Thursday, October 19, 2017

Will Trump's And Ryan's Greed-Driven Tax Cuts For The Rich, Sink The Republican Party?


This morning's post on Bannon's attempt to steal all McConnell's fat cat donors is about how the whole project hinges on the tax cuts. The fat cats want their tax cuts. If McConnell can't deliver, they want his head. They don't really care about much else-- and Bannon, Ryan and the rest of the Republican caucus have that firmly in mind... as they walk into the eye of the hurricane. Let's start with Mnuchin's moronic threat this week that the Wall Street bubble will burst if Congress doesn't pass the tax cuts. "There is no question that the rally in the stock market has baked into it reasonably high expectations of us getting tax cuts and tax reform done. To the extent we get the tax deal done, the stock market will go up higher. But there’s no question in my mind that if we don’t get it done you’re going to see a reversal of a significant amount of these gains." What an asshole!

Unfortunately for Republicans in Congress a new poll from CNN shows the public is not sold on the Trump-Ryan tax cuts for the rich. 52% are already saying they oppose it and only 34%-- the Trump hardcore basically-- support it. 81% of Democrats are against it; 70% of Republicans favor it and independents are with the Democrats on this-- 50% oppose and just 35% favor the plan.

37% of Americans say the tax plan won't make any significant difference in their lives, while 31% say it will make their lives worse. Just 24% think it will make their families better off. 35% of voters think it will hurt the economy and just 31% think it will help the economy. As for the budget deficit, 38% recognize the plan would balloon the deficit and just 22% are taken in by Trump's lies that it will shrink the deficit.

Meanwhile Burgess Everett and Josh Dawsey, writing for Politico yesterday, reported that the Regime and some Republican members of Congress "are increasingly worried that taxes will go the way of Obamacare repeal in the Senate: Months of bickering ending in extreme embarrassment... [S]ome senators are pushing their own tax proposals, while others are increasingly emboldened to defy the Republican president. It’s a dangerous mix considering that McConnell can lose only two votes assuming Democrats band together in opposition." Trump and everyone else involved is already setting up everything so that McConnell will be the fall guy if this fails.
“We look at the Senate and go: ‘What the hell is going on?’” White House budget director Mick Mulvaney said in an interview Friday.

“The House passed health care, the House has already passed its budget, which is the first step of tax reform. The Senate hasn't done any of that. Hell, the Senate can’t pass any of our confirmations,” Mulvaney fumed in an interview, slapping a table for emphasis. “You ask me if the Republican-controlled Senate is an impediment to the administration’s agenda: All I can tell you is so far, the answer’s yes.”

The revulsion for the Senate’s age-old traditions and byzantine procedure boiled over in public repeatedly on Monday. Trump complained in front of TV cameras that the Senate is “not getting the job done” and said he sees where Steve Bannon-- his former chief strategist now planning to run primary challengers against incumbent Republican senators-- “is coming from.”

And House Speaker Paul Ryan (R-WI), when asked Monday to name the biggest impediment to tax reform, replied: “You ever heard of the United States Senate before?"

...McConnell is expected to hold a vote this week on the budget-- a precondition for tax reform-- and GOP aides expect it to pass. That will relieve some of the pressure on the chamber, which has been receiving flak nonstop from donors, House members and the president since the health care implosion this summer.

Administration officials are hoping that frustration produces enough pressure to force the Senate to pass tax reform. But already, there are signs of trouble.

Sen. Ron Johnson (R-WI) is so skeptical that the Senate can enact the GOP's tax framework that he’s begun pitching his own tax plans to colleagues. It would shift the burden of corporate taxes onto shareholders and allow individuals to opt out of the existing tax code and into a system without the confusing array of tax preferences and deductions that people can now choose.

It’s radically different from what congressional leaders and the president proposed. But Johnson said in an interview that leadership’s plan “is going to be very difficult to pass. We’ve already seen with the outline now, with the principles given, that’s going to be a challenge.”

“I don’t want to be a problem child here, but what I’m offering is a plan B,” Johnson added. “If they can’t get the votes … I’ve got an alternative.”

Senate Majority Whip John Cornyn (R-TX) brushed off any negativity about the Senate's work, insisting that he never thought the party’s agenda is “off track.” But he said the sniping from Mulvaney and Ryan-- and skepticism from some Republican senators about the prospects for tax reform-- is not helpful.

"I don’t think that sort of thing is very constructive myself,” Cornyn said Monday.

