Monday, January 15, 2007

GUEST POST FROM ERIE, PA-- STEVE PORTER ON THE ELEPHANT IN THE ROOM OF IRAQ... AND AN ANSWER TO BUSH'S CHALLENGE TO COME UP WITH A SOLUTION HIS WAR

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Steve Porter ran against corrupt rubber stamp Phil English in November and did about 2% better than he had in 2004. English took 54% of the vote, making him a target for 2008. Blue America supported Steve last year and we hope we get a chance to help him build on his momentum so he can beat English in 2008. Yesterday he wrote an assessment of the war in Iraq that is at great variance with that given in recent days by Bush, Cheney, Rice, Gates and the Republican Noise Machine. 23,000 more votes in the Democratic column and this would have been what Congressman Porter had to say about Iraq:

When a nation goes to war, it is usual for its government to inform the citizenry of the reasons. For a democracy, it is even more necessary. For America, it is incumbent.

We now know that the two reasons given us by Bush in the case of Iraq were bogus: a threat from WMDs and a link between Saddam and Al Qaeda. More than that, we know that the Bush administration knew they were bogus. Before we invaded Iraq, UN chief weapons inspector, Hans Blix, told the UN Security Council that Saddam’s cooperation was "active or even proactive."  Mohammed El Baradei, head of the IAEA, reported there was no evidence of a nuclear program in Iraq, and both the UN and US intelligence reports stated that there was no link between Saddam and Bin Laden. (See "WMD in Iraq," Carnegie Foundation Report, January 2004.)

If not WMDs or Al Qaeda, then it is reasonable to think that America might have gone to war for oil.  While members of the Bush administration have consistently denied this explanation (Rumsfeld called it "utter nonsense"), there is so much mounting evidence to suggest it, that it is now more than necessary to put the case forward and call for an investigation.

One can start by noting that with 112 billion barrels of oil, Iraq has the second largest reserves in the world. Moreover, Iraqi oil is far easier to tap than, say, North Sea oil, which makes it enormously profitable. Of the 71 known Iraqi oil fields, only 24 have been developed. There is untold wealth to be had in Iraq: untold wealth and untold power.

Bush’s designs on Iraqi oil long before the US invaded have been reported in many sources. Below are just a few.

1. According to both the Washington Post and The Nation, in August of 2002, Bush administration member Richard Perle attended a policy briefing in which Iraq was presented as "the tactical pivot," Saudi Arabia as "the strategic pivot," and Egypt as "the prize" in a war which would be purported to rid the world of Saddam. [Perle, Wolfowitz, Cheney, and many more Bush administration members are founders of the Project for the New American Century, a think tank whose stated objectives include global American domination. Moreover, the Bush family is part of The Carlyle Group which has investment ties to the Bin Laden family. Finally, Bush and Cheney are both "oil men" whose private corporations, including Halliburton, are heavily connected to Middle Eastern oil.]
2. Joshua Holland of AlterNet posted an article on October 16, 2006 in which he stated that in 2002 then Deputy-Secretary of Defense Wolfowitz suggested the outright seizure of Iraq’s oil fields, an idea dismissed by Colin Powell as "lunacy."
3. Mark Levine of Judicial Watch wrote in The Nation that in February of 2001, just a few weeks after taking office, Cheney called the now infamous "Energy Task Force Conference" which was attended by executives of the "big four" oil companies (Exxon-Mobil, Chevron, BP, and Shell).  The center of discussion, according to Levine, was Iraqi oil and the fact that foreign companies-- not the "big four"-- were negotiating with Iraq for the rights to Iraqi oil. Levine concludes, "It’s not hard to surmise how the participants at these meetings felt about this situation."
4. Similar episodes have been reported by former Treasury Secretary Paul O’Neill, former security analyst Richard Clark, and Pulitzer Prize reporter Bob Woodward in their respective books.

The desire for Iraqi oil profits can be viewed as but one aspect of the reason for the US invasion.  There are two more: the desire to keep Iraqi oil out of the hands of both Russia and China, and the fulfilling of the PNAC agenda by controlling the world’s energy resources. [In this last regard, it can also be argued that America’s tragic delay in developing clean, alternative, US-produced energy (wind, solar, tidal, bio, nuclear, coal, etc.) is linked to the stranglehold of the oil industry and its governmental servants.]

The motive of oil for the Iraq War is thus reasonable to consider and worthy of Congressional investigation. But there is more. There are the actions taken and pending which also provide evidence which supports the "Bush oil war" hypothesis. Again, some are listed below.

