Sunday, May 28, 2017

Polls Predict Defeat For Paul Ryan In His Home District


The GOP has worked to denigrate Pelosi for over a decade. Nationally her approval rating is an abysmal 30%-- with 50% disapproving of her. That's godawful! It has made her a liability for many Democratic candidates. But you know who's even more disliked-- and with no set-up by the Democrats? Flimflam Speaker Paul Ryan. The same new Quinnipiac poll that looks so devastating for Pelosi is even worse on Ryan. Only 27% approval and a 54% disapproval. He's in much worse shape, politically, than McConnell of Schumer. People have finally recognized what a dick-head he is-- thanks to his TrumpCare bill. By the 2018 midterms he'll be so toxic that any politician photographed with him will be in jeopardy.

Only 20 percent of American voters say they are more likely to vote for a Senator or member of Congress who supports the revised Republican health care plan, while 44 percent say they are less likely and 31 percent say this issue won't affect their vote, according to a Quinnipiac University national poll released today.

American voters disapprove of the new health proposal 57 - 20 percent, compared to a 56 - 21 percent disapproval in a May 11 survey by the independent Quinnipiac (KWIN-uh-pe- ack) University, shortly after the revised plan passed the House of Representatives. Republicans in the House cancelled a vote on the first attempt to "repeal and replace" Obamacare on March 23, the day a Quinnipiac University poll showed voters opposed the idea 56 - 17 percent.

Among independent voters, a key bloc, only 17 percent are more likely to support an elected official who backs the health care plan, while 41 percent are less likely. Republicans are the only listed party, gender, education, age or racial group to support the health care plan, by a lackluster 42 - 24 percent, and the only group where more voters say they would support a candidate for reelection who backs the latest health care plan.

"Advisory to Republicans who support the replacement for Obamacare: Backing this bill could be very hazardous to your political health," said Tim Malloy, assistant director of the Quinnipiac University Poll.

"What was heralded as a cure for a failing plan could have toxic side effects."

Under the Republican health care plan, their health insurance costs will go up, 44 percent of American voters say, while 12 percent say they will go down and 33 percent say they will stay the same.

Fewer Americans will be covered under the GOP plan, 57 percent of voters say, while 11 percent say more will be covered and 21 percent say it will be about the same.

Voters disapprove 62 - 32 percent of the way President Donald Trump is handling health care and say 50 - 45 percent that he should not support efforts to repeal Obamacare. Attitudes on Democrats, Republicans in Congress.
Worse yet for Ryan-- unlike the other congressional leaders, who are at least liked by their own constituents-- voters in southeast Wisconsin (WI-01)-- seem almost as fed up with Ryan as the rest of the country. PPP released a poll May 16 showing Ryan's job approval at 25% nationally (with 59% disapproving)-- and showing that 49% of Americans would vote for a Democratic congressional candidate with only 38% ready to vote for a Republican. Far worse for Ryan though were the numbers coming out of his district. His re-elect numbers-- among his own constituents-- are dismal. Only 44% said they would vote for him again. 51% said they want someone new.

We asked union and veteran activist Randy Bryce, an iron worker who is being actively recruited by several progressive groups to run against Ryan, how he sees the way voters in his part of Wisconsin turning against Ryan and the GOP. He wanted to talk about issues rather than Ryan. "A health care plan isn’t a health care plan when the reason it is being implemented is to give tax breaks," he began. "The fact that RyanCare needed to be in place before any tax reforms helps prove this point."
To begin with, a Paul Ryan sighting these days in WI-01 is "Breaking News." Wisconsinites are more likely to see an albino buffalo crossing the expressway than they are to see Paul Ryan. It’s painfully obvious that he no longer cares about us. We don’t make enough money. I’ve participated in "FaceTime" events from Wisconsin (thanks to the wonderful folks at Working Families Party) where I can at least see the faces of people in places like Rhode Island and New York as they tell him to "go home" while he collects fat checks that enable him to keep taking away what little is left to help working people just get by in tough times.

When Paul Ryan did pretend to care about the hard working people in the 1st CD years ago, he sounded like a Democrat. While he was promising to save Medicare, Medicaid, and, Social Security, he was listening to his real constituents-- Wall Street and corporate donors. As Malcolm X said, "If you stick a knife nine inches into my back and pull it out three inches, that is not progress." What Paul Ryan is doing involves inserting the knife, then lying about pulling it back out. He has dark money groups spending hundreds of thousands (guessing by the frequency-- to be honest I haven’t seen total cost) saying that he’s not the one who stabbed us.

Commercials can spout all of the lies that they feel. Fortunately, Betsy DeVos hasn’t been in her position long enough to have us forget how to read.

We know what you’re doing, Paul. You can run to your masters for donations. You can hide in D.C.

You can not avoid being repealed and replaced in November of 2018.

I know what twenty years of hard work feels like, and, I am committing myself to working harder than ever to make sure that my neighbors-- the fine hard working people of southeastern Wisconsin-- have a voice. We work too hard to need to worry about taking a knife in the back.

With your tax break/health care legislation, we can’t afford surgery to have a knife removed. We also can’t afford to have you destroy what’s left of not just WI-01, but the entire United States. "Remember remember on the 6th of November (2018)."

Let’s roll up those sleeves. We have work to do...

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At 8:54 PM, Anonymous Anonymous said...

I put no faith in any polls anymore. It's clear that those polled are too easily swayed for the results to be considered accurate.

At 8:58 PM, Anonymous Anonymous said...

Time and time again we see polls that show the R cannot possibly win. And yet we now have ryan again (still) throwing diesel on the drumpfsterfire.

Nobody votes for over a year (primary) and 18 months for congress. A lot can happen. And the democraps haven't even TRIED to lose that seat again, still... yet.

And, after it all, it *IS* fucking Wisconsin.

get your hopes up at your own peril.

At 11:06 PM, Anonymous Anonymous said...

Pelosi has denigrated herself well-beyond anything the monstrous GOP could ever want or achieve.

John Puma

At 6:42 AM, Anonymous Anonymous said...

Good point, JP.

Like harriet reid, the Rs didn't even bother to compete in NV, even though it was winnable because they knew they couldn't do more harm to the democraps than harriet reid could (as senate "leader").

Both sides play that cynicism game. The Ds wouldn't do anything about cheney/bushbaby because they figured they'd be so awful they could run against them. Same with the worst of the neo-Nazi drumpfsterfire cabal.

The Rs also keep whichever Ds are doing the most arson to run against them. They likely couldn't beat Pelosi in SF nor scummer in NY but that's fine with them. They can run against the illusion of the projection of liberalism that they purvey as the Ds' mantra in order to animate their neo-Nazi and regressive base.

Pelosi and scummer rarely (never) get in the way of doing the money's bidding. So the Rs get the best of both worlds. The myth of liberalism plus the actuality of helping all their common donors.

At 6:03 PM, Anonymous Anonymous said...

good points above, truly. While ryan's voters aren't going anywhere at all, for him to lose it will take someone to animate the dormant independents (and democrats) to get them excited about voting again, if only for one cycle.

The DCCC will refuse to run such a candidate. They'll in fact run the worst sack of feces they can find in order to keep ryan in his office. With ryan there, they raise a lot of money from gullible and stupid leftys. With him gone, they'll see a few million per year dry up.

money uber alles. remember that.


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