Tuesday, November 10, 2020

Trump Is Not The Only Republican Working Furiously To Undermine Democracy

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Timberrrr by Nancy Ohanian

All this talk of a Trumpist coup can be scary, but I still think Señor Trumpanzee will be leaving office by Jan. 20, even if not like Indira Gandhi or Nicolae Ceaușescu. The coup may turn out to be more a comedy than a real threat. But the Trumpists are absolutely trying to take over the apparatus of the Republican Party.

This morning, CNN reported that Trumpanzee, Jr. and the psychotic crackpot who used to be married to Gavin Newsom and is now Junior's unofficial better half, "are making moves to expand their influence at the Republican National Committee." ROTFLMAO. I hope the assholes like McConnell, McCarthy, Cruz, Graham, Mike Pompeo, the two craven Georgia Senate asslickers and the others who have been backing up Trump's desperate pretend-coup, are enjoying this part of it. Jr. and Guilfoyle have made it clear to campaign and White House officials they are unhappy with RNC chairwoman Ronna McDaniel, who they view as not having done enough to win a close race."
For some in the GOP, as distasteful as Trump Jr. leading or having significant influence over the RNC may sound, it's seen as better than purging the outgoing first family, which could backfire with the President's base, two sources close to the White House said.

"In order for Republicans to move forward they may have to do this," one of the sources said.

If Trump Jr. and Guilfoyle do not ultimately assume formal positions at the RNC, the sources said somebody close to the Trump family, such as longtime campaign adviser David Bossie [unless he dies], could become chairman.

"They don't want the ride to end," a Trump adviser said of Trump Jr. and Guilfoyle.
I mentioned the other day that a lunatic fringe Republican, Eric Early, in my deep blue district (D+23) has been whining that the race was stolen from him and that he refuses to concede. This is the state of the race, which was called within moments of the polls closing:


Schiff, who is super-popular-- even beloved-- in the district, could shed 100,000 votes and still beat Early, who spent over $3,000,000 on the race, including over $100,000 of his own personal money. In the March 3rd jungle primary, Early barely made it into the general, Having run neck-and-neck with a transsexual activist, Maebe A. Girl, who wound up with 22,129 votes (12.0%) to Early's 23,243 votes (12.6%). But Early made it, blanketed cable TV with laughably dishonest ads and won the same 20-25% of the votes than any Republican wins in this district. Turns out Early's refusal to concede is part of a silly Trumpist "strategy," that I first noticed in Michigan, where defeated Republican Senate hopeful John James is whining he's been robbed and refuses to concede, even though Gary Peters beat him by over 87,000 votes, with the remaining ballots all mail-in votes from heavily Democratic areas, likely to put Peters' margin of victory up over 100,000.

The writing for the Daily Beast early this morning, Will Sommer reported that it isn't only Early and James. He focused on another crackpot: Kimberly Klacik [who] became a star on the right in her bid for the Baltimore-area seat once held by late Rep. Elijah Cummings (D-MD) and now by Rep. Kweisi Mfume (D-MD). Klacik spoke at the Republican convention, earned a Trump endorsement, and raised a whopping $7.4 million, boosted by her viral campaign ad decrying urban problems in Baltimore."

A star in Trumpworld, Klacik never had a shot in the D+26 district. Right now, with 82% of the vote counted, Mfume is leading her 211,841 (71.9%) to 82,896 (28.1%). She conceded on election night and congratulated Mfume, and then... "with Trump refusing to acknowledge President-elect Joe Biden’s win, Klacik has had a change of tune. Now, like Trump, she claims there’s something suspicious about mail-in ballots favoring Democrats and says her campaign has enough money to 'investigate.' Klacik quote-tweeted a Trump tweet about former Speaker Newt Gingrich (R-GA) claiming that 'big city machines are corrupt.'" She's now raving that she beat Mfume "on day of and in-person early voting, along with absentee," meaningless gibberish and absolutely untrue.

Q-Anon media clown Laura Loomer never had a chance to beat Democrat Lois Frankel in her Palm Beach County, Florida D+9 district (which Trump lost to Hillary by nearly 20 points in 2016). She ran because she's a publicity hound and a freak. With 93% of the votes counted and the race long-called for Frankel, 237,837 (59.0%) to 157,588 (39.1%), Loomer is running around shrieking that the election was stolen via absentee ballots. An infamous grifter, Loomer raised over two million dollars from hapless GOP suckers, who also contributed to 3 nutty right-wing SuperPACs that helped her, the American Liberty Fund, the New Journey PAC and a neo-Nazi outfit called the Stop Socialism Now PAC which spent money against 3 candidates: Lois Frankel, Cameron Webb (VA) and Eugene DePasquale (PA). Loomer who is generally considered a psychopath has been banned by Twitter and Facebook but posts on fascist sites where she claims there is "lots of voter fraud happening in America right now. We don’t have free & fair elections in America anymore!"

All of these candidates-- as well as looney-tunes Republican Luke Negron (better known as "The Young Wolf " in Nazi circles), who is currently losing to Democrat Michael Doyle in Pittsburgh 256,615 (69.1%) to 114,771 (30.9%)-- know they have no chance to win, hope they can continue lining their pockets with contributors' money and are all trying to advance Trump's spurious claim that absentee ballots are rigged and illegal.

Meanwhile, 6 academic political scientists released the result of a study today: Does elite rhetoric undermine democratic norms? In their introduction, they noted that "Democratic stability depends on citizens on the losing side accepting election outcomes. Can rhetoric by political leaders undermine this norm?"

As part of an experiment, they evaluated the effects of exposure to multiple statements from Trump attacking the legitimacy of the 2020 U.S. presidential election and concluded that "though exposure to these statements does not measurably affect support for political violence or belief in democracy, it erodes trust and confidence in elections and increases belief that the election is rigged among people who approve of Trump’s job performance. These results suggest that rhetoric from political elites can undermine respect for critical democratic norms among their supporters."


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Friday, December 13, 2019

Not Yummy-- Republican Stew

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Recall when Lev and Igor were caught laundering Russian money into the Trump campaign and the campaign of dozens of Republicans in Congress? Yesterday, Christian Berthelson reported that Lev-- one of the Giuliani criminal associates was handed a million bucks from Putin in September "a month before he was charged with conspiring to funnel foreign money into U.S. political campaigns. The DOJ-- though obviously not William Barr-- is asking the courts to withdraw his bail and throw Lev in the clink, technically for understating his income and assets. Their filing with the court: "Parnas failed to disclose, in describing his income to the government and pretrial services, the fact that in September 2019, he received $1 million from a bank account in Russia into Account-1. The payment raises provocative new questions about the nature of the work Parnas and his associate Igor Fruman were doing and who they were doing it for. Much about the nature of their work remains unclear."


