Monday, December 03, 2018

How We Pay For The Green New Deal Is Easier Than You Think

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I watch Stephanie Kelton videos on YouTube and I talk with her on the phone but one of the reasons I ventured out of balmy Los Angeles for the frozen shores of Lake Champlain was because I knew Stephanie would be speaking at Berniepalooza. She didn’t disappoint and speaking with her and watching her on the Green New Deal panels were highlights of my rare trip back east. On the other hand, reading her HuffPo Green New Deal piece over the weekend, co-authored by Andres Bernal and Greg Carlock, might’ve been a way to… not schlepp all the way to icy Vermont.

The Green New Deal is the best idea coming out of the run-up to the new Congress. My admiration for Alexandria Ocasio for bringing it to the fore, is immense. So how, in a hot house like Congress, can progressive power be leveraged to come up with a strategy the whole Congressional Progressive Caucus, as a jumping off point, can get behind-- at least as a clearinghouse for the maze of ideas and proposals going into it? (And remember, even the CPC includes sticky-palmed Oil and Gas whores like Frank Pallone and Donald Norcross.)

There was some frustration from progressives in Congress who had been seriously working on Climate Change when Alexandria popped up and inadvertently grabbed all the energy and headlines and stepped on the toes of everyone in sight. Carefully and subtly worked-out compromises were chucked right out the window without a moment’s thought. Like, for example, timing. So, for many, the big big problem with the Ocasio/Sunrise resolution was that it essentially takes legislative jurisdiction away from the committees which gets the backs up of all the members on Natural Resources and Energy and Commerce (Pallone in particular, as well as anyone else using the committee’s power to further their own financial… opportunities). Congress doesn’t work like that-- so, from my perspective but not from members', all the better Ocasio was casting it aside.

But that’s also why we didn’t see-- still haven’t seen-- Raul Grijalva sign on, for example. Pelosi had certainly planned to re-establish a Select Committee which will really do field hearings on the issue and drum up support for the most progressive legislation possible, but just like in 2006, there was no way she was going to permit it to include legislative jurisdiction, a big mistake and one Ocasio looked ready to challenge. A real challenge for progressives, though, is to not portray the committees as the "establishment"-- especially if they can seriously expect to get more progressives onto those committees. Whether unfortunately or fortunately, it looks like Ocasio has been persuaded to slow down a little and work within the committee system and go along with the non-legislative select-committee idea. Let’s hope it works out better than the 2006 version did. I have my doubts.


Now, back to Kelton and company’s apolitical We Can Pay For A Green New Deal.
Across America, calls for climate action are growing louder and more fervent. As Naomi Klein wrote this week, “[we have] been waiting a very long time for there to finally be a critical mass of politicians in power who understand not only the existential urgency of the climate crisis, but also the once-in-a-century opportunity it represents.”

We’re almost there.

We understand the problem-- we can’t allow temperatures to rise by more than 1.5 degrees Celsius. The United Nations Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change gives the world 12 years to make substantial reductions in greenhouse gas emissions to avoid severe climate effects later this century-- including in the United States. The urgency of the situation can’t be overstated.

We have momentum-- incoming Democrats, like Reps.-elect Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez of New York and Rashida Tlaib of Michigan, are building support for an ambitious climate plan, and more than 15 members of Congress are calling for a select committee with a mandate to draft comprehensive legislation: a Green New Deal. We have the outline of a plan: We need a mass mobilization of people and resources, something not unlike the U.S. involvement in World War II or the Apollo moon missions-- but even bigger. We must transform our energy system, transportation, housing, agriculture and more.

What we don’t (yet) have is the final, vital ingredient-- a critical mass of politicians prepared to unleash the enormous power of the public purse to save the planet. We need more political courage and less political consternation.

The Benefit, Not The Cost

Sure, it’ll cost a lot of money. That’s likely to rattle the nerves of self-proclaimed deficit hawks, Democrats and Republicans alike, who will ask the same tired questions: “How will we pay for it?” “What about the deficit and debt?” “Won’t it hurt our economy?” In fact, these questions are already coming, with the eager help of the fossil fuel lobby.

Republican Sen. Mike Lee of Utah recently said that “all the proposals I’ve seen so far… would devastate the U.S. economy.” Sen. Marco Rubio (R-FL) says he’s theoretically open to action but adds, “I’m also not going to destroy our economy.”

Democrats risk aiming low if they merely repackage proposals for “pay-go” infrastructure spending that would build more roads and bridges but fail to strengthen resilience to worsening climate hazards. These politicians, and the pundits who echo them, approach the debate all wrong. We can’t afford to let deficit politics stand in the way of an ambitious Green New Deal.

Here’s the good news: Anything that is technically feasible is financially affordable. And it won’t be a drag on the economy-- unlike the climate crisis itself, which will cause tens of billions of dollars worth of damage to American homes, communities and infrastructure each year. A Green New Deal will actually help the economy by stimulating productivity, job growth and consumer spending, as government spending has often done. (You don’t have to go back to the original New Deal for evidence of that.)

