NEW POLLING NUMBERS INDICATE TOUGH TIMES LIKELY OBLITERATION FOR REPUBLICAN PARTY

The SUSA Survey just released a new batch of approval ratings for Bush from 15 states. The news isn't good for the bad guys.

He does best in Alabama where only 55% of adults disapprove of the job he's doing (61% of women disapprove). You probably won't be surprised to read that in high-info states like California and Massachusetts, Bush fares far worse. 72% of adults in California disapprove of the job he's doing. He isn't popular in any area but the relatively progressive Bay Area gives him a disapproval rating of 87% while the far more conservative Inland Empire only gives him a 65% disapproval. Massachusetts is even more dismal for Bush. His disapproval rating is 79% (83% among women and 89% among people aged 18-34). Even self-described "pro-life" supporters (i.e.- anti-choice nuts) disapprove of Bush 60%-37%!

In Ohio, where then Secretary of State Ken Blackwell was able to steal the 2004 presidential election for him, Bush has an overall 67% disapproval rating (71% among Ohio women). Next door in Kentucky, which Bush won in 2000 and 2004, and which has a gubernatorial election this year and a crucial senate seat up for grabs (Mitch McConnell's) next year, Bush's disapproval numbers are down at 59% (65% for women). And although every region of the state has turned against Bush, predictably the highest-info part of the state, Metro Louisiville, disapproves by the widest margin (65%). Another state with an endangered rubber stamp Republican senator with an election next year (Norm Coleman) is Minnesota, where Bush's overall disapproval is 68% (and 71% among women). The overall disapprove number is identical in New Mexico, another state with an endangered rubber stamp senator (Pete "Sneaky Pete" Domenici) facing a tough election next year.

In New York, where only 23% of adults think Bush is doing a good job, the disapproval numbers are breathtaking-- 75% overall, 77% among women, 82% among people 18-34, 79% among self-described "moderates," 66% among gun owners, 61% even among people who oppose gay marriage! There's no area of the state where Bush's disapprove falls below 70% and in NYC it's 79%, although I can't imagine where they found 19% of New Yorkers to say they approve of the job he's doing.

Four heartland states:
Iowa-- 69% disapprove
Kansas-- 58% disapprove
Missouri-- 60% disapprove (70% in Kansas City, where the Democrats are running a former Democratic mayor, Kay Barnes against Sam Graves, an endangered 100% rubber stamp Republican congressman).
Wisconsin-- 62% overall disapproval, rising to 66% among adults 35 and over.

There's no salvation coming towards the Republicans from the Northwest. In Oregon Bush's disapproval is down to 66% (73% among women) and in Washington it's even worse, with 69% disapproving , 73% in Metro Seattle and even 60% in the reddest parts of Washington, the east out towards Idaho.

Virginia is the last of the states surveyed. It's a state that has been trending towards the Democrats and 64% of adults disapprove of Bush's job performance, something that augurs ill for rubber stamp senator John Warner who will have to face the voters in 2008.