Orlando Welcomes Trumpanzee's Reelection Campaign: "Anybody But Trump"

Early this morning, around sunrise, the Washington Post published a piece by Aaron Blake, This Is Trump's Worst Poll Number-- And What It Means. "There is one poll question I keep coming back to when I think about President Trump’s 2020 reelection campaign," he wrote. "It’s the one in which pollsters ask whether people would definitely not vote for him. This is an especially bad number for Trump. National polls generally show a majority of people (51-56 percent) say they wouldn’t-- with Fox News polls being the exception. And now a poll also shows that number is remarkably bad for Trump in a surprising place: Texas. The University of Texas/Texas Tribune poll shows 43 percent say they’d never back Trump, and another 7 percent say they’re inclined to vote against him. That’s half the state intending not to vote for a Republican president... in Texas."

Personally, the Trump polling number I think is the most important one is about his honesty. I've watched it descend over the last two years. In the most recent polls I've seen where they ask questions about his honesty and trustworthiness, he's down in the 20s. That's lower than the percent of people who say they are definitely voting for him. How sick is that. If 28% of voters say he's honest and 36% say they're definitely voting for him... well, 8% of the general population seems content to vote for someone they know is a liar and deceiver.

I recall a few years ago having a discussion with a member of Congress who was pissed off about the overly partisan nature of the Orlando Sentinel, long practically an arm of the Florida Republican Party. The paper did everything it could to twist even its news coverage against Democrats. He fantasized about fairer-minded citizens buying it. The Sentinel, with its 151,000 daily circulation (over quarter million on weekends), plays a huge part in shaping the narrative along the I-4 Corridor, the key to statewide electoral victories in Florida.

Today, Trump officially kicked off his national reelection campaign in Orlando. (The Baby Trump blimp was also on hand.) The Sentinel's editorial board welcomed him with this: Our Orlando Sentinel endorsement for president in 2020: Not Donald Trump. "We’re here to announce," wrote the editors, "our endorsement for president in 2020, or, at least, who we’re not endorsing: Donald Trump."

Some readers will wonder how we could possibly eliminate a candidate so far before an election, and before knowing the identity of his opponent.

Because there’s no point pretending we would ever recommend that readers vote for Trump.

After 2½ years we’ve seen enough.

Enough of the chaos, the division, the schoolyard insults, the self-aggrandizement, the corruption, and especially the lies.

So many lies-- from white lies to whoppers-- told out of ignorance, laziness, recklessness, expediency or opportunity.

Trump’s capacity for lying isn’t the surprise here, though the frequency is.

It’s the tolerance so many Americans have for it.

There was a time when even a single lie-- a phony college degree, a bogus work history-- would doom a politician’s career.

Not so for Trump, who claimed in 2017 that he lost the popular vote because millions of people voted illegally (they didn’t). In 2018 he said North Korea was no longer a nuclear threat (it is). And in 2019 he said windmills cause cancer (they don’t). Just last week he claimed the media fabricated unfavorable results from his campaign’s internal polling (it didn’t).

According to a Washington Post database, the president has tallied more than 10,000 lies since he took office.

Trump’s successful assault on truth is the great casualty of this presidency, followed closely by his war on decency.

Trump insults political opponents and national heroes alike with middle-school taunts. He demonstrates no capacity for empathy or remorse. He misuses his office to punish opponents, as when he recently called for a boycott of AT&T to get even with his least favorite media outlet, CNN. He tears down institutions, once airily suggesting the U.S. should try having a leader for life as China now allows. He seems incapable of learning a lesson, telling an ABC interviewer last week-- just two months after Robert Mueller’s report on election interference was released-- that he would accept dirt on an opponent from Russia or China.

Trump has diminished our standing in the world. He reneges on deals, attacks allies and embraces enemies.

This nation must never forget that humiliating public moment in Helsinki in 2018 when the president of the United States chose to accept Vladimir Putin’s denials of Russian interference in the 2016 election over the unanimous assessment of the American intelligence community.