1. As soon as Baghdad fell, even as Rumsfeld shrugged off the looting there, US forces were sent to secure the Iraqi oil fields and one Iraqi Ministry, the Oil Ministry.
2. In May of 2003 a resolution was submitted to the UN Security Council which gave the US and UK control over Iraq’s oil revenues. It also allowed Iraqi oil revenues to be withheld from the Iraqi people as compensation for the Iraqi invasion of Kuwait, a decade or so before. 
3. Under Bush’s appointee, Paul Bremer, Iraqi corporate taxes were slashed, a flat tax on income was established, and rules allowing multinationals to pull all of their profits out of Iraq without taxation were enacted-- all of which still remain today as part of Iraq’s Constitution (a Constitution which researcher Herbert Docena says "was cooked up in an American kitchen, not an Iraqi one").  (See "Bush’s Petro-Cartel…", AlterNet, October 16, 2006.)

However, the single most important and on-going illustration of US actions which supports the hypothesis of the "Bush oil war" is the drafting of PSAs. "Production-Sharing Agreements" between the new Iraqi government and the "big four" give these Western oil giants the rights to Iraq’s oil fields for the next 30 years, and they do it at profit rates far higher than normal (70% for "cost recovery" when 40% is the industry norm and 20% in royalties when 10% is the norm).

These PSAs were drafted last July with the assistance of BearingPoint, an American consulting firm hired by the US government. Greg Muttitt of Platform (a human and environmental rights organization which monitors the oil industry) said, "Three outside groups have had far more opportunity to scrutinize this legislation than most Iraqis… the US government, major oil companies, and the International Monetary Fund." 

Even as the violence in Iraq is spreading and Bush is escalating US troop involvement, the Iraqi Parliament is set to pass these PSAs into law.
           
It is of importance to note in this regard the reaction of Iraq’s trade union leaders to the PSAs at their recent meeting in Jordan.
 
"The Iraqi people refuse to allow the future of their oil to be decided behind closed doors… The occupier seeks and wishes to secure… energy resources at a time when the Iraqi people are seeking to determine their own future while still under conditions of occupation," they said.

There could be no clearer example of how the US has now cloaked itself in the garb of a colonial imperialist and why America is now anathema to so many in the Muslim world. It is, to be sure, a new kind of colonialism. It is not the overt takeover of resources by conquerors like Cortez, nor the appropriation of human beings by the slave traders of the past. That would never do for post-World War II morality. It is more subtle. It is colonialism by manufactured war, puppet government, contractual appropriation, and the establishment of more or less permanent military presence in foreign lands.

Surely this is not the foreign policy scenario which will win friends for America. Ultimately, it will build massive hatred and make us less safe. And equally surely the time has come for the American Congress and the American media to investigate and discuss the elephant in the room of Iraq.



"If you don’t like my plan for Iraq, come up with an alternative." So Bush has challenged the Democrats. Before I answer his challenge, I just want to say for the record that it is not the job of "Democrats" to come up with an alternative endorsed by every member of the party, or even the congressional leaders of the party. If a Democrat were president, then it would be incumbent to do so. But laying that bit of Bush’s verbal chicanery aside, it is possible for a Democrat to come with an alternative, and here is one.

First, let us have an investigation under oath about the events leading up to the war and, most particularly, the role of Bush’s oil allies and corporate partners in the war. That is needed for several reasons, but the overarching one in terms of an alternative strategy is to determine why Iraq, a nation of over 20 million people, has not rallied to its own defense. If, indeed, it is found that the war has been to secure money and power for the neocons and their corporate allies, it would explain why the Iraqis are loath to die in defense of their nation. It might very well be that they do not consider they have a nation. Rather, it might be that, as their trade union leaders have said, they are enduring the reign of a western-made puppet government with a western-made constitution, and thus that the U.S. is a neocolonial occupier intent on keeping control of the natural resources of the nation. Why would any Iraqi want to fight for that?

Assuming this to be true, it might then make sense for the U.S. to propose the following alternative:  let the Iraqi people decide if they would like three or four autonomous regions (one Kurd, one Shiite, one Sunni, and one Baghdad-- itself perhaps divided as Berlin was after World War II). Each region would be guaranteed equal or proportional shares of all Iraqi oil revenue and each would be able to negotiate with any global partner in the reconstruction of the nation-- not just with the U.S., the U.K. and the "big four" oil companies (Exxon, Shell, BP, Chevron).

If this idea appealed to the Iraqi people, it would surely give them an incentive to stand against terrorists who might expropriate their sovereignty and wealth.

It is at least an idea which ought to be discussed after a proper investigation.