Greg Olear reminds us that the House has already found William Barr in contempt of Congress. Now he is urging Congress to "take him into custody until he 1) releases the full Mueller documents to the House Intelligence Committee and 2) allows all the president’s accomplices to honor their subpoenas... Trump, with Barr as his first mate, has steered the country into uncharted territory. It’s time for the good guys to take back the helm." From Prevail, Olear's blog, this morning: "He seems so nice. Unlike Paul Manafort, who presents as the mobbed-up asshole he is, or Roger Stone, who arrayed himself like a comic-book villain, or Corey Lewandowski, who comes across as the drunken lout rooting for the other team behind you at the game, Bill Barr doesn’t look like a bad guy. He has a kind face, gentle eyes, a full head of hella-good hair, bookish glasses, and an avuncular manner. His pleasing plumpness is more Kris Kringle than Jabba the Hutt. In a word, he’s cuddly. But make no mistake: the once and current Attorney General is the most dangerous man in America. He may well be the Devil himself."
The third and most effective of Trump’s Attorneys General follows the same pattern. The man who leads the Department of Justice does not believe in justice—at least, not the American version of it. Indeed, Barr does not seem to believe in democracy at all. “Might makes right” is his credo. And he has made it his mission to ensure that the president’s might rivals that of a Saudi king, medieval Pope, or Roman emperor. He is, at best, a monarchist, and at worst, a raging Fascist. He is not just a traitor. He is an apostate, rejecting completely the prevailing faith of his countrymen—our American faith in democracy.

Donald Trump is a monarchist, too, in that he sees himself as some sort of king. But that is a function of his own narcissism and insecurity, not a coherent worldview. Barr is different. In a nation founded by revolutionaries, by patriots, he is a Tory-- a redcoat. It is not difficult to imagine him dolled up in white wig and fancy get-up, grovelling before George III.

His treachery is so obvious as to be indisputable. But Barr is unique among the Trump loyalists for two reasons: First, he’s competent. Second, his motives are more opaque.
OK, now I want you to add something else to a brew you can probably already tell is going to be very toxic. Wednesday deranged Texas Trumpist, Louie Gohmert publicly named the whistleblower during a Judiciary impeachment hearing, illegally endangering his life.

Three faces of today's Republican Party


Next ingredient: As of Friday since his defeat, outgoing-- as in defeated-- Kentucky Governor Matt Bevin granted 428 pardons and commutations to typical Republicans, like one convicted of raping a child, another who hired a hit man to kill his business partner and a third who killed his parents. But the big news was how Bevin pardoned Republican Patrick Baker who was convicted of reckless homicide, robbery, impersonating a peace officer and tampering with evidence-- whose family threw a fundraiser for Bevin and raised him $21,500 towards retiring his campaign debt. Commonwealth’s Attorney Jackie Steele, who prosecuted Baker and other defendants for the 2014 death of Donald Mills, noted that "two of Baker’s co-defendants are still in prison. 'What makes Mr. Baker any different than the other two?' he asked. Answering that question, he said he believes Baker was pardoned while the others remain locked up because Baker’s family has given generously to Bevin. State records show that Victoria Baker, who lives at the same Corbin address where the fundraiser was held, donated $1,000 in 2015 and that Kathryn Baker gave another $500 to Bevin’s reelection in March"... Bevin commuted his sentence to time served and gave him a pardon."





Yes, I'm concocting a recipe for today's GOP. And it would be a big mistake to not include Fox in that recipe-- a more than key ingredient. In an e-mail to his supporters, Florida garden variety Democrat Lois Frankel wrote that 47% of residents in her D+9 South Florida district watch Fox News, "more than in any other congressional district in the entire country." She whined that "wth Fox News ramping up their propaganda efforts in our district, we need your help" to reelect her. "Republicans are raising big money to defeat Democrats in Florida, and with the Fox News propaganda machine on their side, it’s going to take a real grassroots effort to fight back."

Wired went much further, noting that Fox News is now a threat to national security. Garrett Graff reported that "the network’s furthering of lies from foreign adversaries and flagrant disregard for the truth have gotten downright dangerous."
Sean Hannity, who had long trumpeted the forthcoming inspector general report and expected a thorough indictment of the behavior of former FBI director James Comey and other members of the “deep state,” had a simple message for his viewers during Fox’s Monday night prime time: “Everything we said, everything we reported, everything we told you was dead-on-center accurate,” he said. “It is all there in black and white, it’s all there.”



Except they weren’t right and it wasn’t there. But Fox News’ viewers evidently were not to be told those hard truths-- they were to be kept thinking that everything in their self-selected filter bubble was just peachy keen.

Over on Fox Business, Lou Dobbs said the mere fact that the IG found no political bias in the FBI’s investigation of Trump and Russia in 2016 was de facto proof of the power of the deep state.

John Harwood, long one of Washington’s most respected conservative voices in journalism, summed up Fox’s approach Monday night simply: “Lunacy.”

It’s worse than lunacy, though. Fox’s bubble reality creates a situation where it’s impossible to have the conversations and debate necessary to function as a democracy. Facts that are inconvenient to President Trump simply disappear down Fox News’ “memory hole,” as thoroughly as George Orwell could have imagined in 1984.

The idea that Fox News represents a literal threat to our national security, on par with Russia’s Internet Research Agency or China’s Ministry of State Security, may seem like a dramatic overstatement of its own-- and I, a paid contributor to its competitor CNN, may appear a biased voice anyway-- but this week has made clear that, as we get deeper into the impeachment process and as the 2020 election approaches, Fox News is prepared to destroy America’s democratic traditions if it will help its most important and most dedicated daily viewer.

The threat posed to our democracy by Fox News is multifaceted: First and most simply, it’s clearly advancing and giving voice to narratives and smears backed and imagined by our foreign adversaries. Second, its overheated and bombastic rhetoric is undermining America’s foundational ideals and the sense of fair play in politics. Third, its unique combination of lies and half-truths has built a virtual reality so complete that it leaves its viewers too misinformed to fulfill their most basic responsibilities as citizens to make informed choices about the direction of the country.


In the impeachment hearings, former National Security Council official Fiona Hill and other witnesses made clear how those who, like Fox News hosts and the president, advance the false narrative that Ukraine meddled in the US election are serving the Kremlin’s interests. Russia is playing a weak hand geopolitically-- its economy is sputtering along and its population shrinking-- and so its greatest hope is to stoke internal discord in the West. Robert Mueller warned of this; James Clapper has warned of it; and now Fiona Hill has done the same. “Our nation is being torn apart,” she said. “Truth is questioned.” Yet Fox, and the GOP more broadly, has warmly embraced almost every twist of Kremlin propaganda, up to and including the idea that Russia never meddled in the 2016 election to begin with.

Fox’s clear willingness to parry the wingnuttiest ideas in service of the president, long-term implications to the United States be damned, should worry all concerned about the state of the United States. The Ukraine myth is hardly the only example; for years, it has repeated false conspiracies about the murder of Democratic staffer Seth Rich, a conspiracy literally cooked up by Russian intelligence and fed into the US media. (To say nothing of Fox’s long-term commitment to undermining and questioning climate science, leaving the US both behind in mitigating the worst effects of climate change and also ill-equipped to face the myriad security consequences of a warming planet.)

...[A]s the year has unfolded, Fox’s evening talk shows and its presidentially endorsed morning show have proven to be a particularly egregious and odious swamp of fetid, metastasizing lies and bad faith feedback loops that leave its viewers-- and, notably, its Presidential Audience of One-- foaming at the mouth with outrage and bile.

It’s hard not to think that the increasingly odd behavior and untethered-to-reality pronouncements of the president’s two top lawyers-- Attorney General Bill Barr and personal defender Rudy Giuliani-- have not been deeply influenced by the filter bubble on the right created, fostered, and fertilized by Fox News. As Lawfare’s Susan Hennessey tweeted after Barr set out on his Quixotic quest to prove the deep state was behind the FBI’s 2016 investigation, “The Attorney General is a fully-committed Fox News conspiracy theorist.”



