1- Biden is the nominee and Trump is reelectedThey're both horrible. But Trump having a second term is much, much, much, much, much worse... right? Well... how many much's we talking about there? Did you read Edward Burmila's essay at The Nation yesterday? . It's about Status Quo Joe, of course. "Democrats," he wrote, may get one more chance to govern before a competent authoritarian emerges on the right. We can’t waste that opportunity. "A competent authoritarian?" Like someone worse than the incompetent Trumpanzee? Burmila wrote that Biden's assertion that Trump "is an 'aberration' in the Republican Party is naïve at best and historical revisionism at worst. Only an intentional misreading of GOP politics could consider Trump anything other than the culmination of xenophobic, identitarian rhetoric that conservative media and elites have stoked for decades. In retrospect, birtherism and Tea Party rhetoric about taking back 'our' country were a product roll-out, a test marketing of Trump’s politics of white identity and grievance. Vox’s Jane Coaston described Trump as Sarah Palin but better at it-- a much more accurate narrative than Trump exceptionalism. Trump, for all his ignorance, saw this pathway to power. His leading role in promoting birtherism taught him how to win the adulation of the angry and resentful-- though even he was surprised at how well it worked in 2016."
2- Biden is the nominee and Biden is elected
As Biden and other centrist candidates share their fantasies of bipartisanship, the Democratic Party seems unable to recognize the seriousness of the moment. It is only luck that the right has not yet found a skilled autocrat. Palin was clueless, and Trump is his own worst enemy. He is a historically weak president who lacks even a passing understanding of how to use the power of the office effectively.
It is chilling to look at the damage Trump has done and envision how much more extensive it could be. Imagine a Donald Trump who doesn’t spend all his time golfing, watching TV, beefing on Twitter, and refusing to learn anything. Imagine a Donald Trump who is disciplined, focused, articulate, and impossible to laugh off as a buffoon. Imagine a Donald Trump who appointed shrewd Cabinet officials instead of people he recognizes from TV. Imagine a Donald Trump who doesn’t give every important task in his White House to one of his vapid children.
Imagine what that person could accomplish with the support of a pliant Republican Senate and conservative-packed Federal judiciary. Democrats may get one more chance to govern before a competent authoritarian emerges from the right; that opportunity cannot be frittered away on four years of West Wing cosplay under the delusion that the GOP will have an “epiphany” and cooperate.
The past few years of democratic backsliding leave the country at a fork in the road, and the Democratic Party has an opportunity to influence what happens next. It will not do so with empty promises to unite Americans. Biden is far from the only candidate basing his campaign on such appeals; Beto O’Rourke, Amy Klobuchar, John Hickenlooper, Cory Booker, and others are framing their messages around the kind of reach-across-the-aisle idealism that wasted the first half of Barack Obama’s presidency.
But no one who has been alive for the last 15 years could fail to understand that Mitch McConnell is not going to join hands with a Democrat-- any Democrat-- to get anything done. So it is unlikely candidates like Biden even believe this rhetoric when they speak it. Instead, they are choosing to believe an entrenched class of consultants who tell them that this is the right messaging to finally win over white men in diners in central Pennsylvania.
Any Democrat elected to the White House in 2020 will likely face a GOP-held and McConnell-led Senate. That limits what is possible to achieve through legislation. What a Democratic president can do is offer a compelling vision to compete with the nihilism of right. Currently the alternative is a void that many Democrats are attempting to fill with nostalgia for the Obama era and technocratic fixes (tax credits for everyone!).
The fight against voter suppression is a worthy effort against Republican attempts to shrink the electorate, but suppression alone does not account for low turnout among potential voters on whom Democratic success depends: the young, people of color, the economically vulnerable, and more. The wealthy and the comfortably middle class can tolerate four years of someone like Biden spinning his wheels with futile calls for bipartisanship. But appeals to patience will not mobilize voters whose lives will become worse the longer that dithering continues.
When the charismatic authoritarian emerges on the right, we already have evidence that our institutions and treasured norms will not save us; the courts and Congress have demonstrated they will stand behind even a cartoonishly corrupt, relatively unpopular authoritarian. That they will fall in line to enable someone more polished goes without saying.
There is no more time to waste on the comforting fantasy that the entire population, regardless of political ideology, will join hands and live happily ever after. It is imperative that the eventual Democratic nominee articulates a worldview based on the belief that public policy, not markets, can address social and economic problems, with specific proposals to that end. If ever there was a time to be bold rather than to play it safe, this is it. Without a compelling alternative, ideologues like Trump will succeed by filling the vacuum with a simple-- and vile-- worldview.
If the Democratic Party and its leadership do not seize the next opportunity to lead, the United States is likely to be a very different, and much darker, place before they get another chance.
