Sunday, November 22, 2015

Which Fascist Will The GOP Nominate, Trump Or Cruz... Or Both?


Trump doesn't want to say who he's decided to make the next Vice President (Of the United States) just yet. But he's hinting it could be Texas neo-fascist Ted Cruz. On Laura Ingraham's fascist-oriented radio show last week, the primitive-minded Trump said "Well, I like like him. He’s backed everything I’ve said... Ted Cruz is now agreeing with me 100 percent." (Trump made it clear that two soon-to-be out-of-work Republicans, Rubio and Jeb, can forget about the VP job.) Trump must feel he's entitled to speculate about who he'll make VP because now that crackpot Dr. Ben's numbers are disintegrating-- largely going to Cruz-- he's so clearly out ahead that it's unlikely anyone will catch up with him before Iowa and New Hampshire, all those holidays between now and then, that he's got this thing sewn up.

The newest NBC News poll has Trump at 28%, up two points, while Dr. Ben has lost 8 points and is now at 18%, tied with Cruz, who has huge momentum, up 8 points from 10% to 18%. No one else really comes close. Rubio's at 11% and poor Jeb has sunk down to 4%. The rest of the Deep Bench is bunched up at the bottom of the scale, between zero, like Lindsey Graham, and 3%, like Crazy Carly and the loudmouth from Jersey. And on the right is today's brand new poll from Iowa.

Roll Call's resident elections hack, Stuart Rothenberg isn't worried that the GOP will really nominate Trump, guaranteeing Barry Goldwater-magnitude losses in Congress and statehouses everywhere outside of the former slave-holding states.
Yes, I find it more than a little odd that Republicans have such a favorable view of both Carson and Trump at this point in the race-- Carson had a 71 percent favorable rating and Trump a 69 percent favorable rating in a Nov. 4-8 ABC News/Washington Post poll conducted by Langer Research.

But Trump’s unfavorable rating is relatively high as well (29 percent, compared to 18 percent for Carson), and most Iowans have not started to firm up their decisions about who they will support when the caucuses actually roll around on Feb. 1, still more than two months away.

Just as important, let’s remember who won the last two Iowa caucuses: Santorum in 2012 and Huckabee in 2008. So even if Carson or, less likely, Trump were to finish first in Iowa, it would not necessarily mean he was headed to Cleveland to be the GOP nominee. Remember, Ronald Reagan lost the Iowa Republican caucuses in 1980.

As we all know, 25 percent of the vote can win the Iowa caucuses, but the eventual nominee will need to rally at least half of Republicans around his or her candidacy.

...[I]t is still more likely than not that when Republican caucus-goers really get down to picking a candidate, Trump’s increasingly outlandish comments will make him look less presidential and less appealing.
And then what? Trump has already mowed down Perry, Walker, Jindal, Christie, Kasich and the Jebster-- though the last three are staying the the race zombie-style-- and is working on destroying Rubio-- who is busy fighting a losing what against Cruz-- next. So what's left if Republicans do come to their "senses?" Ted Cruz.

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At 11:54 PM, Anonymous Huntly said...

This is a scary ticket, and I think that if it does actually come to this they will probably win. With all that is going on, though the election is a long way off, I think that if Cruz is the nom. he will probably win. The Benghazi albatross will hang heavy on Clinton's neck.


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