The network’s pantheon of Tucker Carlson, Sean Hannity, Laura Ingraham, Lou Dobbs, and the rotating couch-cast of Fox & Friends’ morning show dunces-by-choice together represent a level of ill-informed demagoguery that would make Father Coughlin and Huey Long wince.

More than simply embarrassing themselves by spouting obvious falsehoods, though, Fox News’ incendiary, fanatical rants serve to delegitimize to its viewers the very idea of a political opposition. Every Democrat is evil. Every person who disagrees with President Trump is an enemy of the state. Every career federal employee is a member of a deep state opposition.

As writer Gabe Sherman, who authored a history of Fox News, tweeted over the weekend, “Been thinking a lot about why Trump will survive impeachment when Nixon didn’t. For 20+ years Fox News (and rightwing talk radio) has told GOP voters that Democrats are evil. As lawless as Trump is, Republicans believe Dems are worse. That’s the power of propaganda.”

These pronouncements-- uttered around the clock on weekdays and doubled down on weekends by hosts like the president’s favorite, Jeanine Pirro-- are an attack on the very ideals and foundations of the American experiment.


The founders settled on political parties as a mechanism to institutionalize channels for ongoing debate. As historian Joseph Ellis wrote in American Creation, political parties “eventually permitted dissent to be regarded not as a treasonable act, but as a legitimate voice in an endless argument.” It is that willingness to view opponents as legitimate that has long allowed America to hold together even under trying political times and to deal with political disagreements in the political arena, rather than resorting to violence against national leaders. For all of Fox News and President Trump’s daily declaration of coups and attempted coups against the administration, American history has actually been shockingly free of actual coups.

...That tradition and idea of American politics as an ongoing conversation, an endless argument, is key to preserving our democratic experiment. The idea that you will be in power sometimes, and out of power other times, is what preserves norms and traditions, and curbs the worst abuses and impulses; politicians traditionally understand that actions taken in the majority could serve to bite them if and when they return to the minority.


Donald Trump, who rose to prominence trumpeting the very “birther” falsehood that McCain once batted away, seems bent on undermining that tradition; he has proven he’s perfectly willing to burn down political norms for short-term gain. Fox News seems intent on helping him-- and on a daily basis, they’re telling their viewers he’s right and anyone who disagrees with him is less than human. Trump’s lies are the one constant and consistent position of his presidency (13,000 and counting!), and Fox News has gone all in.

We, as a democratic society, cannot survive such consequences-be-damned, winner-take-all, facts-don’t-matter politics. Fox News has upended Daniel Patrick Moynihan’s famous proclamation that “everyone is entitled to his own opinion, but not to his own facts.” Its daily programming seems driven by the idea that everyone might be entitled to their own facts, but that there is only one correct opinion: President Trump’s.

In 1984, George Orwell wrote his imagined dystopian regime “told you to reject the evidence of your eyes and ears,” but Fox News has actually figured out a tactic even more pernicious: Fox News’ own masters of Orwellian doublespeak, its Hannitys, Carlsons, and Doocys, the ones who smugly declare down up and up down, aren’t even bothering to tell their viewers to ignore their eyes and ears, because the truth never even approaches their airtime.

Let’s hope that Fox News today, unlike in Orwell’s world, doesn’t manage to succeed in transforming our country from a functional democracy into an authoritarian cult.





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Sunday, October 20, 2019

Trump Is A Regular Surrender Monkey-- First To Turkey, Now To Lois Frankel

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Our art director, Andrei Rublev (Wmxdesign), rarely writes about his creative process. He surprised me by doing so today, when he sent over the above piece: What would Warhol do with this current iteration of Trump? A broken man since childhood, trying to find self-esteem among stolen and borrowed dollar bills-- an insecure man surrounded by purchased women and a thin facade of success. Would Warhol find that Trump is a media icon to be dissected and splayed to see what went wrong? Unknowable at this point-- but he would most likely target the most apparent quality of the Trump psychogenic personality. That distillation would probably be Self Pity. The complete collapse of the Trump myth is unfolding across all media; it repeats endlessly. Donald John Trump is an Andy Warhol installation that has unravelled through the decades. Trump is a raw id, ego, superego catastrophe in plain sight. We all look. We can’t look away whether we watch in disgust or blind adulation. For Trump, the full embodiment of Self-pity amplified across all media repeats ad infinitum. Warhol would retch and then make art from the sputum. I believe he's calling it Self-pity Amplified Across All Media Repeats Ad Infinitum.

On Friday, Lois Frankel (D-FL), Bennie Thompson (D-MS) and Steve Cohen (TN) in the House and Richard Blumenthal (D-CT) and Sheldon Whitehouse (D-RI) in the Senate introduced the very timely THUG Act (Trump’s Heist Undermines the G-7). The bill was meant to prohibit funding for the G-7 Summit at the Trump National Doral and would require Trump to submit to all documents to Congress that are related to his decision to host the G-7 Summit at his property. There was no question the bill would have passed-- and with the support of some Republicans. Homeland Security Chair Bennie Thompson explained that "The prospect that Trump Administration would set aside the Constitution to line the President’s pockets by choosing to host the upcoming G-7 Conference to prop up one the President’s failing properties is enormously troubling... We need to get to the bottom of how the decision to host this National Security Special Event at one of the President’s resorts was made and whether President’s financial interests may have outweighed homeland security concerns." As Frankel explained, "Trump is unashamed of his corruption. He is abusing the office of the Presidency and violating law by directing millions of dollars of American and foreign money to his family enterprises by holding an important meeting of world leaders at his Doral resort."

Rep. Cohen went even further: "I am deeply concerned about President Trump’s priorities. Rather than focus on the American people, he seems to be busy padding his wallet with taxpayer and foreign money. The federal government isn’t his personal piggy bank nor should it be the promotional arm of the Trump Organization. The announcement that the next G7 Summit will be held at his Doral Miami resort is a brazen example of the corruption and self-dealing that has characterized this administration. I believe this is a direct abuse of the president’s power and an emoluments clause violation. Beyond that, no public official should take any action suggesting an improper motive, and this has impropriety written all over it. The THUG Act would force the Administration to turn over documents on how a Trump property was chosen and prevent federal funds from being spent at the President’s Doral Miami resort to host the G7 Summit."

A few hours later this whiny-bitch tweet appeared, surrounding while defending his bed-bug infested cash-starved resort:



So what happened? Miami Tribune reporters Michael Wilner, Francesca Chambers and Devoun Cetoute were on the case last last. Drowning in criticism from all sides, Trump reversed himself, objected surrounding to public opinion less than three days after the plans were first announced. Democrats, they wrote "vowed to add the case to a sweeping federal lawsuit accusing the president of repeatedly violating the emoluments clause of the U.S. Constitution."



Trump initially previewed his plan to pick Trump National Doral at this year’s G-7 summit in France over the summer, citing the golf resort’s proximity to Miami International Airport and its isolation from pedestrians.

But the announcement itself was rolled out hastily.

Originally scheduled for earlier in the week, the decision to name the location was delayed until Thursday, when Mulvaney hosted a media briefing.

Mulvaney acknowledged he was initially “skeptical” of the selection, but ultimately came to believe it was the “perfect physical location,” he told reporters. And he insisted there would be “no issue here on him profiting from this in any way, shape, or form” from the selection of Doral.

“I would suggest that he probably doesn’t need much help promoting his brand, so we’ll put the profit one aside and deal with a perfect place,” he said.

The summit was scheduled to take place on June 9-13, 2020, and would have marked Miami’s debut on the international stage. Heads of state from Canada, France, Germany, Italy, Japan and the United Kingdom would have converged on the site for for their yearly meeting.