In the Post piece by Philip Bump, linked above in Burmila's article, you find the whole magical-thinking and moronic Biden quote about his Republican friends' epiphany. "It’s hard to reconcile Biden’s stated optimism," wrote Bump, "with what Democrats have seen on the ground in Washington in recent years. After all, it’s not as though there was broad bipartisan comity before Trump’s ascension in the party, something that Barack Obama’s vice president should certainly know. After Obama was inaugurated in 2009, Republican leaders in Washington made an explicit effort to block his agenda, with then-House Minority Leader John A. Boehner (R-OH) promising that his party would “do everything-- and I mean everything we can do-- to kill it, stop it, slow it down, whatever we can.” Senate Majority Mitch McConnell (R-KY) famously announced that the “single most important thing we want to achieve is for President Obama to be a one-term president.” Still, Obama made a prediction similar to Biden’s ahead of the 2012 election.
“I believe that if we’re successful in this election, when we’re successful in this election, that the fever may break,” he said of Republican obstinance, “because there’s a tradition in the Republican Party of more common sense than that.”How about, instead, someone who understands Republican "bipartisanship" far better than Biden ever will?
The fever didn’t break. Although McConnell didn’t make Obama a one-term president, he was successful at stymieing Democratic legislation during his presidency. McConnell allowed a government shutdown in 2013 in an effort to defund Obama’s Affordable Care Act and blocked numerous judicial appointments, including Obama’s last Supreme Court nominee. McConnell effectively held the seat open until after the 2016 election, allowing Trump to appoint his first justice right after taking office and to fill 112 other federal bench seats.
...It’s interesting to contrast Biden’s comments with Sen. Elizabeth Warren’s rejection of a town hall event Tuesday on Fox News Channel. The Massachusetts Democrat wouldn’t participate because “Fox News is a hate-for-profit racket that gives a megaphone to racists and conspiracists,” she wrote on Twitter. “It’s designed to turn us against each other, risking life and death consequences, to provide cover for the corruption that’s rotting our government and hollowing out our middle class.”
Trump was a weekly contributor to Fox News Channel from 2011 until he announced his candidacy.
When we interviewed prominent Republicans last year about the future of the GOP, none of them viewed Trump’s tenure and rhetoric as being aberrant. Instead, they considered Trump a representation of the party broadly, particularly a slowly shrinking group of older white voters skeptical about where the country is going.
Another piece that shows that someone at DWT realizes, as I do, that worse than trump is inevitable just as trump was inevitable.
ReplyDeleteinevitable isn't what this author SAYS but if you suss out what his reasoning is, it's where this author should have gone.
At every opportunity since 1980 the democraps have refused to "offer real change in people's lives" opting instead for ca$hing in with corporations and billionaires. Their service to that money gave us 2008 and normalized everything from arbitrary war, torture, finance fraud and election interference by Russia (or whoever wants to interfere) to indifference to Roe. Yet the dumbest electorate in the history of earth keeps electing them as the remedy to the Nazi party (who don't even bother to pretend NOT to be the Nazi party).
To take this author's reasoning just a tiny bit further, can you imagine a scummer-led senate or a Pelosi-led house EVER "making real (positive) change in people's lives"?
Can you imagine either turning their noses up at billions offered by oil, health insurance/phrma to pass GND and MFA? Can you imagine either shunning money from wall street to invoke Sherman and/or repass a Glass-Steagall... or put someone... anyone in prison for their role in over $20 trillion in fraud?
This thing wasn't lost when trump won. It was lost (and trump's win was guaranteed) when obamanation ("hope and change") utterly refused to "offer real (positive) change in people's lives" and, instead, whored for more money than ever before and normalized war, torture, finance fraud, election fraud, drone murder, etc for future fuhrers to use however it amuses them.
Imagine how much sooner we'd have arrived here if FDR in '32 had been as horrible as obamanation? We'd have become part of the AXIS by '42.
This author still thinks that the democraps can be the remedy. They cannot. Even president Bernie will be impotent to affect any degree of positive change because he'll be opposed by the corrupt house and senate who loathe him and his change rhetoric. And we've already seen Bernie cave a hundred times over the years to the fascism, greed and indifference to people of the democrap party and leadershit. 2016 was the biggest "fuck you" to his own "principles". But he's been proving his own principles are negotiable for decades.
Since we've all kept doing the same thing wrong for 40 years (electing democraps), nothing will change in time to save this shithole. Might as well kiss it goodbye now to avoid the rush.
the third entry in the 'worst case scenario' would be Bernie wins but does nothing. like obamanation who did nothing.
ReplyDeleteBut the worst one would be if Bernid lost to trump. I think the left might just all find a high cliff to jump off.
beats waiting for the Nazi SS to come for them I suppose.
"As Biden and other centrist candidates share their fantasies of bipartisanship, the Democratic Party seems unable to recognize the seriousness of the moment."
ReplyDeleteNothing else needs to be said.
The Democratic Party hasnt been able to accept the reason for its 2016 failure. It is not even remotely capable of recognizing a historical moment. It's mission -- as directed its donors -- is to maintain the status quo. As long as Ol'Joe wins the primary (in whatever way is expedient) that will be achievable.
ReplyDeletebased on Germany, china, cambodia and a few other candidates from history, trumpism/Americanism is a gateway evil. It will get a lot worse.
ReplyDeletewe have a gawd on our side and there is absolutely nothing/nobody to get in the way. certainly not voters.