The Kids Are Alright

That video came out on Thursday. Nice, huh? After you watch it, be sure to take a look at the one at the bottom of the post. Over the weekend a Remington Research poll of likely Missouri voters showed an exact 47-47% tie between Democratic incumbent Claire McCaskill and Republican Josh Hawley. Two polls of likely voters in Tennessee, one from Targoz Market Research and one from East Tennessee State University show the Senate race exactly tied in that state as well, 44-44% and 48-48%. Note the 18-34 age bracket that breaks decisively for Bredesen. It isn't really breaking for the conservative Bredesen. It isn't even really breaking for the Democrats generically. It's breaking against Trump and his GOP enablers.

Nate Silver gives Bredesen a 1 in 5 chance to win (18.8%). His model is more optimistic about McCaskill and awards her a 5 in 8 shot (63.5%). None of these models are taking into account an a-historic spike in millennial voting. You always hear that and it never comes to a hill of beans? Maybe... but 3,000 early votes came out of UW Parkside (WI-01) this week that no models took into account. Those were votes for Tammy Baldwin, Tony Evers and Randy Bryce. I'm hearing that in Austin, Texas, millennial early votes are already the highest in history-- five times higher than in 2014. Millennial early voters were also five times higher in Nevada, four times higher in Georgia, three times higher in Arizona... We'll see, right? And you know what else we'll see? If this comes to pass in 2 days-- because this sure ain't in anyone's polling or forecasting models-- and this could be the blow to domestic fascism we're all praying for.

On November 6th at 10am, students in high schools and colleges across the country will walk out of class and march to the polls to cheer each other on as those eligible cast their votes. By bringing together young people across communities, issues, and organizations, we will ensure young people show up to the polls in record numbers and send a bold message to politicians and the country that young people are unified in our demand for change. Even if students aren’t old enough to vote, they are still encouraged to lead and participate in the walkout to help make our message heard.