Saturday, July 10, 2010

Willkommen, Presidente, Willkommen

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It was just a little hyperbolic for the L.A. Times to speculate that Obama may have worn out his welcome on Capitol Hill. I talk with these congressmembers more frequently than any sane person should, and I guarantee you, I'm more disillusioned with Obama than any of them are-- and he'd still be welcome in my office. I'd even take him for a walk up above my house and introduce him to Murphy, Sargeant, Felice and Licorice. He could even feed them some dried duck breast. It's not like John Boehner, Darrell Issa, Mark Siljander or Miss McConnell. I'm still convinced that, unlike those four clowns, Obama is actually trying to do what's best for America. He just isn't too good at it, and his instincts... stink.

I hate Rahm more than any of them-- and I've hated him for far longer. And I don't want to see Obama's re-election prospects enhanced by the loss of Congress either. And the war in Afghanistan... well, maybe Barbara Lee was as committed to ending it as soon as I was. Healthcare reform, financial regulation, climate change... yes, he's an effing disappointment! But not welcome? He's such a nice guy. And he's sure not Boehner or McConnell, DeMint or Limbaugh. Right? Well...
For the last year and a half, on issues including healthcare, financial regulation and climate change, Democrats in Congress have bent for President Obama. Liberals swallowed hard to accept compromises that fell short of their long-sought goals, and moderates cast tough votes that now threaten their reelection prospects as voters revolt against government overreach.

Then, last week, the president asked them to bend yet again-- this time to approve more money for his troop buildup in an Afghanistan war that many Democrats oppose.

And once again, lawmakers went to work. On the eve of the vote last week, Democratic leaders compiled a complicated $82-billion package of war funding, disaster aid and domestic spending that achieved the seemingly impossible-- meeting the president's request while accommodating the needs of its politically diverse members.

Obama responded with a one-word message that sent shudders through his party on the Hill: veto.

In that exchange, the tension between the White House and the president's Democratic allies spilled over.

Obama has led what historians have called the most productive Congress since President Lyndon Johnson, but he may have a much harder time extracting difficult compromises in the future.

"You've got a lot of people doing a lot of heavy lifting here," said freshman Rep. Gerald E. Connolly (D-Va.). "I don't know that we expected flowers and chocolates," he said. But the president's response "was an unwelcome message."

In recent weeks, the president has expressed growing interest in the remaining items on his legislative agenda, including energy and immigration policy. Both are initiatives whose only hope at passage would require another legislative squeeze from the lawmakers who have already yielded to some of the president's toughest requests.

Yet compromise appears difficult as lawmakers approach the midterm election when they, not the president, must fight for their political lives in a tough electoral climate.

"There's no question we've taken on big policy issues," said Rep. Allyson Y. Schwartz (D-Pa.). "Each time we reach a heavy lift we think, 'How are we going to do more?' We do."

Perhaps no issue illustrates the divide between the president and his party as the troop increase in the Afghanistan war, an escalated military campaign that many Democrats opposed.

Liberals fought President George W. Bush on the war in Iraq. Some Democrats won their seats in the 2006 and 2008 elections doing so. But while many Democrats believe Afghanistan is the right war to fight, Obama's decision to add 30,000 more troops last winter gave the worried pause.

Because of deepening economic distress at home combined with political and military setbacks in Afghanistan, some Democrats see the war as one without end and one they cannot philosophically or economically support.

"I would rather do a little bit more nation-building here at home," said Rep. Jim McGovern (D-Mass.). The $37 billion approved for the war could pay for proposals to extend jobless benefits for the unemployed.

Pragmatic liberal lawmakers, for their part, wanted to use the emergency spending bill as a way to win approval for recession aid that would be difficult to pass otherwise as voters grow increasingly concerned about the national debt.

Rep. David R. Obey (D-Wis.), the flinty antiwar lawmaker and powerful chairman of the House Appropriations Committee, seized on the administration's interest in saving 140,000 teachers' jobs nationwide as a way to tack onto the war bill a legislative accomplishment that hews more closely to his caucus' agenda.

Obey has shepherded one war-spending bill after another through Congress for Bush and Obama. As the administration's support for the teachers' aid waned, Obey-- in what may be the final war bill before he retires at year's end-- made a passionate stand for the measure.

"There is nothing as expensive as ignorance, and ignorance is fed when you have an inadequate number of quality teachers," Obey argued during the floor debate.

Obey devised a complicated legislative strategy that appeased liberal lawmakers by allowing antiwar amendments and pleased moderates by paying for the $10-billion teachers' initiative without adding to the national debt.

But the White House was not pleased with the arrangement, threatening late Thursday to veto the package if it contained any antiwar provisions or cut programs favored by Obama to pay for the teachers' salaries.

The antiwar provisions failed-- though one measure to halt the troop buildup won 100 votes [actually 162 votes-- and a BIG majority of Democrats--, but who's quibbling?]. But the House pressed forward to save the teachers' jobs even in the face of the White House's objections, ensuring funding for not just guns, but butter too.

The bill now heads to the Senate, and House Democrats were furious at an administration that many see as tone deaf to the political realities facing lawmakers in a November electoral climate that is not expected to be friendly to incumbents.

"The White House needs to be more engaged with the House's agenda," said Rep. Steve Cohen, an antiwar Democrat from Tennessee. "The House is where its friends are."

As Obama turns to these friends in the weeks ahead, he may find it increasingly difficult to persuade them to yield to his remaining legislative priorities.

"I don't give a rip about the administration," said Rep. Dennis Cardoza (D-Atwater), whose Merced-area district in Central California faces one of the highest unemployment rates in the nation. "The administration can decide to be with us or not. I'm all about jobs for my district."

Cardoza is just some mangy old Blue Dog, but the president is losing real Democrats, and if the Blue Dogs abandon him... well, the Republicans saved his war agenda, but that's the only thing they'll help him do, short of destroying Social Security-- in which case, all welcome mats come in and the search for a primary opponent moves into high gear.

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3 Comments:

At 2:20 PM, Anonymous Matt Osborne said...

Frankly, I've gotten into the habit of stopping as soon as a blog post tells me the president has "failed" at reform. The president has only so much constitutional power to enact change and he was never, ever going to swing America left of center because he is a centrist. Moreover, you start reform with the Congress you have, not the Congress you might like to have or might have at a later time. Those congresscritters you're talking to? THEY, not Obama, are the problem in Washington. But they'll be happy to have you think he is.

 
At 4:38 PM, Anonymous Anonymous said...

I agree with Matt. Obama has accomplished a lot in 1.5 years. He's not perfect but it would be hard to find a president who is.

 
At 4:46 PM, Anonymous Anonymous said...

We'll never know what Obama could've accomplished when he had the momentum of his election - and the utter failure and disgrace of the GOP - going for him. Why?

Because he immediately pivoted and jettisoned all of the momentum and replaced it with centrist apologia. He neutered the energized OFA and surrendered the big policy questions to a phony dithering bipartisanship. This was the damned strategy! Nothing forced him into it.

If he'd worked the populist strategy he'd campaigned on with the full enthusiasm and machinery of the campaign, focusing on crucial congressional districts and certain senators' states, enough dominoes could possibly have fallen to have obtained a good public option and financial regulation with sabre teeth.

As I said above, we'll never know. The plan from the get-go was to work deals with Big This and Big That. Sure, I agree he's accomplished some good things (which could all have been better), but he didn't even try to use the momentum and strength he had to bend Congress to his will. His first bet was a near-stalemate and that's what he got and we're stuck with. The pot could've been much more lucrative.

-L. Piltz

 

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