In fact, a Green New Deal can create good-paying jobs while redressing economic and environmental inequities. One policy vision, by the progressive think tank Data for Progress, is based on a foundation of equity and justice. It proposes a transition to a low-carbon economy using clean and renewable energy, the restoration of forests and wetlands, and the build-up of resilience in both rural and urban communities.

Rethinking The Budget

To save the planet and fix historical inequities, however, we must change the way we approach the federal budget. We must give up our obsession with trying to “pay for” everything with new revenue or spending cuts.

Are taxes an important part of an aggressive climate plan? Sure. Taxes can shape incentives and help change behaviors within the private sector. Taxes should be raised to break up concentrations of wealth and income, and to punish polluters for the cost and consequences of their actions. In a period without federal leadership on the climate crisis, this is how many state and local governments are considering carbon pricing. That’s useful-- not because we “need to pay for it” but to end polluters’ harmful behavior.

The federal government can spend money on public priorities without raising revenue, and it won’t wreck the nation’s economy to do so. That may sound radical, but it’s not. It’s how the U.S. economy has been functioning for nearly half a century. That’s the power of the public purse.

As a monopoly supplier of U.S. currency with full financial sovereignty, the federal government is not like a household or even a business. When Congress authorizes spending, it sets off a sequence of actions. Federal agencies, such as the Department of Defense or Department of Energy, enter into contracts and begin spending. As the checks go out, the government’s bank-- the Federal Reserve-- clears the payments by crediting the seller’s bank account with digital dollars. In other words, Congress can pass any budget it chooses, and our government already pays for everything by creating new money.

This is precisely how we paid for the first New Deal. The government didn’t go out and collect money-- by taxing and borrowing-- because the economy had collapsed and no one had any money (except the oligarchs). The government hired millions of people across various New Deal programs and paid them with a massive infusion of new spending that Congress authorized in the budget. FDR didn’t need to “find the money,” he needed to find the votes. We can do the same for a Green New Deal.

Despite lawmakers’ stated fears, larger public deficits are not inherently inflationary. As long as government spending doesn’t cap out the full productive capacity of the economy-- what economists call “full employment”-- it won’t spin prices out of control. Inflation isn’t triggered by the amount of money the government creates but by the availability of biophysical resources that money tries to go out and buy-- like land, trees, water, minerals and human labor.

The Deficits That Matter

Instead of talking about a numerical budget deficit, we should be talking about the deficits that matter, like our deficits in biodiversity, fresh water and the capacity of our environment to absorb pollution. We should be sounding the alarm about our deficits in education, in time we can spend with our families, in lifesaving medical care and access to mental health services, and in life expectancy itself. And what about our deficit in freedom from the violence of unemployment and jobs that pay starvation wages?

The shapers of the original New Deal understood this. James McEntree, director of the Civilian Conservation Corps, stated in 1941 that the CCC had “reversed the Nation’s traditional policy of using or wasting our natural resources at a rate faster than they were being replenished and had started the country on the way toward a balanced natural-resources budget.” (Emphasis added.)

The U.S. government can never run out of dollars, but humanity can run out of limited global resources. The climate crisis fundamentally threatens those resources and the very human livelihoods that depend on them.

The Only Conversation Worth Having

Once we understand that money is a legal and social tool, no longer beholden to the false scarcity of the gold standard, we can focus on what matters most: the best use of natural and human resources to meet current social needs and to sustainably increase our productive capacity to improve living standards for future generations.

This is ultimately how a Green New Deal can also help bridge our political divides. Rural communities in the Midwest have as much to gain economically from a Green New Deal as coastal urban areas. We can ensure Farm Bill subsidies help American farmers earn a good living by simultaneously feeding the nation, generating renewable energy and capturing carbon in soil. We can also boost manufacturing and construction jobs by retrofitting buildings, electrifying transportation and hardening our shoreline communities against sea level rise.

That such a visionary undertaking can align with and support Just Transition efforts-- led by communities of color, women and indigenous groups uniquely affected by the climate crisis— should also be viewed as an opportunity rather than a challenge or a burden.

Politicians need to reject the urge to ask “How are we going to pay for it?” and avoid the trap when it’s asked of them. A better question is: What’s the best use of public money? Giving it away to the top 1 percent who don’t spend it, widening already dangerous wealth and income gaps? Or investing it in a 21st century, low-carbon economy by rebuilding America’s infrastructure, bolstering resilience, and promoting good-paying jobs across rural and urban communities?

The greatest burden we are passing on to future generations is not the debt but our failure to respond to the climate crisis. We must move beyond the fatalism about paying for a Green New Deal so we can get to the conversation that matters most: How can a Green New Deal protect our finite natural resources, end the climate crisis and build the 21st century economy that works for everyone?

That’s the only conversation the American people should be willing to have.



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8 Comments:

At 5:48 AM, Anonymous Hone said...

There is a lot of moolah, many billions, that has been shoved into the Defense Department that has been and continues to be mismanaged and misappropriated. This huge amount of money could do wonders for a wide range of good works in America; that is, if anyone actually cares about doing good works. Certainly not the Republicans.