The nations rotate hosting duties, and Trump said he was interested in the United States inviting the nations to his golf resort, but Miami Herald records requests to the City of Doral, the office of Miami-Dade Mayor Carlos Gimenez and local police found no evidence of communication from Washington about potentially hosting the summit.

Gimenez told The Herald that he spoke to Trump during by phone when Hurricane Dorian threatened Miami in August, in which the president told him that he was thinking about hosting the summit in Miami-Dade.

After two calls to the Secret Service’s Miami office and strong hints from Trump, the City of Doral had assigned an extra $270,000 to the city’s police budget to cover security costs tied to the summit, Doral Mayor Juan Carlos Bermudez said.

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Thursday, September 20, 2012

There's A Reason Adam Hasner Won't Disassociate Himself From Romney's Disgusting 47% Diatribe In Boca Raton

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We finally heard Romney articulate a policy. The video shot in Boca Raton Florida may have been the most in-depth look we have had from the Romney campaign about what he will actually do if he wins in November. What other policies has he detailed behind closed doors over $50,000/plate meals? A Modest Proposal perhaps?

One of the men who might be better briefed on the details Romney’s campaign against the 47% is Adam Hasner. Hasner is running for Florida’s 22nd Congressional seat against former West Palm Beach Mayor Lois Frankel. He’s also a  co-chair of the Romney campaign in Florida. Hasner prides himself on his partisanship, though you wouldn’t be able to tell that from his mailers in the Democratic-leaning district, which conveniently leave out mention of his own party. But as a true partisan, he has remained silent on Romney’s umpteenth-- and most spectacular-- gaffe.

Silence makes sense for him. Romney’s moment of truth-- and it can be argued the Republican Party’s moment too-- happened not only in Hasner’s district, but at the home (or rather latter-day Versailles, by way of Trump) of Marc Leder, one of Hasner’s biggest backers. Leder, the co-founder of private equity firm Sun Capital, was Romney’s inspiration to enter the private equity game, as we saw in the report by the New York Times. Leder currently oversees $8 billion in equity. Leder has maxed out twice to the Hasner campaign-- and has personally pumped $372,900 into right-wing political candidates over the last few years (plus a couple of sleazy, corrupt Democrats like Debbie Wasseman Schultz, of course). Although not as salaciously as the other New York dailies, the Times has exposed Leder for his sex orgies and for his shady dealings with investors. This is from January:
It was, the gossip pages would later report, the talk of the Hamptons-- a midsummer night’s bacchanal in the playground of the 1 percent.

Beyond the windswept dunes in Bridgehampton, at a $400,000-a-month oceanfront mansion, bright young things bubbled up and the Champagne flowed fast. Into the small hours, professional dancers in exotic clothing gyrated atop platforms. One couple twirled flaming torches. The sounds of techno boomed over the beach.

The New York Post summed up the evening’s Dionysian mysteries with the following headline: Nude Frolic in Tycoon’s Pool.

The Post’s tycoon, and the party’s host, was a financier named Marc J. Leder, and those weekend revels last July had the East End of Long Island buzzing. Like many deal makers, though, Mr. Leder, 50, is virtually unknown outside financial circles. But from his headquarters in Boca Raton, Fla., he presides over a multibillion-dollar private empire. He is a practitioner of a Wall Street art that helped define an age of hyperwealth, and which has now been dragged into the white-hot spotlight of presidential politics: private equity.

It was through private equity that one Republican candidate, Mitt Romney, amassed his wealth-- and, it turns out, it was through private equity that Mr. Romney first met Mr. Leder. A couple of months after the blowout in Bridgehampton, Mr. Leder was host for a fund-raiser at his Boca Raton home for Mr. Romney’s campaign. But the connection goes back even further. Years ago, a visit to Mr. Romney’s investment firm inspired Mr. Leder to get into private equity in the first place. Mr. Romney was an early investor in some of the deals done by Mr. Leder’s investment company, Sun Capital, which today oversees about $8 billion in equity.

...[I]n many ways, Mr. Leder personifies the debates now swirling around this [vulture capital and private buy-out operations] lucrative corner of finance.

To his critics, he represents everything that’s wrong with this setup. In recent years, a large number of the companies that Sun Capital has acquired have run into serious trouble, eliminated jobs or both. Since 2008, some 25 of its companies-- roughly one of every five it owns-- have filed for bankruptcy.

Among the losers was Friendly’s, the restaurant chain known for its Jim Dandy sundaes and Fribble shakes. (Sun Capital was accused by a federal agency of pushing Friendly’s into bankruptcy last year to avoid paying pensions to the chain’s employees; Sun disputes that contention.) Another company that sank into bankruptcy was Real Mex, owner of the Chevy’s restaurant chain. In that case, Mr. Leder lost money for his investors not once, but twice.

Yet Mr. Leder doesn’t seem to be suffering too much himself. In fact, he is living so large that he can’t avoid the limelight. Last July, he used part of his personal fortune to join a group of investors in buying the Philadelphia 76ers. In December, he was spotted on St. Bart’s with Russell Simmons, of Def Jam and Phat Farm fame, and Rachel Zoe, the celebrity stylist. That again landed him in the New York Post, which dubbed him a “private equity party boy.”

Hasner always tries to portray himself as a "family values" guy but Leder is one of his top campaign financiers. And Hasner’s silence speaks volumes. He has opted for the Republican path of money and power over the interests of the people in his district. Medicare recipients find themselves part of Romney and Hasner’s 47%. South Florida being South Florida, that equals nearly half-a-million people in Hasner’s district that he believes don’t take responsibility for their own lives. The 47% also includes veterans who utilize the VA and other veterans services. They put their lives on the line for this country, but, when it comes down to it, they’re just freeloaders and "moochers." Adam Hasner; partisan to the core.

Other Republican candidates, such as Scott Brown in Massachusetts and Linda McMahon in Connecticut, have hinted at being uneasy with Romney’s comments. It’s worth noting that both these Republicans come from Democratic-leaning states. Why then has Hasner remained quiet when his compatriots haven’t? That the Super PACs are lining up around the corner and down the street to bombard the 22nd with television ads is undoubtedly the answer. He can depend on Super PACs, like Eric Cantor’s Young Guns, to come in, spend thousands, and attempt to buy this election. It doesn’t really matter what Hasner says and does, including stomping all over a big portion of his electorate. All that matters is that he has the money, or other people have the money for him, so he can lie and manipulate his way to Congress. So here it is folks, your Citizens United lesson of the day; Republicans believe that money can outweigh bad and dangerous politics and policies. Surprised?

As we know, just because Republicans believe it, doesn’t make it true. In fact, it may be the opposite. There is a big chance that if Hasner stays silent, even with his boatloads of money, he will lose. He only articulates the bad policies of Ryan and Romney and can’t really win on policy against Frankel. Medicare is no minor issue, especially in the retirement communities of South Florida. And Lois Frankel is a force to be reckoned with. She also has a real background of economic revitalization and job creation in West Palm Beach. The question here isn’t who the better candidate is and who will better represent their constituent’s interests. Frankel wins that contest hands down. It’s a question of money. This is going to be a tight race and may turn out to be one of the most important this cycle. The result of the race in Florida’s 22nd will speak volumes-- even if Hasner says nothing-- of what our electoral system and our politics have become.