The House is sure to labor to pass tax reform, too. Members from high-tax states are already rebelling against plans to gut the deduction for state and local taxes. But two White House officials said the most serious concerns are in the Senate.
States where the federal deduction for state and local taxes in very important are mostly states with Democratic senators, but Wisconsin's Johnson could be the most likely senator to be in trouble, followed by Chuck Grassley and Joni Ernst from Iowa and Pat Toomey in Pennsylvania. Where this could really become an issue though, is in the House, where dozens of Republicans represent districts in states where taxpayers will see thousands of dollars in deductions vaporize. These are three dozen Republicans +1 who would likely be less electable if they vote for the tax plan:
CA-39- Ed Royce
CA-25- Steve Knight
CA-45- Mimi Walters
CA-49- Darrell Issa
CA-48- Dana Rohrabacher
CA-10- Jeff Denham
CA-22- Devin Nunes
CA-21- David Valadao
IA-01- Rod Blum
IA-03- David Young
IL-06- Peter Roskam
IL-13 Rodney Davis
NJ-07- Leonard Lance
NJ-11- Rodney Frelinhuysen
NJ-03 Tom MacArthur
NY-01- Lee Zeldin
NY-02- Peter King
NY-11- Dan Donovan
NY-19- John Faso
NY-22- Claudia Tenney
NY-23- Tom Reed
NY-24- John Katko
NY-21- Elise Stafanik
OH-01- Steve Chabot
OH-10- Michael Turner
OH-12- Pat Tiberi
OH-14- David Joyce
PA-06- Ryan Costello
PA-07- Pat Meehan
PA-08- Brian Fitzpatrick
PA-16- Lloyd Smucker
TX-07- John Culberson
TX-21- Lamar Smith
TX-32- Pete Sessions
VA-07- Dave Brat
VA-10- Barbara Comstock
WI-01- Paul Ryan
3 dozen Republicans +1 and that +1 is Paul Ryan, Trump's top congressional ally on tax cuts for the rich. His Democratic opponent, Randy Bryce has been campaigning on that in a big way. Yesterday he sent a letter to his supporters reminding them that "No matter how many times President Donald Trump and Speaker Paul Ryan may claim differently, the GOP's proposed tax plan benefits the wealthy-- not working people. After Donald Trump announced the framework of the GOP tax reform proposal, his mouthpiece in the House, Paul Ryan, started spouting the same, vague explanation we've heard before. He claimed the plan is about the low- and middle-class and not "about people who are really high-income earners getting a break." I didn't need PolitiFact to tell me Ryan's statement was mostly false, but it was nice to see him held accountable for a moment. Under Paul Ryan's Plan, The top 1% receive 80% of the tax cut. Billionaires like Donald Trump could earn up to 20% more. Multimillionaires like Paul Ryan will earn over 10% more. The middle class, like me and a lot of you, will get at most, just 1% more, and in some cases, actually see a tax increase. Trump and Ryan's plan also includes a loophole that makes it easier for big businesses to avoid paying taxes on money made overseas-- which would encourage them to move more of their business out of the country and away from American workers. Now tell me, which part of that would help working people? Trump and Ryan do not have our best interests at heart-- they care more about padding the pockets of the millionaires and big businesses that fund their campaigns. I promise to fight for working families in Congress because I know what it means to live paycheck to paycheck."

And he didn't even get into the loss of local and state tax deductions which will hit Wisconsin voters harder than it does most states. Illinois voters will be hit even harder-- which isn't stopping the Republican congressmen00 like Rodney Davis-- from backing Trump and Ryan. We asked Davis; progressive opponent, Dr. David Gill, how this impacts the middle and working class voters in IL-13. "I've long argued that it's past time for the millionaires and the billionaires to start paying their fair share here in America. But rather than taking a step toward reducing the overwhelming economic inequality in this country, the Trump Tax Plan moves in precisely the opposite direction. And it amazes me that my opponent, Rodney Davis, supports this tax plan. Our district is filled with people who will suffer real and significant economic pain with the elimination of the federal tax deduction for state and local taxes. Of course, I shouldn't be surprised-- virtually everything that Mr. Davis does is designed to increase the wealth of the already-rich and the large corporations who pour money into his campaign coffers. This leads to overwhelming hypocrisy on his part at times; I remember when I ran against him in 2012, he repeatedly screeched about our $18 trillion deficit and whined that 'It's not fair to leave such a deficit to my children and grandchildren.' Given his zeal to follow the marching orders of his party and his wealthy donors, and the furthering of the deficit caused by the Trump tax plan, it appears that Rodney has grown much less concerned about the future of his children and their children."

UPDATE: They Did It

The Senate passed a budget tonight-- the Republicans in the Senate to be exact-- that cuts Medicaid by a trillion dollars and Medicare by half a trillion dollars so that it will be easier for them to give the richest 1% a tax cut. Unbelievable!

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At 8:28 PM, Anonymous Anonymous said...

Reagan's greed-driven tax cuts for the rich didn't sink the Rs.
Bush's even more blatantly greed-driven tax cuts for the rich didn't do it.
Why would these even MORE blatantly greed-driven tax cuts for the rich do it?

You forget that for the R party to sink, their voters would have to jump ship. 50 million hominids with a COLLECTIVE IQ in single digits.

All the R voters really need to keep their unity is the continued existence of the hapless, corrupt, pussy democrap party to vote against.

At 7:42 AM, Anonymous Anonymous said...

The only way for the Republican Party to sink would be for the members to wage ideological warfare on each other, which Bannon has now commenced. The public at large remains transfixed in their hatred of so0cial issue differences. They aren't even going to notice or change should the GOP manage to inflict these tax cuts on America, because it will hurt non-whites, non-Christians, and gays.


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