The catch is that if the idea were held to be viable, it could never be carried out by the Bush administration which, if the scenario above were correct, would be beholden to the oil and political influences that it represents. Thus, if the autonomous-state idea were to work, it would have to be preceded by the removal of both Cheney and Bush from office, in that order.

There is certainly ample evidence for impeachment hearings to be held and testimony taken under oath. Books of evidence have been written about it already. And it might be a good idea to start the process anyway because so many of the citizens of America no longer believe in a government which seems to protect those in power from being accountable for possible infractions of law.

The scenario and procedures above, if demonstrated by congressional investigation to be valid, might thus not only end the war in Iraq, they might also begin the restoration of America’s political soul.

3 Comments:

At 6:45 PM, Anonymous Anonymous said...

Please do not sentence NWPA Dems to another trip on the Porter train. You have not been on the ground up here, frankly, and do not understand what a lousy candidate (as opposed to person, Democrat, etc) he is.

Steve Porter's pronouncements and press releases, while full of red meat, have reached the point of utter ridiculousness. The media no longer takes him seriously, and more and more, activists on the ground don't either. I was at an event over the holidays where the leader of a large and active grassroots dem organization pulled me aside, and remarked the he hoped that any dem, other than steve porter make the race.

He does not, and will not, put in the work to be successful. He doesn't spend time on the phones raising money, because he assumes no one will donate anyways. He assumes that each county party will make his race their top priority, and build the organization and infrastructure for the race, rather than showing a willingness to take this upon himself. And then, when the party, or the DCCC, or any given supporter, doesn't do 100% what he wants, it's not a mistake, that entity or person is "against him," and is shut out from contributing in any meaningful way to the campaign. In acting in such a semi-paranoid and insular fashion, he has alienated most of the county chairs, many of the activists and union leaders, and scores of others from supporting him.

The numbers show his weakness as a candidate. In 2004, he earned almost 40%, performing as well or better than such people as Paul Hodes and Gerry McNerney, both of whom gained at least 12 points and a seat in Congress. Porter, in the biggest wave year our party has seen in most of our lives and with a very strong top of the ticket (Casey and Rendell), gained two points on Fat Phil.

Please, I know you guys like the man, and to be honest, many of us here in PA-3 do too... but we MUST have a different candidate in 2008. It will be an opportunity far too important to waste.

 
At 1:32 AM, Blogger Nate said...

Great post Howie. Out of curiosity, have you seen Robert Newman's - History of Oil? It is a must see if you haven't. 45 minutes and one of the funniest, most educational performances you have ever before seen. The indomitable SansCulotte did a bunch of research validating most of it in my comments thread.

Also, I talked to Charlie Brown's former CommDir today and he mentioned that Charlie was doing a Blue America visit to FDL this month. Glad to hear it. Also, not sure if I mentioned this but I bought the URL's, BlueAmerica08.com and BlueAmerica.tv. I'm doing some work on the tv site but both are just re-directed to your ActBlue page for 08. Welcome back if you're back and I look forward to talking to you again soon. Be sure and watch that video I linked you. It is incredible to watch and I know you'll appreciate the content and great British humor.

 
At 11:43 AM, Anonymous Anonymous said...

Dear Anonymous,

Not that you would care, but I filled about 5 looseleaf notebooks with call sheets for money, making thousands of calls. I got over 1250 individual donations, many more than English, but mine were in small amounts. His were mostly in the $500-2,000 range. There was not one county leader who ever had a bad word about me, not Zelazny, Hessley, Schlosser, Christe, Marriotti, Schreckengost, nor Lark. I am still on excellent terms with them all, and just had dinner with Zelazny. I was endorsed by the AFL-CIO for the second time, and have been on excellent relations with their leaders--even though they have funded English consistently. As to my press releases and postings, you see the substance of some of my ideas here, but obviously prefer to continue the slaughter and financial waste of Bush in Iraq. And why would you not want universal health care, or stem cell research, or ethics and campaign finance reform, or clean alternative energy? If I had to guess, I would think that English put you up to your post, but in any event, it will be up to the Democrats of the area to choose a candidate,and whomever it is, it would be nice if that candidate would get the support I did not from the people with the money. To have gotten 42% of the vote with only $75,000 or so spent (as opposed to English's over $1 million for 54%) shows a pretty good effort. Teddy Roosevelt gave a speech called "The Man in the Arena" in which he lamented people like you, who pontificate from the sidelines and never get involved. His lamentation is true of America today, and that is why our economy is being outsourced and the blasphemy of Iraq continuing. It is not a public record, particularly in PA-03 which continues to elect English, of which to be proud.
Dr. Steven Porter
Jan. 16, 2007

 

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