Wednesday, December 27, 2017

Voters See Democratic Majorities In Congress As A Much-Needed Check On Trump


Trumpanzee was yelling and screaming about fake polls again. It must be a conspiracy, though, because every poll from the right, the left and the nonpartisan ones say the same thing: Trumps the most reviled occupant of the Oval Office since the history of scientific polling. And all the polls also show that the voters plan to put a chain around his neck by electing a Democratic controlled Congress in 2018. Last week’s latest poll from Quinnipiac, for example, shows that Trump’s disapproval/approval rating is now 59/37% and that 62% of Americans find him dishonest as opposed to just 34% who find him truthful. 70% of voters say he’s not level-headed; only 28% say he is. When Quinnipiac asked “If the election were today, would you want to see the Republican Party or the Democratic Party win control of the United States Senate?” 53% answered the Democrats and just 37% answered the Republicans. The numbers in for the House were almost identical— 52% want to see the Democrats in charge an d just 37% want to see the Republicans in charge.

So when the L.A. Times posed the question, White college grads' distaste for Trump hurt GOP in 2017. Will it flip control of Congress to Democrats in 2018?. The Washington Post was ready with an answer. Michael Finnegan at the Times: White college graduates in America’s suburbs have turned hard against Republicans in elections around the country and threaten to upend the party’s control of Congress in the 2018 midterm elections. Put off by Donald Trump’s presidency, they have been shunning Republicans in congressional and state legislative contests. Their support was crucial in electing Democrats as governor in Virginia and U.S. senator in conservative Alabama. Republican hopes for keeping control of the U.S. Senate next year will hinge on affluent, mainly white suburbs like Summerlin, Nev., where Trump’s unpopularity is weighing on GOP Sen. Dean Heller in his run for reelection.”
For now, the Trump backlash is endangering House Republican incumbents in well-off suburban districts nationwide, including more than a half dozen in Southern California. Republican Reps. Dana Rohrabacher of Costa Mesa and Darrell Issa of Vista are two of the Democrats’ top targets for 2018.

It also puts at risk the Republicans’ one-vote majority in the Senate.

…Part of what’s pushing white-collar suburban voters away from the GOP is Trump’s alliance with his party’s right wing on abortion, immigration and climate change, said Mark Mellman, a Democratic pollster who worked for former Senate Democratic leader Harry Reid of Nevada.

“The Republicans have become an anti-science, anti-fact, anti-immigrant, anti-cosmopolitan party, and that is just very unappealing to college-educated voters,” Mellman said.

Republicans have also positioned themselves, he said, as “anti-diversity” in an era when college-educated whites have largely welcomed civil-rights advances for women, racial minorities and LGBTQ Americans.

…Republicans acknowledge that suburban whites turned off by Trump pose a daunting challenge, especially when women, African Americans, Latinos and other core Democratic groups are highly motivated to vote.

“I think it has more to do with reaction to who’s in the White House than anything else,” said GOP pollster Glen Bolger, who argues nothing is unusual about a party getting punished after its first two years in power.

Trump’s unpopularity— about 38% of Americans approve of his job performance— is a boon to Democrats, but the economy’s strength gives him cover.
Karoun Demirjian, reporting for The Post, posited that “Republicans could easily lose their congressional majorities in 2018, two retiring GOP lawmakers warned Sunday, pointing to a lack of diversity in the party and President Trump’s pattern of catering to his narrow conservative base as likely harbingers of bad news for their party.” Flake and Dent, no fans of Trump, were the sources.
“When you look at some of the audiences cheering for Republicans sometimes, you look out there and you say, ‘Those are the spasms of a dying party,’ ” Sen. Jeff Flake (R-AZ) said on ABC’s This Week. “By and large, we’re appealing to older white men, and there are just a limited number of them.”

“Clearly the Republican Party, my party, is going to experience losses. It remains to be seen whether we’ll lose the majority,” Rep. Charlie Dent (PA) said, appearing on the same program. “I tell my colleagues, look, we’re going to be running into a head wind, you’ve got to be prepared for the worst. . .  It’s going to be a very tough year.”
The tsunami that’s building now is going to sweep dozens of House Republican incumbents out of office, far more than the Democrats need to take control of that body. Voters want a check on Trump and they’re disgusted with Ryan and the Republicans in Congress. GOP members with huge war chests and years of incumbency won’t be able to count on either to protect them from the wrath of voters who are sick of Trump and sick of a Congress they see as enablers. Ryan will lead the House Republicans in one more trip— down the toilet. In many districts, he;'s even more toxic than Trump is and will be a bigger drag on the voting in 2018 for his members! Its unlikely he'll be able to hold onto his own seat.

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At 6:48 AM, Anonymous Anonymous said...

Looks like 2008 all over again.

You remember. The cheney/bush shit show gave harriet reid and Pelosi the gavel in 2006. they took it, immediately shoved both thumbs up their butts and refused to check anything cheney/bush were doing -- they needed the shit show to continue for 2 more years so their democraps (they were thinking $hillbillary, clearly) could win the WH and they could cash even more and bigger checks and add even more seats in both chambers. Of course, they had a couple of years to prep for the crash in 2008, but all they ever did was look the other way as both banking committees cashed bribe checks.

Then in 2008, the democraps got their wet dream. 60 in the senate to block filibusters. 260-something in the house where all you need is 218. And the first black-ish president, who spoke actual English, to replace the (to that point) dumbest fucking president ever.

Voters celebrated their accomplishment with fireworks, tears... and then total apathy.

And Obama turned into obamanation; the democrats peeled off their masks and became, for all to see, democraps who refused to do one single thing in their voter mandate.

If voters see winning majorities as the ends of all this, we may just get their wet dream again. But that does NOT mean a check on trump. harriet is gone, but chucky scummer has been as bad. And, natch, Pelosi and hoyer are still there.

"The definition of insanity is doing something over and over again and expecting a different result." -- attributed to Albert Einstein

At 7:55 AM, Anonymous Anonymous said...

As 6:48 points out, there is no real alternative to the two-faced corporatist party. One face just pretends to be more nice while doing the same things the mean face would have openly done.

At 8:43 AM, Anonymous Hone said...

Yes, maybe things need to get REALLY BAD for progressives like FDR to take over. Nothing like the 1929 starving in the streets and a huge Wall Street crash (with a real investigation into the bankers' corruption for all Americans to see rather than just a pat on the back and a bailout a la Obama) to make people see the light. The suffering will be upon us, upon the 99% of us while the oligarchs and money barons laugh.

Poor us.

At 12:10 PM, Anonymous Anonymous said...

Hone, you might think so. But under what circumstances do you see Pelosi, hoyer, scummer and the rest ALL losing their elections?

It would also take 46 senate and 189 house democraps to all lose, with the correct ones NOT losing, PLUS good progressive candidates winning both primaries and generals instead **PLUS** 25 senate Rs and 75 house Rs ALL losing to more good progressives.

I'm giving the democraps 73 in the senate just to make sure the stealth fascists don't number enough to allow filibusters.

Anyhow, Hone, under what circumstances do you see all these things happening WITHIN the democrap party?

The odds are worse than winning 3 consecutive powerballs AND 3 consecutive MEGAMILLIONS AND being struck 3 times in one day by lightening on a clear day.

At 5:15 PM, Anonymous Anonymous said...

"Voters See Democratic Majorities In Congress As A Much-Needed Check On Trump"

Thus proving, again and still, that voters are the dumbest human beings in the history of the planet.


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