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Monday, August 13, 2012

Will Ryan's Reverse Coattails Be Strong Enough In Florida To Help The Democrats Win House Seats?

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Above is a short video of Alan Grayson's appearance last month on Al Sharpton's MSNBC show. So this is when everyone was sure Romney would pick Portman or Pawlenty as his running mate and before anyone thought he could get bullied by the far right into committing political suicide with a Paul Ryan pick. At the time, Democrats were wondering how they could effectively and legitimately hang the albatross of Ryan's plan to kill Medicare around Romney's neck. That was solved for them on the deck of the USS Wisconsin over the weekend. It's especially relevant in Florida, where seniors make up 31% of the population-- as opposed to about 10% in the rest of the country. Sharpton asks Grayson if the Medicare issue could make the difference in Florida, where Obama is already beating Romney in the polls, despite Gov. Rick Scott's efforts to game the system by preventing students, African Americans and poor people from voting. The question was tailor-made for Grayson:
[W]e do have a few senior citizens in Florida, you may have heard that. And in fact, seniors are learning more and more about exactly how bad the Ryan plan is going to be for them. I think Ryan also has a sense of humor. His plan is a joke, and the joke is on all of us. I think that all of us hope one day that if we're not already getting Medicare, we will be. And we don't want to have to pay an extra $6,500 in order to have it.

But the fundamental problem with his plan is that right now, seniors get care and what they [Ryan and his GOP cronies] want to do is substitute the care with a check that they know is not going to be enough for the care... It's some kind of scheme, some kind of game that they're playing on senior citizens. And it's a game of life and death. If they don't get the care they need, then seniors are going to die.

...[A]s soon as Mitt Romney does what he's promised to do in his first week in office, which is to get rid of Obamacare, that immediately means an extra $600 that they have to pay for their drugs every single year. Every year. That's what that means right off the bat. Then beyond that, even without any change in the law, simply allowing what they want their budget to go into effect will mean thousands and thousands of dollars more that seniors will have to pay.

And it's not just seniors. You know, look, I'm in my 50s. One day, I'll be on this plan myself and I'll be paying more. So will people in their 40s, people in their 30s. There's no end to it. And for what? For what purpose? So that Mitt Romney can have a tax cut? You know, Mitt Romney wants millionaires in America to have a tax cut because Mitt Romney wants a tax cut. That's what it comes down to. And he and his selfish friends are going to gut government and gut the economy for the sake of that. Now, we have a president who believes in good government and we have a candidate who believes in no government. America can figure out which one is better for America.

...[B]ecause seniors vote in higher numbers than younger people do-- and that will be true this year, like it is true every year-- you might see seniors making up as much as half of the electorate in Florida this year. And seniors are beginning to realize that Romney is basically conducting a shell game.

The interesting thing is when the President points out all these elements, deficiencies in what Romney's proposing for the country, Romney doesn't even take a stab at defending the Ryan plan. He doesn't even try to do it even though he's endorsed it in the past. He can't explain why it's right after the President explains why it's wrong. That means it's wrong.

Polling has consistently proven Grayson correct on this: "If there is anywhere Paul Ryan’s Medicare proposal should be met with death stares, it is in Florida’s retirement communities. Indeed, 40% of the entire state opposes his plan, with only 24% supporting it. 37% of the seniormost voters are against it, but the largest age bloc in opposition is the youngest. 50% of those 18 to 29 years old oppose, and only 15% support it. These are the voters the plan would most affect, as the value of the vouchers over the next 40 to 50 years would cover less and less of the cost of private insurance." And CNN's poll found the same dynamic nationally. "The poll indicates that 58 percent of the public opposes the Republican plan on Medicare, with 35 percent saying they support the proposal."

Of course Sharpton and Grayson were discussing the presidential race and that's where the focus was on all the Sunday talking heads shows yesterday as well. But Ryan's "kill Medicare/privatize Social Security" agenda, which has been embraced by virtually the entire Republican Party, will have severe consequences in individual congressional races as well. Despite putting on a brave face, the NRCC and the Florida GOP have asked Ryan to stay out of Florida for now. In fact, Ryan will be conspicuous by his absence today while Romney campaigns in Florida.

Romney was aiming for above-the-fold Sunday newspaper coverage

Romney adviser Kevin Madden denied that the campaign was keeping Ryan out of Florida because of his proposal to privatize Medicare for people under 55; tinkering with the program for the elderly has long been toxic in Florida politics... Madden said that the campaign believes that Ryan will be a particular asset in the Great Lakes.

Madden suggests Ryan will be helpful in Iowa, which isn't anywhere near any Great Lake, but where Ryan is visiting a fair today. New York's 23rd CD is lapped by the waters of Lake Erie and within spitting distance of Lake Ontario-- TWO Great Lakes. And the Democratic challenger there, progressive county legislator Nate Shinagawa, thinks his own campaign will be well-served by Romney's selection of Ryan. "Republicans," he said, "are doubling down on their failed priorities. Congressman Paul Ryan wrote the plan to end Medicare as we know it so that the private insurance companies funding their campaigns will profit while seniors will pay more for their health care. He and Congressman Tom Reed voted to make it law. They believe that the way forward is more tax breaks for those who need them the least and deep cuts in education from Head Start to college aid. Congressman Paul Ryan and Congressman Tom Reed believe that we can grow our economy with deep cuts to the transportation infrastructure that forms the backbone of American manufacturing... Congressman Ryan and Congressman Reed are raising money from the same outsourcers and billionaires their failed policies put first."

This message from Nate is very much like the message we're hearing from Democratic challengers all over the country. And when the GOP tries claiming it's President Obama who hasn't protected Medicare... well other than Hate Talk Radio devotees, no one is buying it. When we hear them squawking that Obamacare cut Medicare by hundreds of billions of dollars, what people are talking about is ending huge unnecessary subsidies to insurance companies through a program called Medicare Advantage. This was not something Democrats pulled out of a hat; it was something that Democrats had honed in on for years. Henry Waxman in particular worked hard to expose this typical Republican waste during the Bush years. Republicans still try to argue it would end up costing seniors through higher Medicare Advantage premiums but it hasn't; in fact those premiums have gone down. The Affordable Care Act, what the GOP still calls ObamaCare, cut insurance company handouts, which were corporate welfare at its worst-- exactly what we should be cutting. Ryan's toxic plan turns the whole program into an inadequate voucher program. And, oddly enough, Ryan's budget hypocritically keeps these cuts to corporate welfare. When other Republicans propose repealing those cuts, they're proposing to blow a huge hole in the budget to fund pure corporate welfare, or "crony capitalism" as Ryan likes to rail against.

Another thing that Ryan, the #1 GOP spokesperson for the exact same Austerity agenda that has failed so miserably in Europe, rails about is budget deficits. David Firestone's extensive OpEd in yesterday's NY Times makes that sound pretty hollow for a Republican with Ryan's long and disgraceful record in Congress.
The plans Mr. Ryan submitted as House budget chairman-- which are now Mr. Romney’s too-- were never models of clarity, but they at least made his priorities quite stark: more than three-fifths of his cuts would come from low-income programs like job training, Pell grants and food stamps. That’s not something Mr. Romney ever talked about on the stump, raising the question of whether the vice-presidential choice will end up defining the man at the top of the ticket better than Mr. Romney has himself.

