Thursday, March 05, 2020

Obama: "I Feel The Bern." Does Elizabeth Warren?

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Elizabeth Warren did miserably Tuesday, even losing her own state-- and keeping Bernie from winning it against Biden! Although as more votes are counted, her total delegates may go up, as of Thursday at midday, he had won a mere 40 delegates bringing her total to just 48-- compared to 511 for Status Quo Joe and 459 for Bernie. As of Wednesday morning, she had won 7 delegates in California, 1 in Colorado, 2 in Maine, 17 in Massachusetts (less than either Biden or Bernie), 10 in Minnesota, 1 in Tennessee and 2 in Virginia. As you know, she ended her campaign this morning.

She took Wednesday off and flew home to Boston to reassess and decide if she should drop out and, if she does, to endorse Status Quo Joe or Bernie or no-one. A campaign aide told that media that she "is talking to her team to assess the path forward."

And now that she's dropped out, where are her supporters likely to go? A late February Morning Consult poll asked them who their second choice is. This is how it looked then-- and, obviously without her endorsing anyone:
Bernie- 40%
Status Quo Joe- 16%
Mayo Pete- 16%
Klobuchar- 12%
In a press release from US-Bookies.com in Denmark-- which shows Trump as the heavy favorite to win reelection against Trump-- all bets are on Elizabeth endorsing Bernie. "Odds suggest that Bernie Sanders is [the] most likely candidate to receive Elizabeth Warren’s endorsement, according to betting aggregators US-Bookies.com/. Sanders is the odds-on favorite to received Warren’s endorsement at 2/7, while the odds she endorses Biden are a more distant 5/2."

This is just plain horrible:





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8 Comments:

At 9:34 PM, Anonymous Anonymous said...

Warren knows what she did to Bernie. She knows what people like me are going to have to say about her actions (I refuse to get personal about her).

But on the other hand, she knows what the Party is going to do to her if she joins Bernie and they lose.

She should have thought about this before she announced she was running.

 
At 3:32 AM, Anonymous Anonymous said...

This post announces my departure from DWT, not just the comments but the whole miserable heap.

Everybody - and I suspect most of the commenters are some combination of bots and trolls - has deep insight into the inner workings, insight denied to us mere mortals. What a bunch of sexual intellectuals! You know: fucking know-it-alls.

Dear trolls, make sure you get your kicks in before I'm out the door.

 
At 4:05 AM, Blogger CNYOrange said...

Hate to say this but Warren's best path to the presidency is to endorse Biden on the contingency he name her is VP. When his dementia gets to the point his candidacy is no longer viable she can take over as the nominee.

 
At 4:42 AM, Anonymous Anonymous said...

That may well be her plan, CNYO, but Wall St will NOT allow that to happen. Warren is going to be screwed out of this just like she did to Bernie. Wealth must be defended no matter how much it costs everyone else!

 
At 7:38 AM, Anonymous Anonymous said...

CNYO, if you look at the delegate distribution of the remaining primaries, including closed primaries in New York and Pennsylvania where Bernie likely won't do well, Biden doesn't need Warren's endorsement and he doesn't need her on the ticket to get to 1911 delegates for the nomination on the first ballot.

 
At 10:02 AM, Anonymous Anonymous said...

Biden will never name Warren his VP, because his donors will never allow it. Same with Treasury. Even in his campaign tweet, they were pretty clear about this! i.e. "you are needed back in the Senate". LOL. Compare that to Bernie's response.

Others have risked a lot more and deserve to be lifted up and supported going forward.

Btw, I doubt that Biden is the eventual nominee, because he is so clearly out of it. That's part of the reason for the intervention by Obama et al before Super Tuesday was so critical (e.g. in a period where there is a two week gap before the next debates). Warren could have played a part in countering that -- the Sanders campaign, which ran a perfect race through the first three contests, might have been able to forestall some of that as well with a win or a close lose in South Carolina. e.g. with hindsight they needed to spend a lot more money on advertising in the state, hitting Biden more on things like Social Security, boosting Sanders more in connection with Obama.

If it comes down to it, I suspect we'll probably see something like a Bennet-Harris ticket. e.g. young fresh faces, that will be sold as part of a massive media blitz in the months before November. i.e. candidates who are known quantities and loyal servants of finance and the national security state and who will engage in as little fundamental change as Biden for the interlocking set of wealthy, corporate interests, that tend to control the party.

I'm hard pressed to think that the party is going to actually allow Biden to be the nominee either at this point. Of course, Bernie still has a path too, but post-Super Tuesday it is a very narrow one.

 
At 10:32 AM, Anonymous Anonymous said...

There could be a potato in the race running against Bernie and the networks, wall street and the DNC would decorate, manage, promote and market the potato to convince the world that the potato "can get it done" and your Trump nightmare will be over. Warren can do what she wants, endorse if she wants, it doesn't matter, as the corporately funded Mr. Potato will still be there and the choice of a people funded candidate vs Mr. Potato is there for voters to choose. The majority of americans prefer safety over all else. They scare easily and if told a potato will bring them effortless, predictable routines they probably will vote for it.

 
At 1:46 PM, Anonymous Anonymous said...

The spud would be smarter than biden, at least.

perhaps the lessons of 1980, 1984, 2000, 2004 and 2016 have finally been learned by the democrap party -- even a certifiable imbecile can get elected if properly marketed to the dumbest population of bipedal hominids in the history or earth.

Certainly, as the record shows, voters don't have a history of insisting that their highest office be held by someone with even average intellectual potential, to say nothing of any kind of traditional moral compass.

If H.L. Mencken (in the '20s!!!) had thought about it a little more, he might have said:

"As democracy is perfected, the office represents, more and more
closely, the inner soul of the people. We move toward a lofty ideal.
On some great and glorious day the plain folks of the land will
reach their heart’s desire at last, and the White House will be
adorned FOREVER MORE by a downright moron."

people think he was maybe being cynical about the presidency. but he was being honest about VOTERS.

 

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