Friday, November 04, 2016

U.S and U.K. Sending Planes, Troops to Romania and Poland


Reversing our initial promise to Gorbachev not to advance NATO to the east, we now have Russia almost completely surrounded. What do they think we're planning to do? (Source)

by Gaius Publius

Before you read this piece, ask yourself, how likely is it that Russia would invade, with tanks and troops, the Baltic states of Latvia, Lithuania and Estonia. Would that not be the start of World War III? Yet that's the fear that's being passed around as an excuse for what you're about to read.

Reuters (emphasis mine throughout):
Britain, U.S. sending planes, troops to deter Russia in the east

Britain said on Wednesday it will send fighter jets to Romania next year and the United States promised troops, tanks and artillery to Poland in NATO's biggest military build-up on Russia's borders since the Cold War.

Germany, Canada and other NATO allies also pledged forces at a defense ministers meeting in Brussels on the same day two Russian warships armed with cruise missiles entered the Baltic Sea between Sweden and Denmark, underscoring East-West tensions.
One, the U.S. is much more a threat to bomb or invade another nation than Russia is. Two, why shouldn't armed Russian ships sail in international waters? Ours do all the time. Three, again, do you really think Russia would be crazy enough to invade a first-world (read, ethnically Caucasian) country on Europe's eastern doorstep? First-world countries only consider moves like this in third-world (read, ethnically darker) countries, like Syria, or Iraq, or ... you name it, there are plenty of examples.

Speaking of Syria, this may be a reason for the latest threatening moves. From the same article:
In Madrid, the foreign ministry said Russia had withdrawn a request to refuel three warships in Spain's North African enclave of Ceuta after NATO allies said they could be used to target civilians in Syria.

The ships were part of an eight-ship carrier battle group - including Russia's sole aircraft carrier Admiral Kuznetsov - that is expected to join around 10 other Russian vessels already off the Syrian coast, diplomats said.
(Did you catch that? Russia has one aircraft carrier, just one. One in its whole navy. Some military threat.)

This Baltic invasion stuff is nonsense. The article continues to announce even more Western military build-ups, including troops to be sent to Estonia — as "deterrence." The only thing I see being deterred is (a) Russian intervention in Syria, and (b) the sale of Russian natural gas to Europe, a market the U.S. wants to secure for U.S. companies.

Ginning Up Fear of a Baltic Invasion

The context, or excuse, for all this was laid down after the Russians retaliated for U.S. interference in Ukraine (for more on that, see here and here). And while we're on the subject of U.S. interference and Ukraine, watch for the name Victoria Nuland, the wife of neocon and Iraq War architect Robert Kagan, as the next administration's appointees are announced. Nuland was deeply involved in our Ukrainian adventurism and is expected to get a high-level appointment in the next Democratic administration, perhaps as Secretary of State or National Security Adviser.

Russia retaliated to Western interference in Ukraine by promoting a referendum in ethnically Russian Crimea that ended in Russian annexation. The West retaliated to Russian annexation of Crimea by ginning up fear of a Russian invasion in the Baltics.

Not kidding. Fears of a Russian invasion in Europe were widely circulated and carried for months in Western journals and papers. Newsweek, for example, from January 2016:
Counting Down to a Russian Invasion of the Baltics

Although Russia's economy is reeling and its military forces are increasingly engaged in Syria and Ukraine, NATO commanders, governments and analysts are concerned that Russian President Vladimir Putin's adventurism has not run its course. Most anxieties focus on the Baltic states as Russia's next potential military target.

Russia has many advantages in the Baltics. The situation of Russians there, particularly in Estonia and Latvia where many Russians remain non-citizens, provides Moscow with an issue with which to stoke tensions. ...

Furthermore, Russia's conventional and nuclear deployments cover the entire Baltic Sea area. From its fortified base at Kaliningrad, Russia can project power not only into the Baltic Sea but also to Poland and even Germany.

By all accounts, Russia enjoys a wide margin of conventional superiority over NATO. Indeed, NATO commanders publicly and privately profess that given the strength of Russia's capabilities on land, sea and air, NATO would suffer enormous casualties in any effort to defend the Baltic states from attack.

And given the publicly discussed defects in NATO and individual Western intelligence cited in Western media, it would be relatively easy for Moscow to launch an invasion during one of its vaunted "snap exercises" without the United States detecting it in time.
"Counting down"? It reads as if it were dictated from the State Department.

This will not end well. The U.S. wants the Russians out of Syria, wants Western natural gas to flow to Europe, and is apparently willing to rattle many sabres to do it. Also cages. Some of those cages contain bears.

This will not end well.


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At 4:35 PM, Blogger FanonPoqoChimurenga said...

Yet you seem to think that a Hillary Clinton presidency would be better than Trump. I am not sure which one would lead us toward WW3 faster.

At 9:30 PM, Anonymous Anonymous said...

Businessmen do not like war.

Politicians with zero ideas love war.

A vote for Hillary is a vote for more war.

Arms manufacturers are not businessmen. They are the dildo salesmen to those above mentioned politicians.

At 9:10 AM, Anonymous Anonymous said...

Below are links to a series of articles "inspired" by the recent, virtually continuous, media hysteria rolled out in concert with that in Europe to aid in the justification of the blatant provocation of Russia.

First, a POSITIVE article about Russia. If you read it, don't do so at work and, wherever, you might want to put on a welder's mask first.
It presents Russians as actual capable, intelligent human beings and Putin as a patriot determining and striving for his country's best interests. The notion that any country may have ITS OWN interests, distinct from those of the US, will grievously offend most Americans. wb6o

Articles on the current anti-Russia hysteria.

John Puma

At 11:02 AM, Anonymous AntiSpin said...

Mr. Puma

Thank you for all you do to restore sense and sanity around here, about Russia and its quite admirable president.


At 10:54 AM, Blogger jvb2718 said...

TY to John again. And Antispin. Like your stuff on smirkingchimp where I was banned for being correct far too often.

I've pointed out $hillbillary's russophobia here often as one of a cornucopia of fatal flaws.

Perhaps herr fuhrer's only advantage over $hillbillary is that he appears to be a putin puppet. With the victory of the fascists over the imbecile democrats, we probably have seen the last of Nuland. However Kagan et al are still around and the neocons have been shapeshifting for decades depending on which money party sect is winning. I look for Kagan et al to ally themselves with herr fuhrer... who I don't expect to take much of an actual interest in policy nor governance.

He'll be in charge of demogoguery and self promotion. As long as he doesn't get in the way of paul ryan and mcturtle, they won't get in his way. Even if that means antagonizing Russia, I don't see drumpf paying attention.

Plus he's going to do something colossally stupid (which $hillbillary would do on purpose) and bomb somewhere in Syria or Iran or somewhere which will make Putin have to decide whether to keep liking herr fuhrer. Maybe similar to what happened between Hitler and Stalin back in the '30s.


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