Mr. Romney wants to offload federal responsibility for Medicaid and move it entirely to the states by turning it into a much cheaper block-grant program. He claims this approach would save $200 billion a year, but never mentions that this would force states to drop coverage for at least 14 million people when states are unable to keep up with rising medical costs, which would raise emergency costs at local hospitals. He says he supports Mr. Ryan’s plan to provide the elderly with a fixed amount to buy either traditional Medicare or private plans, but has also said he would issue his own Medicare plan this fall, far too late.

Beyond his standard line about undoing financial reform and Mr. Obama’s “anti-carbon” agenda, Mr. Romney has also vowed to repeal any Obama regulation that might burden the economy, without telling us which ones. Could he mean the power-plant rule that keeps mercury out of children’s lungs, perhaps? Or the one requiring better brakes on big trucks? Or the one expanding disability protections to people with AIDS or autism? Don’t expect an answer.

The Romney campaign decided long ago that it didn’t need a real economic plan of its own when it could just bash the president’s. “As long as I continue to speak about the economy, I’m going to win,” he said last month. Voters, he is saying, need not inquire further.

Now, let's go back to how Ryan on the national ticket will wreck GOP prospects in congressional races around Florida. And we don't even need to go into the mistrust right-wing Cubans have for him because of his support to end the trade ban against Castro. Let's leave the Cuban politics to work themselves out in their own world and move up the coast towards the red-hot race for the 22nd CD that will pit progressive Lois Frankel against self-confessed Ryan devotee Adam Hasner, who earned the #3 slot for craziest congressional candidate for 2012. Hasner is on Romney’s Florida steering committee and he's become well-known for scaring the hell out of seniors-- and anyone smart enough to know that someday they will also be a senior-- by saying "do we want to transition completely out of that, we want to change the way we pay for Medicare and allow people to access healthcare benefits at a certain age, we want to change what Social Security is, those are the thing we need the next generation to be involved with, not later on, but now and be part of that debate.”

Funny thing is, over 27% of the voting population is over 65 in the 22nd District. In poll after poll, over 70% of seniors of those people oppose the Ryan plan after hearing arguments from both sides. Now that Ryan on Romney’s ticket, Medicare is sure to be the central issue of the campaign. Romney's pick will seriously hurt candidates like Hasner, who thought they could pretend to be "moderates," sweeping their Tea Party radicalism under the rug until November 7th. Yesterday Lois told us that "Ryan's selection should throw red flags here in Florida, where so many seniors live, and where our economy is connected so closely with the quality of life our seniors can enjoy... I think Romney's selection of Paul Ryan will be a serious drag on Tea Party candidates like my opponent, Adam Hasner. He's called the Ryan budget 'bold,' and thinks it doesn't go far enough. I don't think seniors are going to like the prospect of paying $6,000 more for health care."

In a rare moment of honesty, Rep. Connie Mack, who ducked out of voting for the Ryan budget in March, and is likely to be his party's Senate nominee after tomorrow, called Ryan's budget "a joke." A few days after the vote he refused to take part in he said "You know that budget was a joke, doesn't balance the budget for years." Florida Democrats don't agree with Connie on much-- nor with Newt Gingrich who told voters Ryan's budget was "right-wing social engineering," but they agree with both of them that Ryan's budget isn't serious.
"In selecting Paul Ryan, Mitt Romney has crystalized the contrast of this election," said Rod Smith, chairman of the Florida Democratic Party. "Ryan is the architect of Romney's extreme budget plan which would end Medicare as we know it, increasing the healthcare costs for Florida's seniors by thousands every year."

The state's Democratic Sen. Bill Nelson, who faces a stiff challenge in his bid for another term, quickly posted on Facebook.

"Romney VP pick bad for seniors. Signals an end to Medicare as we know it. My commitment to Medicare never stronger," Nelson said.

...Ryan had said the budget is based on Catholic social teaching. But in a letter, the Rev. Thomas J. Reese called that nonsense.

"I am afraid that Chairman Ryan's budget reflects the values of his favorite philosopher Ayn Rand rather than the gospel of Jesus Christ," said Reese, a Jesuit priest and senior fellow at the Woodstock Theological Center at Georgetown University. "Survival of the fittest may be OK for social Darwinists but not for followers of the gospel of compassion and love."

In the new 7th CD in the Orlando area, where both GOP incumbents, Sandy Adams and John Mica, are competing for their party's nomination, there can be no ducking the implications of the Ryan plan to kill Medicare and privatize Social Security. Adams and Mica both voted for it, and Democratic nominee Nicholas Ruiz is pounding both of them with their votes. Ruiz has been consistently saying all during the cycle that the majority of middle/working class voters realize that the Romney/Ryan ticket represents the most anti-New Deal ticket in American history. And it's not only Democrats, who are already keen to reject such anti-New Deal austerity, in the name of a fake entitlement crisis, but also NPAs and Republicans, many of whom appreciate the New Deal legacy of equal opportunity safeguards and prosperity.
"The outright attack on the majority of middle class interests will be the establishment Republicans' undoing-- they've gone too far. In fact, the GOP establishment has been going too far for decades, and are attempting to go farther still. The GOP establishment no longer authentically reflects the rank and file Republican's sensibilities. Sure, many of them are conservative-- but they're conservative about excessive war spending, and excessive environmental degradation, and the excessive Wall Street profiteering that is eroding opportunity for their families and friends. And many NPAs feel the exact same way. That's why, come November 6th, the GOP establishment is going to experience a stunning defeat in FL-7, while the working and middle class people are going to celebrate a great victory."

Ruiz doesn't care which of the anti-Medicare Republican incumbents wins tomorrow's primary. When it comes to not protecting working families and seniors in central Florida, Mica and Adams really are just tweedledee and tweedledum. Other Republican House incumbents in Florida who voted with Ryan to kill Medicare and who could be hurt by his inclusion on the ticket are Bill Young (FL-13), Vern Buchanan (FL-16), Allen West (FL-18), and David Rivera (R-26).

I bet Romney and the GOP don't want a repetition of this scene from Wisconsin where Ryan joked about a senior citizen being handcuffed and hauled away for protesting his denigration of Medicare and Social Security as though they were "welfare" or "entitlements," which is how shady right-wingers like Ryan try to stigmatize the two programs.

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Friday, January 20, 2012

DINO Patrick Murphy Gets Conservative Super PAC Love

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Before Patrick Murphy changed his party affiliation...

Unless you live in Florida-- and have a really good memory-- you probably don't remember banker Bill Phillips, who self-financed a run for the U.S. Senate in 2004. Yesterday I got my hands on some interesting info about a new "pro-business" Super PAC he's starting that plans to pour between $1.5 and $2 million into some districts to help their own brand of Mitt Romney-type rich young businessmen get elected as "Democrats." Even more outrageous, the group is hijacking the English language to call these reactionaries "progressives." Pro-business means that they will support Big Business initiatives and policies that are anti-consumer, anti-worker and, more often than not, anti-investment. They're all about the 1% of Americans who the Republicans and conservative Democrats fight to protect and adamantly against the interests of ordinary working families.

The absurdity of that "progressive" description is beyond ridiculous, especially when each of the candidates the group is supporting is really just a DINO. As just one example, supposed "Democrat" Patrick Murphy in South Florida (the 22nd District, currently cursed with Allen West) is one of its key "finds." Murphy, who we already met last year, was a registered Republican until 2011 and even after that has still received multiple donations from GOP hot shots including Charlie Crist. Sometimes I fear he is just running in the race as a distraction so that the actual Democrat, and proven progressive, Lois Frankel, has a tougher time beating the delusional Allen West.

