Wednesday, April 17, 2019

Many Candidates Will Drop Out March 4-- Day After Super Tuesday (Alabama, Arkansas, CALIFORNIA, Massachusetts, Minnesota, North Carolina, Oklahoma, Tennessee, Texas, Utah, Vermont, Virginia)

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This cycle, California will have a huge role in determining who becomes president. It will also determine which candidates keep competing for the nomination after the March 3rd primary-- Super-Tuesday. It would be hard to imagine, for example, that Kamala Harris will keep going if she does badly in California. And what about Beto and Castro? Texas votes the same day. So do Massachusetts and Minnesota, which are must-win states for Elizabeth Warren and Amy Klobuchar, of course. ChangeResearch, one of my favorite polling outfits, just released the results of their April 6-9 poll of over 3,000 Californians. Some highlights:

When asked which is the most important issue, these were the top dozen mentioned:
Illegal immigration- 17%
Healthcare- 15%
Ending corruption- 9%
Environmental issues- 8%
Voting rights and protecting democratic institutions- 7%
Jobs and the economy- 6%
Gun rights- 6%
Education- 5%
Taxes- 5%
Crime and public safety- 5%
Gun control- 3%
Fiscal responsibility/balancing the budget- 3%
Likely Democratic primary voters were then asked how favorable their feeling are about each candidate:
Bernie
Very favorable- 41%
Somewhat favorable- 23%
Neutral- 14%
Somewhat unfavorable- 10%
Very unfavorable- 10%
Never heard of them- 1%
Beto
Very favorable- 26%
Somewhat favorable- 30%
Neutral- 22%
Somewhat unfavorable- 10%
Very unfavorable- 5%
Never heard of them- 7%
Biden
Very favorable- 39%
Somewhat favorable- 26%
Neutral- 15%
Somewhat unfavorable- 11%
Very unfavorable- 8%
Never heard of them- 1%
Kamala Harris
Very favorable- 39%
Somewhat favorable- 33%
Neutral- 13%
Somewhat unfavorable- 8%
Very unfavorable- 5%
Never heard of them- 3%
Elizabeth Warren
Very favorable- 34%
Somewhat favorable- 29%
Neutral- 20%
Somewhat unfavorable- 9%
Very unfavorable- 3%
Never heard of them- 5%
Cory Booker
Very favorable- 17%
Somewhat favorable- 30%
Neutral- 26%
Somewhat unfavorable- 8%
Very unfavorable- 5%
Never heard of them- 14%
Amy Klobuchar
Very favorable- 6%
Somewhat favorable- 19%
Neutral- 30%
Somewhat unfavorable- 9%
Very unfavorable- 6%
Never heard of them- 30%
Julian Castro
Very favorable- 9%
Somewhat favorable- 21%
Neutral- 34%
Somewhat unfavorable- 6%
Very unfavorable- 3%
Never heard of them- 28%
John Delaney
Very favorable- 0%
Somewhat favorable- 3%
Neutral- 33%
Somewhat unfavorable- 4%
Very unfavorable- 3%
Never heard of them- 57%
Tulsi Gabbard
Very favorable- 5%
Somewhat favorable- 10%
Neutral- 29%
Somewhat unfavorable- 7%
Very unfavorable- 8%
Never heard of them- 41%
Kirsten Gillibrand
Very favorable- 7%
Somewhat favorable- 16%
Neutral- 39%
Somewhat unfavorable- 10%
Very unfavorable- 7%
Never heard of them- 21%
John Hickenlooper
Very favorable- 1%
Somewhat favorable- 7%
Neutral- 36%
Somewhat unfavorable- 5%
Very unfavorable- 3%
Never heard of them- 48%
Jay Inslee
Very favorable- 3%
Somewhat favorable- 9%
Neutral- 31%
Somewhat unfavorable- 2%
Very unfavorable- 1%
Never heard of them- 54%
Terry McAuliffe
Very favorable- 2%
Somewhat favorable- 6%
Neutral- 36%
Somewhat unfavorable- 4%
Very unfavorable- 2%
Never heard of them- 51%
Eric Swalwell
Very favorable- 9%
Somewhat favorable- 12%
Neutral- 26%
Somewhat unfavorable- 3%
Very unfavorable- 2%
Never heard of them- 48%
Andrew Yang
Very favorable- 4%
Somewhat favorable- 11%
Neutral- 33%
Somewhat unfavorable- 4%
Very unfavorable- 3%
Never heard of them- 36%
Marianne Williamson
Very favorable- 1%
Somewhat favorable- 3%
Neutral- 26%
Somewhat unfavorable- 3%
Very unfavorable- 3%
Never heard of them- 64%
Michael Bennett
Very favorable- 1%
Somewhat favorable- 2%
Neutral- 33%
Somewhat unfavorable- 2%
Very unfavorable- 3%
Never heard of them- 59%
Mayor Pete
Very favorable- 24%
Somewhat favorable- 23%
Neutral- 21%
Somewhat unfavorable- 4%
Very unfavorable- 2%
Never heard of them- 27%
Stacey Abrams
Very favorable- 23%
Somewhat favorable- 20%
Neutral- 31%
Somewhat unfavorable- 2%
Very unfavorable- 2%
Never heard of them- 22%
Wayne Messam
Very favorable- 0%
Somewhat favorable- 1%
Neutral- 23%
Somewhat unfavorable- 2%
Very unfavorable- 2%
Never heard of them- 73%
Tim Ryan
Very favorable- 2%
Somewhat favorable- 4%
Neutral- 38%
Somewhat unfavorable- 5%
Very unfavorable- 4%
Never heard of them- 38%
Howard Schultz
Very favorable- 1%
Somewhat favorable- 3%
Neutral- 28%
Somewhat unfavorable- 9%
Very unfavorable- 20%
Never heard of them- 40%
OK, so who do these people who responded to all these questions, plan to vote for in the primary? I guess this is the big question,
Bernie- 22%
Biden- 21%
Kamala- 19%
Beto- 10%
Mayor Pete- 9%
Elizabeth Warren- 8%
Cory Booker- 3%
Julian Castro- 2%
Stacey Abrams- 1%
Andrew Yang- 1%
Amy Klobuchar- 1%
Eric Swalwell- 1%
Tulsi Gabbard- 1%
Jay Inslee- 1%
Tim Ryan- 0%
John Delaney- 0%
John Hickenlooper- 0%
Marianne Williamson- 0%
Michael Bennet- 0%
Wayne Messam- 0%
Kirsten Gillibrand- 0%
They looked for the favorability and unfavorability of 3 polarizing national figures who I suspect you'll be interested in seeing results for. Remember, this is for all voters, not just Democrats:



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2 Comments:

At 6:54 PM, Blogger Gadfly said...

What? Chris Hayes and this blog don't want to know about the non-existent Russiagate and candidates' stances?

 
At 8:07 PM, Anonymous Anonymous said...

CA voters never heard of Swalwell?

Look, all your polling ever shows is just how astonishlingly stupid lefty voters are. And those that are not necessarlily stupid are bone ignorant.

Can anyone convince me that any democracy where the electorate is this ignorant and just plain stupid can possibly be any good at all?

 

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