Wednesday, August 20, 2008

So Now We Find Out If Obama Really Wants To Win... Or Not

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The Two

One would think that even with McCain doing everything possible to make himself completely implausible as a potential president-- from turning his campaign over to the most institutionally corrupt operators Inside the Beltway (lobbyists who seem to have gone so far as to spark a small war in the Caucases to benefit the campaign), to having clearly warned parents that their children would be drafted into the military-- Obama would be wondering why his polling numbers never get beyond 70%, not why he and McCain are in a statistical dead heat. And, maybe if Obama was 100% white instead of 50%, that would indeed be the case. But he's not and this is America and he's got to deal with it.

In the next few days we'll find out if he really wants to win the presidency. If he does he'll choose the obvious candidate who will rally Democrats, inspire millions of already disallusioned voters and send electric waves through the body politic. And her name isn't Kaine, Biden, Bayh or Sebelius. Hillary was anything but DWT's first choice for president. (We were for the adulterer/liar and then switched to Obama.) If Obama's tactic has been to make us absolutely nauseous with a display of how much worse a running mate he could pick than her, it's worked... it's worked 100%... 200%... a million percent. I'm no fan of Ralph Nader but in this case, he's right. Hillary's the one.

Robert Arena, a guy who knows of what he speaks-- big time-- has a post at AmericaBlog today talking about why McCain has been able to keep Obama from breaking out. There are a lot of bullet points. Here are a couple Obama should fix when he and Hillary are in front of a delirious audience in Denver next week:
• McCain has solidified his base and now gets 87% of Republicans to Obama's 82% of Democrats. There has been no shift in Clinton supporters since June - 72% will vote for Obama, 18% of McCain with 10% undecided. Only 6% of Republican primary voters who supported other candidates indicate they will vote for Obama.
• McCain is now over 50% with white voters, 51% overall, leads Obama in all groups other than college graduates where they are tied, and McCain is now at 60% with white voters in the south, a 7 point move in three weeks. These numbers all mirror the same vote breakdown in 2000 and 2004. The only group that has flipped since 2004 is 18-29 where Obama leads with 51% - a 13 point shift since 2000.

But, of course, there is no way that Obama's judgment is ever going to be even nearly as abysmal as McCain's. Listen to him talking to Larry King about the strongest national defense team in the history of the United States-- and who he would have picked as his running mate had he won the presidency he's been lusting for for so many decades:

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9 Comments:

At 7:36 PM, Blogger Marty said...

Honestly McCain can lose this for himself if he continues to be full of Sh@$. Just keep shining that light!

Iowa Democratic Party just released a new video-- on Equal Pay. Can you believe in 2008 we still are talking about EQUAL PAY??

http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=qKrqzyKw0gk

 
At 9:36 PM, Blogger VG said...

Howie,

Oddly enough, I'm starting to share your view. Because I was flat out against her as Pres, and then as VP.

But, from what I've seen, the other possible choices being mooted about are just plain awful.

Don't think it's gonna happen, tho.

Valley Girl

 
At 9:46 PM, Anonymous Anonymous said...

My husband and I are planning on going down to Springfield Saturday to Cheer on Obama.
The only way we would not go is if he did something monumentally stupid like pick clinton for vp.
Obama is a no drama guy and Billary are all drama all the time.
Besides, who needs to be stuck babysitting the childish Bill for 4 years and having to hire a food taster.
I say, A B C - Anyone but Clinton!

 
At 1:22 AM, Anonymous Anonymous said...

i hope he picks hilliary now....to the chagrin of all repubs...they thought they had hilliary out the way,when obama won the primary....see repubs know thta hiliary will get alot of the "working class" white folks and drum up even more of the black vote as well..obama should pick hilliary,and win this election

 
At 7:10 AM, Anonymous Anonymous said...

Anonymous: in order to have to worry about babysitting Bill for 4 years, Obama actually has to get to the White House first! Hillary has a lot of baggage - and there are a lot of rumors that she wants Obama to lose so that she has a chance at 2012 - but I think she would be the best chance he has for 2008. Biden would also be strong but she would be a game-changer. Right now, Obama's campaign is in the doldrums for some unknown reason. Choosing Hillary would make the news all about Hillary/Bill BUT who cares so long as she drags Obama over the finish line?

 
At 7:35 AM, Anonymous teach said...

I hope he picks her. In fact, Howie, I almost wrote a prediction he would yesterday, since everyone is guessing.

Remember how they had all the media waiting outside her house and they were somewhere else? These two can keep a secret.

Think of how inspiring this ticket would be, and I was against it from the beginning. Maybe he knew how to make us long for Hillary, give us others who just would not do the trick.

Without Edwards now or Gore, who else has the clout? There is no Democratic governor who can measure up to her brand recognition and her political organization.

I hate to say it, but winning is the main thing right now. Without it nothing else is possible.

 
At 8:26 AM, Anonymous BIL said...

Right. I wanna win and I am not a Hillary fan.
Looks like the strongest team to me, although I still like CLARK (after having to finally let the adulterer/liar go).

Plus I am concerned about agreeing with Nader on much today, he is only right about every other decade.

 
At 11:34 AM, Anonymous frogger said...

Come on, Howie, you don't think she's a drag on the ticket? Here's a woman who hired now-convicted wiretapper Anthony Pellicano to spy on her husband's ex-girlfriends, including Gennifer Flowers and Monica Lewinsky. One of Pellicano's former clients even testified he could have people knocked off. So what kind of woman hires a P.I. like that?

Really, what makes you think Hillary's vetted? It's not as if she was challenged by Obama on her dirt (and there's a lot of it) during the Democratic primary. Believe me, Obama would never risk her as his VP even if there weren't such bad blood between them.

 
At 11:37 AM, Anonymous teach said...

Is Jesus Christ available?

 

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