Meanwhile, it’s clear that Murphy is a conservative careerist eager for the next step on his path to glory. Like I just said, last year Murphy was a registered Republican writing checks for thousands of dollars to Republicans like Charlie Christ and Mitt Romney. Why would anyone want someone like this in Congress? Why would DCCC Chair Steve Israel even be playing footsie with him? Clearly, he would just be another vote for the toxic Blue Dog agenda and would never fight for what Democrats value.

Back to Phillips' ridiculous pro-business Super PAC, American Sunrise. Another early "find" for these clowns is Andrew Hughes, a conservative Seattle tax lawyer, who dropped out of the list the same day Phillips let the press know about his new operation. Phillips, who's worked for Bank of America, Morgan Stanley Smith Barney and Citigroup, is now president of Defero, a consulting firm. "We think there is a new generation of leaders ready to step forward and that there's some good opportunities for wins in three to five congressional races." Sure-- self-fancied "leaders" for the 1% with nothing "new" about them except their names and faces. Whoopie!

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Friday, December 09, 2011

Thuggish Republican Allen West Says It's OK To Beat Up Peaceful Protesters

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Sometimes I worry about my old pal, radio host Nicole Sandler. She keeps pressing her luck. Her district is represented by fascist Allen West and she keeps questioning him. Fascists don't like being questioned. He had her dragged out of a Florida townhall, arrested and jailed a few months ago. And this week she had the temerity to show up at his DC office with a whole bunch of other constituents to talk with him about his voting record against the middle class. You know, even before he managed to get into Congress, West was known for having been kicked out of the military for torturing a suspect he didn't like. That's why I worry about Nicole; West is a dangerous sociopath and if he can hurt her and get away with it, he will.

"It sickened me to see his name on the door of a congressional office," Nicole told me today. "Allen West should be in a military brig, not in Washington DC. I went with a group of other constituents to see him, and he refused to meet with all but four of us. Even his staff was rude, something I didn't encounter in any other office I visited. I guess that's just his leadership trickling down.

"I've invited him on my show numerous times, as he says he represents ALL of his constituents. I think that means all of his constituents who agree with his twisted way of thinking."
West, an Army veteran, became a YouTube sensation by criticizing “this tyrannical government” and crying out: “if you’re here to stand up to get your musket, to fix your bayonet, and to charge into the ranks, you are my brother and sister in this fight.” He said that the country was engaging in “class warfare” between “a producing class and an entitlement class,” which is composed of Obama supporters.

While serving in Iraq, he was forced out of the Army for his violent handling of an investigation of a police officer. During the interrogation, West dragged “him outside, pushed his head into the sand, and fired a gun next to his face to get him to sing.” According to West: “It wasn’t torture. Seeing Rosie O'Donnell naked would be torture.”

A real comedian!

Lois Frankel, the frontrunner among Democrats eager to challenge West at the polls next year, doesn't think he's very funny. After his appearance on Fox earlier this week, glorifying violence to some zombie right-wing propagandist masquerading as a journalist, against his own constituents for protesting, peacefully, at his office-- this is, after all, specifically guaranteed by the Constitution he's sworn to defend-- Mayor Frankel had a suggestion for him: "Allen West needs to re-read the copy of the constitution that he carries around in his pocket. West is there to represent all of his constituents not just the four that he let in his office." She issued an even stronger statement to West Palm voters:
Congressman West has again shown how out of touch he is with the concerns of the middle class. For Congressman West to joke about violence directed at citizens exercising their constitutional rights and expressing their outrage at a system that he helped tilt against them is disgraceful. West's contempt for working families and seniors will not create jobs for Floridians or help the country tackle the deficit responsibly. Mr West, when will you actually have the courage to defend your plan to protect billionaires at the expense of Medicare and a middle class tax break? Once again Allen West panders to the most extreme Washington elements and makes fun of the very people he is supposed to serve and represent. Congressman West's behavior proves why we need to make a change in Congress and get it working for Florida's hard pressed families. West's behavior yet again confirms that he is an arrogant elitist who embodies all that is wrong with Washington.

The is an important race-- a Democratic district with one of the most-- if not the most extreme right-- Member of Congress. The one percent is running their own candidate in the Democratic primary, "former" (he switched party registration a few months ago so he could run) Republican Patrick Murphy. If it's an Allen vs Murphy face-off, the one percent wins-- and laughs. Lois Frankel has a record of standing up for the middle class and working families. Allen West and Patrick Murphy don't. When Allen West becomes a fulltime Fox commentator in 2013, let's make sure he's replaced by a real Democrat, not a rich Blue Dog type. And, yes, West is already practicing for his new role: "I’m very concerned about this very divisive rhetoric the president is using when he continues to talk about ‘equality’ and ‘fairness’ and this thing that I think is really contrary to the principles that I mentioned, as far as life, liberty, and pursuit of happiness. Because the government cannot guarantee happiness."


UPDATE: Patrick Murphy Fundraiser

If you're a wealthy Republican-- but like a mainstream one, not a crazy one-- you might want to consider going to Patrick Murphy's fundraiser at Morgan & Ibrahim Al-Rashid home at 2443 Fisher Island Drive on Fisher Island this Tuesday evening. Minimum contribution is $500 but you get to schmooze with that great Democratic fighter for progressive values, ex-Governor Charlie Crist, perhaps more of a Democrat than Murphy is.

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Wednesday, November 30, 2011

How Is Right-Wing Extremist Allen West Working Towards A Win In A Blue District?

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A crop of unique and extraordinarily unqualified men and women were elected to Congress last year. It's the ultimate damage the Koch-funded Tea Party did to America. And a case can be made that there was no worse outcome than the defeat of moderate Florida technocrat Ron Klein by raging right-wing extremist and proven sociopath Allen West. Disappointed Democrats and left-leaning independents in Broward and Palm Beach counties didn't bother coming out to vote. In the mid-term before (2006), 43,746 Broward voters gave Klein a 51-47% victory over longtime Republican incumbent Clay Shaw. In Palm Beach County is was 63,611- 59,120 for another 51-47% win for the challenger. Last year it turned around... badly. Klein only managed 39,654 votes in Broward (to West's 46,146) and 60,150 in West Palm (to West's 72,744). In both counties, the GOP vote went up and the Democratic votes... just evaporated. The 22nd CD had been steadily supporting Democratic presidential candidates in recent times. Gore beat Bush 52-48%. Kerry beat Bush 52-48% and in 2008, Obama beat McCain 52-48%.

That brings us to 2012... well first to 2011. The Republican legislature, in strengthening several endangered neighboring Republican districts (Webster's and Rivera's particularly), gerrymandered the area in such away that clearly threw West under the bus. McCain's 48% in 2008 would have been a 44% in the new boundaries... very bad news for West, who doesn't even live in the district.

Ironically, the crazed and clownish West, who will probably get a Fox TV show in 2013, leads all GOP freshmen in fundraising through Sept. 30, bringing in $4.2 million and managing to raise more than half, $2.3 million, in amounts of $200 or less. Two years ago, he’d collected only $543,808 in the same period. The kooks and nuts across the country identify with his sick Jack Bauer persona.