Such a betrayal by a U.S. president would have been the unforgivable political sin in normal times.

As if that’s not enough, Trump declares his love for North Korea’s Kim Jong-un, a genuine villain who starves and enslaves his people and executes his enemies with antiaircraft guns and flamethrowers.

But he wrote the president a “beautiful letter.” Flattery will get you everywhere with this president, and that’s dangerous.

Domestically, the president’s signature issue-- immigration-- has moved in fits and starts. Happily, he abandoned pursuing an outright-- and unconstitutional-- ban on Muslims entering the U.S., opting instead to restrict travel for people from a handful of nations, most of them majority Muslim.

He’s tried separating families, sending troops to the border and declaring a national emergency. For all of that, illegal border crossings are, as the president himself calls it, at crisis levels.

He blames House Democrats because casting blame is Trump’s forte. But Republicans controlled the House and the Senate for two full years. That seemed like an ideal time to fix what the president believes ails our immigration laws.

Even with Democrats now controlling the House, where is Trump’s much-touted deal-making mojo, an attribute he campaigned on?

“But the economy!”

Yes, the market has done well since Trump’s election.

The S&P 500 was up about 21% between Trump’s inauguration and May 31 of his third year in office. Under President Obama, it was up about 56% in that same period.

Unemployment is headed down, as it was during seven straight years under Obama.

Wages are up, and that’s a welcome change. But GDP increases so far are no better than some periods under Obama. Deficit spending under Obama was far too high, in part because of the stimulus needed to dig out of the Great Recession. Under Trump, it’s still headed in the wrong direction, once again pushing $1 trillion even though the economy is healthy.

Trump seems to care nothing about the deficit and the national debt, which once breathed life into the Tea Party.

Through all of this, Trump’s base remains loyal. Sadly, the truest words Trump might ever have spoken was when he said he could shoot someone on Fifth Avenue and not lose his supporters.

This non-endorsement isn’t defaulting to whomever the Democrats choose. This newspaper has a history of presidential appointments favoring Republicans starting in the mid-20th century. Except for Lyndon Johnson in 1964, the Sentinel backed Republican presidential nominees from 1952 through 2004, when we recommended John Kerry over another four years of George W. Bush.

As recently as 2012 we recommended Republican Mitt Romney because of what seemed at the time to be Obama’s failure to adequately manage the nation’s finances.

If-- however unlikely-- a Republican like Romney, now a senator from Utah, or former Ohio Gov. John Kasich successfully primaried the president, we would eagerly give them a look. Same if an independent candidate mounted a legitimate campaign.

We’d even consider backing Trump if, say, he found the proverbial cure for cancer or-- about as likely-- changed the essence of who he is (he won’t).

The nation must endure another 1½ years of Trump. But it needn’t suffer another four beyond that.

We can do better. We have to do better.

Quinnipiac also welcomed Trump to Florida today-- with more horrible news for him and his campaign (and for the Russians, Saudis and other plutocratic governments)  Quinnipiac's new poll of Florida registered voters shows all the viable 2020 Democrats beating Trump in head-to-head match-ups.

• Biden beats Trump- 50-41%
• Bernie beats Trump- 48-42%
• Elizabeth Warren beats Trump- 47-43%
• Kamala Harris beats Trump- 45-44%
• Beto beats Trump- 45-44%
• McKinsey Pete beats Trump- 44-43%

Among Florida independent voters, Biden leads Trump 54-32%, Bernie leads 51-34%, Warren leads 47-47%, Kamala leads 44-38%, McKiney Pete leads 44-37%, and Beto leads 44-38%.

Peter Brown, assistant director of the Quinnipiac Poll: "Florida Republicans have won the last five major statewide elections, all by very close margins, but Sunshine State Democrats see these very early numbers as a sign that their losing streak might be coming to an end... While most Florida voters are feeling better financially, President Trump remains underwater with a 44 percent job approval rating and a 51 percent disapproval rating."