Saturday, February 01, 2020

Rural Voters Are Increasingly Wary Of Trump's Lies

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The crackpot illegitimate "president" was in Iowa the other day. At his rally there he said "I’m not going to lose in this state. I don’t think I’m going to lose in any other state." Yep, he's lost his mind. The newest numbers from the Morning Consult Trump tracker show his net approval in Iowa has decreased by 18 points since he moved his fat ass into the White House. His approval rating in Iowa is just 44% and his disapproval is 53%-- so a net negative of 9 points. He hasn't gained ground in a single state anywhere in the country and, besides Iowa, he's underwater in 7 other states he won in 2016:
Michigan- minus 15
Wisconsin- minus 10
Pennsylvania- minus 6
Ohio- minus 3
Arizona- minus 3
Georgia- minus 2
Alaska- minus 2
And the favorable/unfavorable numbers in Florida and North Carolina, both of which he won is 2016, are exactly even.He may not think he's going to lose in any other state, but his disapproval numbers are through the roof in many states-- minus 35 in Vermont, minus 31 in Massachusetts, minus 28 in California and Hawaii, minus 25 in New York and Washington, minus 24 in Maryland, minus 21 in Illinois, minus 20 in Connecticut... If he thinks he's going to win those states, he needs to stop using the drugs he's using. And his unpopularity extends into the farm states. He tried scaring farmers while he was in Iowa by telling them their farms will go to hell if he doesn't win.



And yet... hours after he said it, Reuters reported that farm bankruptcies hit an eight-year high: "U.S. farm bankruptcy rates jumped 20% in 2019-- to an eight-year high-- as financial woes in the U.S. agricultural economy continued in spite of massive federal bail-out funding."





Farmers across the nation also have retired or sold their farms because of the financial strains, changing the face of Midwestern towns and concentrating the business in fewer hands.

“I just had a farmer contact me last week, telling me he can’t get financing for his inputs this year and he doesn’t know what to do,” said Charles E. Covey, a bankruptcy attorney based in Peoria, Illinois.

Chapter 12 is a part of the federal bankruptcy code that is designed for family farmers and fishermen to restructure their debts. It was created during the 1980s farm crisis as a simple court procedure to let family farmers keep operating while working out a plan to repay lenders.

The increase in cases had been somewhat expected, bankruptcy experts and agricultural economists said, as farmers face trade battles, ever-mounting farm debt, prolonged low commodity prices, volatile weather patterns and a fatal pig disease that has decimated China’s herd.

Even billions of dollars spent over the past two years in government agricultural assistance has not stemmed the bleeding.

Nearly one-third of projected U.S. net farm income in 2019 came from government aid and taxpayer-subsidized commodity insurance payments, according to the U.S. Department of Agriculture.

The court data indicates those supports did help prevent a more serious economic fallout, said John Newton, chief economist for the American Farm Bureau Federation.

Some of the biggest bankruptcy rate increases were seen in regions, such as apple growers in the Pacific Northwest, that did not receive much or any of the latest round of trade aid from the Trump administration.

The bankruptcy data “signals that things have not turned around,” said John Newton, chief economist for the American Farm Bureau Federation. “We still have supply and demand uncertainty. If we see prolonged low prices, I wouldn’t expect this trend to slow down.”


And voters in farm states have figured this out. Trump's approval numbers are down since inauguration in every single farm state-- no exceptions. Here are a few:
Nebraska- down 22 points
Montana- down 21 points
Arkansas- down 20 points
eorgia- down 20 points
Kentucky- down 20 points
Mississippi- down 20 points
Iowa- down 18 points
North Carolina- down 18 points
Kansas- down 17 points
South Dakota- down 16 points
Minnesota- down 14 points
Idaho- down 13 points
Missouri- down 13 points





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2 Comments:

At 9:15 PM, Anonymous Anonymous said...

Most americans really don't vote for anyone they actually like. Most americans, who vote, are forced to vote for someone they loathe less than the other one.

The exceptions are, of course, the white racists who loyally and rabidly support Nazis everywhere and the more altruistic-natured americans who have no clue about any kind of reality who loyally support whatever democrap pos the party shoves at them.

Voters who are not rabid xenophobes and who actually think about their choices even a little must then pick the candidate (and, by extension, party) they loathe a little less.

So trump being underwater by 9 in iowa means nothing if those who loathe trump loathe the democraps more.

Ever wonder why more americans do NOT vote than vote for either the Nazi or the democrap? there you go.

Trump won in '16 with about 30% of the eligible electorate. $hillbillary lost with a bit over 31%. that means 39% did not vote.

So if trump keeps his 40-44%, he'll have more than enough to win in 2020.

just remember this when DWT or whomever tells you that trump is going to lose. Unless Bernie is the nom and can wake up 30 million dormant voters, trump is going to win again. And no amount of pretzel-logic using polls by DWT will change that.

 
At 11:37 PM, Anonymous Anonymous said...

There is every reason for rural voters to deny Trump. But are they going to decide on rational logic, or are they going to lapse back into their radical religious bigotry and vote identity politics?

 

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