There are two Democrats running for the nomination to take on West, former West Palm Beach Mayor Lois Frankel and Patrick Murphy, a rich young businessman with suspicious credentials as a Democrat. In fact, until last January he was a registered Republican, something the DCCC never lets stand in the way of recruiting. They LOVE rich, conservative candidates, regardless of politics.
Miami Dade Supervisor of Elections records shows that Murphy was a registered Republican in Miami-Dade county from 2004 up until January of 2011 and he cast his vote in the 2010 elections as a registered Republican.  Murphy changed his party affiliation from Republican to Democrat mere months ago- on January 10, 2011, according to the Miami-Dade Supervisor of Elections... [W]hat’s most revealing about Murphy’s party switch is that given its proximity to the announcement of his candidacy for Congress, it appears that it was done much more for political expediency than for any other possible motive.

Like Frankel, Murphy has raised more than $1 million, although, unlike hers, which comes primarily from small donors, he's getting larger sums from suspicious, wealthy sources.

Before buying his way into the Democratic Establishment's good graces by giving "ex"-Blue Dog Steve Israel, the corrupt and reactionary head of the DCCC, $2000 in March (plus $2,400 to Florida's Democratic Senator Ben Nelson in January, $2,500 to Obama and $4,800 each to Debbie Wasserman Schultz and Ted Deutsch this year), Murphy had been a GOP donor and had been contributing thousands of dollars to Charlie Crist (that's them together below) and Mitt Romney.

Something about Murphy stinks. I'm wondering if he's not part of a Republican scheme to give Allen West an easy time. Is it possible that he was recruited by the GOP to run against Frankel in the primary so that she spends all her money and isn't prepared to fight off West's millions in teabaggy and corporate cash?

Murphy sent an email to supporters, claiming he's "proud to stand with the 99 percent" and denounced West's name-calling comments identifying the Occupy protesters as "communists," "Marxist," "Stalinist," and "socialist" in the same sentence and adding that they're just a bunch of "gangs." But what does this rich Republican Mitt Romney donor know about OccupyWallStreet?

This is smelling more and more like a typical Republican trick, where the GOP incumbent recruits his own weak "Democratic opponent." DWT uncovered this type of scheme in 2006 when California's most crooked congressman, Jerry Lewis, manufactured his own make-believe opponent, Louie Contreras, who completely disappeared after winning the primary. Since then we've seen other Republicans trying the same trick. It's the second best thing to not having any opponent. We're going to have to dig a little deeper into Murphy and see what's really there.


UPDATE: More West Antics Roil Florida Politics

Although yesterday's biggest news regarding West was his call for Herman Cain to drop out of the presidential race/book campaign because of his philandering, a bit of West news is exploding inside Florida political circles. After the new maps came out he supposedly decided to try to switch districts by challenging Tom Rooney. West never lived in the 22nd CD anyway and now it's way bluer than it was when he managed to pull off his win last year. He lives in Debbie Wasserman Schultz's district but he doesn't have the guts to challenge her; he's always been a big mouthed coward. So he's going after Rooney, a befuddled GOP backbencher in way over his head.
"Allen's strongly considering making a move," said a highly placed source affiliated with West's camp. "It's not a big move, just a few miles away."

West's best move-- running for U.S. Senate-- still appears to be off the table. But West gave it a second thought recently, another source said. And he could jump in that race, though it's less likely.

All this talk is both premature and potentially too late. On one hand, the Legislature has yet to meet to sign off on the plans. And the Florida House hasn't even proposed its own version. But, sources in the Legislature tell us that the House is more inclined to adopt major portions of the Senate's Congressional map. So West needs to start making noise now, in part because legislators will have to decide whether to help him. Rooney has a key connection in the Legislature: uber-lobbyist and political fundraiser Brian Ballard, who has represented the gambling interests of the representative's family for years.

Regardless of what West and Rooney work out between themselves, DWT is supporting school teacher and progressive Democratic activist Dave Lutrin for the seat he should have won-- if not for interference from Rahm Emanuel-- in 2006. Lutrin filed for the 16th yesterday. You can contribute to his campaign here. Between Grayson, Ruiz, Frankel and Lutrin, Florida Democrats may be fielding one of the most progressive batch of House candidates in the country!

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Tuesday, March 22, 2011

Is The Very Conservative Steve Israel Recruiting Candidates Too Conservative To Win Back Disaffected Democratic Voters?

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Nancy Pelosi appointed a conservative "ex"-Blue Dog-- a concept I believe in as much as I believe in an "ex"-gay-- to head the DCCC and win back the majority. Steve Israel has already boasted he's basically the same as Rahm Emanuel but without the potty mouth. Yesterday's NY Times ran a flattering profile of Israel and his troubles as DCCC Chair. It starts with how his conservative buddies in the Blue Dog Caucus-- who not only drag the whole party down with their Republican philosophy but who get the bulk of whatever money the DCCC manages to wring out of the disillusioned Democratic base-- have again refused to contribute to the DCCC. The same way that freeloader states like Louisiana, Alabama, Mississippi, Arkansas and Tennessee take far more from the federal treasury than they pay in, the Blue Dogs-- and many are from those very states-- mooch off the DCCC and never pay their fair share. Maybe it's something in the water down there-- or in the history.
It may seem surprising that the job of taking back the House-- Democrats need 25 seats to do so-- has fallen not to a bloodthirsty partisan, but to the easygoing Mr. Israel: an unassuming centrist from Long Island who once voted with President George W. Bush nearly half of the time and has barely made a mark after a decade in Congress.

Yet in a day spent shuttling back and forth between the House and Democratic headquarters with a reporter in tow, Mr. Israel, 53, shows signs that beneath his neighborly exterior-- he once formed a “Center Aisle Caucus” to promote civility in a polarized Congress-- lies a cold-eyed player of the inside game.

On the phone with a Democratic official who was wavering about a run in a crucial swing district in upstate New York, he has no time for niceties.

“If you’re standing on one foot, waiting and wishing, you’re just not going to be in the House of Representatives,” Mr. Israel says, putting the screws to his prospect like a salesman at an auto mall.

“I know what that feeling’s like,” he goes on. “You wake up, and there’s a new Democratic member of Congress that could’ve been you, except you didn’t move fast enough.”

Israel may have "once voted with President George W. Bush nearly half of the time" but lately he's tending towards voting an awful lot with John Boehner and Eric Cantor instead of with progressives. According to ProgressivePunch, since January Israel has reverted to his worst instincts, scoring an abysmal 47.83 crucial votes score, voting more often with the GOP than with the Democrats-- although only on the big issues. In fact, he has the exact same score as his buddy Heath Shuler-- just a teensy weensy better than Republican Ron Paul's 47.06. Several Blue Dogs have more progressive voting records than Israel.

Israel seems to have had a hand in recruiting West Palm Beach Mayor Lois Frankel-- who is being termed out of a job-- to run for a seat universally viewed as one of the most vulnerable GOP-held districts in the country, Allen West's Broward County/Palm County 22nd CD. In November's low-turnout election-- with energized teabaggers and disappointed and disillusioned Democrats creating a tsunami that hit Florida worse than any other state-- swept away innocuous but competent moderate Ron West and replaced him with one of the most extremist and batshitcrazy congressmen ever elected. This is a district that Gore, Kerry and Obama has each taken with 52% and a district that had previously elected Klein with 55% (2008 against West) and 51% (2006, against long-term incumbent Clay Shaw).

As we mentioned last week, a non-politician, environmentalist Patrick Murphy, has already jumped into the race. Although Frankel's Assembly voting record got more and more conservative as her 14 year stint wore on, she has every right to run and she may even be the best candidate-- I don't know. But what I do know is that Israel and the DCCC (and Debbie Wasserman Schultz) should stay out of the race and let the Democrats of FL-22 decide.

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