-thirds of Americans have a positive reaction to the term, 'Medicare For All.' If Republicans want to try to attack you for supporting Medicare For All in public, hand them a microphone, because we'll take their seats. Beyond the polling, it's just simply time for America to get back into a leadership role on health care. We spend more money on health care and have worse outcomes than virtually any other well-developed nation. Of the 35 countries in the OECD, we rank 27th in life expectancy, despite spending the most on health care-- so for those worried about the cost of a single-payer system, I'd challenge them to prove the value of a private system. Tell me why we should die earlier so insurance CEOs and pharma bosses can get richer off our misery."

Paul Perry is one of the Democrats running in a crowded primary in the Philly 'burbs in the hope of running against Pat Meehan. "Yes," he said, "I use Medicare for All. There's still plenty of nuance in terms of process that progressives (and folks on all sides really) can work with even when we use that term. It's about how we get there. Medicare for All is an identifiable program that successfully provides healthcare already for millions of Americans, so expanding it to cover more just plain makes sense to a lot of folks. I don't think we should be compromising on our destination which is a system that truly covers every single person in this country affordably and effectively. But the nuance on how we get there, the process, is fine. It'll of course be a phased approach."

Running in the same district is state Senator Daylin Leach who calls for Medicare for all in his platform and agrees that the way you do that successfully is embrace it openly, and defend it aggressively. "Health care," he told us, "is a basic human right. And a 'right' is something you are born with and keep until you shuffle off this mortal coil. The only way to guarantee that right is with a universal health-care system that can never be taken away from you. Medicare for all does that. Currently, we spend 25% of every health care dollar on insurance company profits. We should instead use that money to improve access to care and quality of care. I will fight to make sure that happens."

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