Friday, June 08, 2018

November's Midterms Will Be A Referendum On Trump


The Republicans always planned that the Midterms would be all about the greatness of their tax cuts. That isn't working at all. And Plan B probably don't either. The Hill reported that they're "working on a backup plan in case the GOP tax law does not turn out to be a strong selling point for their party in this year’s midterm elections. While the booming economy is expected to be a core pillar of the GOP’s midterm messaging, it’s unclear whether the party is going to get credit for the tax law, which has lagged in polls."

Unfortunately for the Republicans-- and luckily for America-- the voters seem to have already made up their mind about Trump and his congressional enablers... and none of the plans from McConnell and Ryan-- the two least admired political figures in American politics-- are going to turn things around. The latest poll from NBC News and the Wall Street Journal shows why. Top line: "By a whopping 25-point margin, voters say they’re more likely to back a congressional candidate who promises to serve as a check on Trump. And by a similar margin, they say they’re less likely to vote for someone who has supported the president on most issues."

At the same time, six-in-10 are satisfied with the U.S. economy, and a plurality of voters give Trump credit for the economic improvement.

Despite that economic optimism, however, the poll shows that Democrats enjoy a 10-point advantage on congressional preference, with 50 percent of registered voters wanting a Democratic-controlled Congress, versus 40 percent who want a GOP-controlled one.

Democrats held a 7-point edge on this question back in April, 47 percent to 40 percent.

What’s more, Democrats are more enthusiastic about the upcoming midterms, with 63 percent of them registering either a “9” or “10” on a 10-point scale of interest, while just 47 percent of Republicans signal the same level of enthusiasm.

And 48 percent of voters indicate they’re more likely to support a congressional candidate who promises to provide a check on President Trump, compared with 23 percent who say they’re less likely to support such a candidate.

By contrast, a majority-- 53 percent-- say they’re less likely to vote for a candidate who supports the president on most issues.

The margins are even more pronounced among voters living in competitive states and congressional districts, with more than 50 percent of them signaling their support for a candidate who serves as a check on Trump.

“The polling data points to a repudiation of Donald Trump and to the benefit of Democrats,” says Democratic pollster Fred Yang, who conducted the survey with Republican pollster Bill McInturff. “I think this is becoming a traditional midterm where the party controlling the White House is going to lose seats.”

...Asked about the possibility of impeaching President Trump, 25 percent said their vote would be a signal of opposition for impeaching him, and 22 percent said it would be a signal of support for impeachment.

Thirty-three percent said their vote wouldn’t be a signal either way about impeachment, and another 20 percent said they were unsure.

Finally, 37 percent of voters say that-- based on what they’ve seen, read or heard-- Trump’s 2016 presidential campaign did collude or work secretly with Russia, while 34 percent disagree; 28 percent didn’t know enough to say.

Those findings are essentially unchanged from the December 2017 NBC/WSJ poll.

Additionally, a combined 53 percent of voters say they either had “some” or a “great deal” of confidence in special counsel Robert Mueller conducting a fair and impartial investigation, versus a combined 40 percent who have little to no confidence.

And 46 percent believe that Mueller’s investigation should continue, while 36 percent think it should be ended.

The Boston Globe noted that from statewide contests to local races all politics are about Trump. Over 40 state legislative seats have flipped from red to blue since he occupied the White House, the latest on Tuesday in a Missouri state Senate seat he had won. The DCCC is undermining local autonomy and their own grassroots to interfere in local primaries to elect the shittiest batch of unelectable garbage candidates imaginable. Nothing could elect the crap careerist candidates... from Jeff Van Drew (Blue Dog-NJ) to Gil Cisneros (Lottery Winner-CA) they are gettng the nominations for... except Trump hatred.

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At 3:11 PM, Anonymous Anonymous said...

Actually, they MAY yet be a referendum on how terrible the democraps are and have been.

If a Nazi mentions his democrap opponent and the name 'pelosi' in the same sentence, it's an automatic + 10% in November, except in SF.

So... what's WRONG with people in SF, anyway?


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