Nice editorial yesterday in the NY Times about the recent audit of DoD, after decades of avoidance. The DoD got a whopping F for its fiscal responsibilities. Terrible accounting, sloppy as hell, money and goods lost in the ether. Awful, pathetic computer programs. This is what the American people have been paying for? No one minding the store, anyone? Easy to spend tax payers' money with zero oversight, anyone? Huge graft, anyone? It is disgusting.

This has been going on for decades, in plain sight. Anyone recall the prices DoD paid for screws and toilet seats so many years years ago when this was exposed? Mind boggling what the DoD paid. This corruption is an old, old story and has gone on for way too long. Congress SUCKS at oversight.

The DoD should not get one cent in increases and should be mandated to get their acted together with OUR MONEY. Probably at least a third of it is misspent (my knee-jerk estimate). That a lot of moolah. Imagine what that could be doing for education, roads and health care.

This corruption everywhere is so freaking tiring.

 
At 6:06 AM, Anonymous Anonymous said...

Hone makes a solid point.

But why no mention of raising taxes to balance the stimulus of all those new dollars being spent, HYPOTHETICALLY, on this "GND"? Even creating millions of middle-caste jobs will be moot if the economy sees big inflation.

As FDR and the Democrats of the '30s through the '70s proved, building all that infrastructure that we all use without a single thought can be done on created money. But creating trillions for this will definitely cause inflation unless taxes are raised to cool it off.

Money is a tool, absolutely correct. But so are taxes. They are a way to disincentivize blind-rage greed. It could also limit the amount of capital available to bribe politicians and both sects of their party.

bingo. just arrived at the fundamental reason this will never, ever happen.

As you've already noted, even AOC has been bought. She endorsed Pelosi for speaker and has been cajoled into cooling her rhetoric on GND, et al. Soon, AOC will be endorsing 'paygo' which is anathema to any action on GND unless and until SSI, Medicare and Medicaid are gashed. Medicaid could likely just be eliminated.

'Paygo' normalizes the meme that taxes cannot be raised (nothing says they cannot be lowered more) and all spending must be revenue-neutral. That means when, not if, they cut taxes, sustenance shall be cut (the DOD is sacrosanct, dear Hone). And *if* any new spending, say on GND, is proposed, cuts have to be done on sustenance.

Trading a tiny bit of GND for gashes to sustenance is the opposite of progress. Anyone advocating it is not a progressive, by definition.

 
At 6:52 AM, Anonymous Anonymous said...

I slightly disagree with 6:06 about Alexandria she made a minor rookie mistake endorsing Nancy Pelosi but she's not bought & paid i have proof i wanna see what policy bills she'll introduced when she's sworn in she's brand new so let's give her a chance check out this link on who supported her campaign.

https://www.opensecrets.org/news/2018/07/alexandria-ocasio-cortez-boosted-by-out-of-state-donors-after-primary-win/

 
At 7:42 AM, Anonymous ap215 said...

The Green New Deal idea is a good bold first step by Alexandria & The Justice Dems it'll be DOA in the Senate however but it's a very good start & should be helpful in the long term.

 
At 1:14 PM, Anonymous Anonymous said...

6:52 and 7:42, as you should know, everything AOC (and anyone else) "introduces" will be ignored just as Kucinich's articles of impeachment were. AOC knows this so she is free to write just about anything at all. It'll all be a mirage aimed directly at stupid voters because Pelosi will nix all of them, as in those articles.

Jayapal's bill to eliminate ICE was not spiked by Pelosi because she was not the speaker nor tyrant of all committees. The Nazis saw what they and Pelosi saw as a political mistake and allowed the 'craps to make it.

In the end, Jayapal had to vote against her own bill to prevent its passage and its upsetting of 2 or 3 dozen Nazi voters who were still on the fence.

Pelosi will never allow any such occurrence again as she prevented them all before.

WTFU!

 
At 1:46 PM, Anonymous Anonymous said...

AOC's list of donors do not show what she's been promised in the future by those who NOW buy her services.

Skepticism seems to be a skill that these times still have not nurtured... maybe that's a statement more of the people than the times.

WTFU!

 
At 3:03 PM, Anonymous Anonymous said...

the key here is that it would be wise to do the things that are truly needed... and adjust the economy with taxes (and other means) reactively.

However, the current meme of giving all new money to the rich and taxing the proles for it (plus interest) later is all the last 2 generations of americans "understand".

And that's all that both sects of the money's party will ever do as well.

 
At 3:17 PM, Anonymous Anonymous said...

A GND would be revolutionary and, therefore, far too frightening and expensive to ever be affected by the politics known to mankind. It would also require a global repudiation of humankind's major religion -- capitalism.

but even if it was done immediately, it's still too late to reverse climate change.

The reason is that a GND would neither resequester carbon nor would it affect constraints on population growth.

Conversion to renewables alone won't matter. It likely won't even decelerate the climate change vector. All it could possibly do would be to dampen some of the baked-in ACCeleration to the vector.

It's the same futility that reducing the budget deficit would delude us with. It doesn't payu off the debt nor does it stop the debt increasing. It only slows the rate at which the debt keeps growing.

It takes a modicum of understanding of differential calculus to fathom... likely why voters won't ever make it happen.

 

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