Wednesday, December 28, 2011

The return of layaway buying, as explained by James Surowiecki

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"The economists Barton Lipman and Wolfgang Pesendorfer argue convincingly that people have a profound distaste for temptation, and are willing to go to great lengths to avoid it. That's precisely what layaway does."

"Americans have been big spenders for decades now, but as Sheldon Garon observes in his new history of consumption, 'Beyond Our Means,' that's in large part because our economic system is set up to encourage overspending. . . . [T]he revival of layaway makes clear that, while many shoppers are prone to spend what they don't have on what they shouldn't buy, they can also be sophisticated about their weakness, and savvy about finding ways to control it."
-- James Surowiecki, in his new New Yorker
"Financial Page" piece,
"Delayed Gratification"

by Ken

The whole idea of "layaway" buying has always puzzled me. Layaway, you'll recall, is where you target a big- or biggish-ticket item sold by a participating retailer and make regularly scheduled payments until you've paid for the thing, and presto, it's yours! But you don't save anything by laying away. In fact, you normally pay a service fee for the privilege, while the retailer gets free use of all that money you're paying in while you're making payments.

I noticed that layaway seemed to have made a comeback for this holiday season, and was pleased to see that in the new (January 2) New Yorker, James Surowiecki has devoted his "Financial Page" to the phenomenon: "Delayed Gratification." At last, I figured, I could find out what I've been missing here.

It turns out, nothing much.


Surowiecki reminds us that layaway, which is more or less the exact opposite of the familiar "buy now, pay later" mindset to which most of us have become accustomed, was born in the Great Depression, when masses of Americans, with no access to credit, wouldn't have been able to afford big-ticket purchases any other way. He suggests that the return of layaway at this point in time is no coincidence.
Not long ago, layaway looked like a relic, thanks to the widespread availability of credit cards. The dismal economy has changed all that. As early as the fall of 2008, with the recession in full swing, Kmart started a campaign pushing layaway, and, as shoppers embraced the idea, retailers across the country have made it a big part of their holiday sales drive. Walmart had killed its layaway program for everything but jewelry in 2006. But this year it acceded to reality and brought layaway back.

"The key to understanding the appeal of layaway," Surowiecki writes, "is that most layaway programs require shoppers to make regular payments."

From a strictly financial perspective, layaway looks foolish. As critics point out, if you were to put the purchase on a credit card instead and pay off the amount in full by the time that the layaway period would have elapsed, you could well pay less in interest than the five-dollar service fee that most stores charge. Alternatively, if you don't have a credit card, you could put the money you're going to spend on the product into a savings account or under your mattress. That would save you the service fee and eliminate the risk that you'll have to pay a cancellation fee if you end up not making all the layaway payments.

What this analysis leaves out, however, is the way people actually behave. Even people who can pay off their credit cards often don't, since the whole structure of the credit-card industry is designed to make you irresponsible -- as long as you make a small monthly payment, the bank will carry you. In fact, that's what the bank wants: the profits in the credit-card business come from "revolvers," people who pay a small amount each month and rack up big interest charges -- far more than the five bucks they'd have spent on a layaway service fee. Layaway, by contrast, fosters virtue: it forces you to save, because if you don't make the payment you don't get the product. It's what psychologists call a "commitment device," a way to get yourself to do something that you want to do but know you'll have a hard time doing if left purely to your own devices.

And that really is it. As it turns out, as I said, there really wasn't any mysterious appeal of the scheme which was eluding my detection.

Well, maybe that's not entirely it. We mustn't underestimate the psychological dimension, Surowiecki suggests. "Layaway is also appealing," he writes, "because it helps people target their savings."
In economics textbooks, money is money, which makes it seem as if you could get the same results by making regular deposits into a savings account or even into a jar labelled "Christmas Money." But in the real world most of us rely to some extent on what the economist Richard Thaler calls "mental accounting" -- we split our money into different mental accounts, and treat it differently depending on what account it's in. Money that's in the bank is more likely to be spent on other things, while layaway insures that it'll be spent on one thing.

As Sendhil Mullainathan and Eldar Shafir show in a fascinating essay on the savings habits of low-income consumers, layaway is a popular way of making big purchases (like washing machines), because, if you don't have a lot of money, the presence of a sizable sum in the house or even in the bank means that you'll be constantly tempted to dip into it. The economists Barton Lipman and Wolfgang Pesendorfer argue convincingly that people have a profound distaste for temptation, and are willing to go to great lengths to avoid it. That's precisely what layaway does.

Not surprisingly, Surowiecki manages to divine a somewhat larger lesson in the resurgence of layaway.
It's common to think of American consumers as reckless dupes, myopically focussed on the present and easily led astray by their desires, with the buying binge of the years leading up to the crash proffered as Exhibit A. But consumer choices don't occur in a vacuum; they're always shaped by social and economic norms. Americans have been big spenders for decades now, but as Sheldon Garon observes in his new history of consumption, "Beyond Our Means," that's in large part because our economic system is set up to encourage overspending. And what the revival of layaway makes clear is that, while many shoppers are prone to spend what they don't have on what they shouldn't buy, they can also be sophisticated about their weakness, and savvy about finding ways to control it. They know that sometimes you have to have your hands tied in order to grab what you want.

This holiday season even Walmart relented and brought back layaway. (You can click to enlarge.)
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1 Comments:

At 5:43 PM, Anonymous me said...

Yes, layaway is stupid. But so what? You can't fight stupidity; might as well make money from it. Who knows, the experience might even smarten up some of the doofi.


Against stupidity the gods themselves contend in vain.
- Friedrich von Schiller

 

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