Monday, December 31, 2018

14 Congressional Districts-- 14 Nightmares For Trump And The Republican Party

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We're looking forward to the 2020 congressional races. By next week we're expecting more candidates to jump in. Several, in fact, haven't stopped working since November 6. These two lists of districts show seats that are now safely blue and seats that are so close that Democrats are almost assured taking them-- especially with Trump at the tope of the ticket, like a giant, squawking albatross around the necks of every Republican candidate, especially the ones who can be shown to have enabled him, like Chris Collins (NY), Don Bacon (NE), Rob Woodall (GA) and Rodney Davis (IL).

Of the 43 districts that flipped from red to blue 9 were resounding enough wins to indicate that these districts are now out of reach for Republican Party candidates-- at least until the Democrats start screwing up and not delivering on the promises that made voters turn out for them
PA-05

Mary Scanlon- 198,639 (65.2%)
Pearl Kim- 106,075 (34.8%)
GOP deficit- 30.4%

PA-06

Chrissy Houlahan- 177,704 (58.9%)
Greg McCauley- 124,124 (41.1%)
GOP deficit- 17.8%

NJ-11

Mikie Sherrill- 183,684 (56.8%)
Jay Webber- 136,322 (42.1%)
GOP deficit- 14.7%

CA-49

Mike Levin- 166,453 (56.4%)
Diane Harkey- 128,577 (43.6%)
GOP deficit- 12.8%

PA-17

Conor Lamb- 183,162 (56.3%)
Keith Rothfus- 142,417 (43.7%)
GOP deficit- 12.6%

VA-10

Jennifer Wexton- 206,356 (56.2%)
Barbara Comstock- 160,841 (43.8%)
GOP deficit- 12.4%

MN-03

Dean Phillips- 202,404 (55.7%)
Erik Paulsen- 160,839 (44.3%)
GOP deficit- 11.4%

CO-06

Jason Crow- 187,639 (54.1%)
Mike Coffman- 148,685 (42.9%)
GOP deficit- 11.2%

PA-07

Susan Wild- 140,813 (53.5%
Marty Nothstein- 114,437 (43.5%)
GOP deficit- 10%
And as for the Republicans who held on by the skin of their teeth and who are now walking around with big targets on their backs, these five are in the category of dead men walking:
GA-07

Rob Woodall- 140,430 (50.1%)
Carolyn Bourdeaux- 140,011 (49.9%)
blue deficit- 0.2%

NY-27

Chris Collins- 140,146 (49.1%)
Nate McMurray- 139,059 (48.8%)
blue deficit- 0.3%

TX-23

Will Hurd- 103,285 (49.2%)
Gina Jones- 102,359 (48.7%)
blue deficit- 0.5%

IL-13

Rodney Davis- 136,516 (50.4%)
Betsy Londrigan- 134,458 (49.6%)
blue deficit- 0.8%

NE-02

Don Bacon- 126,715 (51.0%)
Kara Eastman- 121,770 (49.0%)
blue deficit- 2.0%



And this is a very nice-- if sorely incomplete-- graphic that I found on Twitter early this morning. It could be a helluva lot longer, don't you think? Next year it will be, of that I am certain.






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2 Comments:

At 2:49 PM, Anonymous Anonymous said...

ok. now do the one on the 50 districts that will probably flip from blue to red.

all this delusional optimism... aren't you forgetting what happened the last time the democraps flipped the house? Not only did they not do shit, they were so bad even their sheepdog led bleating sheep refused to show up... for 4 cycles.

 
At 6:09 PM, Blogger Jimbo said...

@Anonymous, you're assuming past is prologue. I don't think so. The radical rightwing resistance to Obama combined with the disaster of Trump has really awakened a lot of younger voters (Millennials and Gen X in addition to those Boomers who are liberals. The problem now is mainly systematic and widespread GOP voter suppression. The GOP are going to go to the end viciously fighting. That's the real problem.

 

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