Can Trump's Phony Emergency Declaration Be Stopped?
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The House-- 235 Democrats and 197 Republicans-- will pass a resolution of disapproval-- which can't be blocked by McTurtle. The national emergency law requires the Senate to take up the resolution within 18 days of the House passing it. But would a Republican-majority Senate pass it?
We'll get to that in a moment. Are there House Dems who would vote against the resolution? And are there Republicans who would vote for it? Probably and yes. The likeliest Democrats to cross the aisle on a high-profile vote like this are hard-core right-wing Blue Dogs. The two worst in the House are Jeff Van Drew (NJ) and Joe Cunningham (SC). I'm not certain who else would dare but maybe Kendra Horn (OK), Elaine Luria (VA), Anthony Brindisi (NY), Daniel Lipinski (IL) and Stephanie Murphy (FL).
On the other side, there are probably more Republicans who want to be seen as not backing Trump on this unconstitutional declaration. Brian Fitzpatrick (PA) would be a sure NO. Justin Amash MI) will make a decision based on constitutionality, which Tom Massie (KY) may do as well. Other Republicans I would watch closely include 5 New Yorkers--John Katko, Elise Stefanik, Peter King, Tom Reed and Lee Zeldin. Then there are some Republicans in very close races coming up in which independents will decide whether or not they will have another term in Congress: Fred Upton (MI), Greg Walden (OR), Chris Smith (NJ), Rodney Davis (IL), Mario Diaz-Balart (FL), Jaime Herrera Beutler (WA), Tom McClintock (CA) and Brian Mast (FL).
In the Senate, there are 53 Republicans and 47 Democrats and the resolution can't be filibustered-- so just 4 Republican defections would pass it... or at least a net of 4 Republicans. That caveat is there because it isn't unlikely that two Democrats, Joe Manchin (WV) and Kyrsten Sinema (AZ) will vote against it. If both do, the Dems will need 6 Republicans. 8 Republicans have already said they oppose the declaration:
• Susan Collins (ME)Just because these Republicans say they oppose the declaration doesn't mean they will vote with the Democrats. Look at the record of Sasse, Rubio and Rand Paul, for example, making noise and then folding and sticking with Trump at the first sign of trouble. But... there are several other Republicans who have serious doubts and could vote no. The senators who have already gone on record that they agree with Trump and think he made the right decision: Mike Braun (IN), Shelley Moore Capito (WV), Bill Cassidy (LA), Kevin Cramer (ND), Mike Crapo (ID), Steve Daines (MT), Nan Fischer (NE), Lindsey Graham (SC), Josh Hawley (MO), John Hoeven (ND), James Inhofe (OK), John Kennedy (LA), McTurtle (KY), David Perdue (GA), James Risch (ID), Rick Scott (FL), Tim Scott (SC), Richard Shelby (AL). Everybody else, in theory, is up for grabs. Cory Gardner (CO) is a maybe. So are John Cornyn (TX), Ron Johnson (WI), Mike Lee (UT), Mitt Romney (UT) , Pat Roberts (KS) and Martha McSally (AZ). Hey imagine if McSally votes against the state of emergency and Sinema votes for it!
• Lamar Alexander (TN)
• Rand Paul (KY)
• Lisa Murkowski (AK)
• Marco Rubio (FL)
• Thom Tillis (NC)
• Pat Toomey (PA)
• Ben Sasse (NE)
If it passes, Trump will veto it-- at least according to Steven Miller Sunday. Then the Senate would need 67 votes to override. That seems like quite a stretch, especially if Sinema and Manchin stick with Trump.
Meanwhile 16 states are suing Trump over his emergency declaration-- California, Colorado, Connecticut, Delaware, Hawaii, Illinois, Maine, Maryland, Michigan, Minnesota, Nevada, New Jersey, New Mexico, New York, Oregon and Virginia.
California Attorney General, Xavier Becerra: "Today, on Presidents Day, we take President Trump to court to block his misuse of presidential power... [Trump] is willing to manipulate the Office of the Presidency to engage in unconstitutional theatre performed to convince his audience that he is committed to his 'beautiful' border wall. We’re suing President Trump to stop him from unilaterally robbing taxpayer funds lawfully set aside by Congress for the people of our states... Unlawful southern border entries are at their lowest point in 20 years, immigrants are less likely than native-born citizens to commit crimes, and illegal drugs are more likely to come through official ports of entry."
Labels: national emergency, Resolution of Disapproval, Trump's wall
posted by DownWithTyranny @ 9:00 PM
3 comments
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3 Comments:
We can drone on about this like Trump did in his sing-song chant. I think the Republicans will pass it, Trump will veto it, and the Senate will not have a veto proof majority, Of course, I could be wrong. But hey, would anyone like to bet on it with me?
As far as the courts. What will the Supreme Court do? My son, an attorney, has faith in the professionalism of the courts and he thinks the judges will act like professionals. Um, I am not sure, not sure at all. Clarence Thomas? A professional? I don't think so. How man questions has he actually asked in all his years on the court? Maybe two? What a horror he is, and his wife is some piece of work and surely an influence on him. And how long will this take to wind through the courts? Will the wall be put on hold?
And just WHO will enforce any adverse court rulings? To paraphrase Josef Dzhugashvili, how many divisions do the courts command? The only entity which MIGHT stop Trump is the military, which would immediately end the democratic republic. It isn't clear at this time which side they are on, for the cretins who believe themselves to be warriors after spending thousands of hours playing Call To Duty smell blood. It isn't going to matter to them if that blood is Venezuelan or American.
It won't be stopped. Eventually the supreme court will declare it okey-dokey because the constitution does not specifically address fake declarations. It may actually stand in the circuit courts.
there are the same 2 possible remedies available as there were once trump was "sworn" in:
the 25th which is moot since it would mean the Nazi party functionaries removing their tongues from trump's anus for them to invoke it.
impeachment. and we already knew, from 2006 (when the same degree of urgency existed), that Pelosi will never do her job; will never act forcefully for any reason; and will be gambling again that allowing the trump cluster fuck to continue to expand will help her party in the next election.
hoping for the military to intervene is proof of just how fucking stupid americans can be. *IF* the military intervenes, you can be assured that the result will not be good.
name one single military coup in history that made anything better.
Oh, sorry folks. I forgot that nobody in this shithole learned history in school... much less how to interpret history or apply any reasoning skills at all for any reason. it's the meskins. it's always been the meskins.
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