Thursday, February 22, 2007

David Sirota says: "Why we should all hope Joe Lieberman becomes a Republican"

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Now here's a different take on the Holy Joe situation. After all, the Senate is already paralyzed.

Why we should all hope Joe Lieberman becomes a Republican

By David Sirota

After reading about Joe “I’ve given my word I will caucus with Democrats” Lieberman threatening to switch parties and potentially throw control of the Senate to Republicans, I had a thought: Would it really be that big a deal? I ask this question as a progressive and a loyal Democrat. Before you scream "YES IT REALLY WOULD BE A BIG DEAL," just hear me out.

Democrats control the House, and as we've seen on the Iraq debate, a narrow majority in the Senate effectively stops that institution from doing anything. Thus, we have basic gridlock right now. Additionally, most believe that President Bush will veto any good legislation that manages to get out of Congress right now - meaning that gridlock is ensured by the White House. Throwing the Senate to the Republicans by one vote wouldn't change this gridlocked situation at all. Democrats would still have the House and filibuster-ready Senators to stop anything awful from getting to Bush's desk. Meanwhile, Democrats would still have investigatory/oversight power from their House chairmen.

What about things like judicial nominations that only the Senate deals with? I share a tiny bit of concern, in that I worry about Senate Democrats intenstinal fortitude in using the filibuster. Then again, Senate Democrats would only have to filibuster for the next year and a half until we have a new president - and that's not much to ask.

The politics of the situation would be terrific for Democrats. They could pass their entire agenda through the House and then blame the Republican Party in the Senate and White House for stopping it. This is especially advantageous because the 2008 Senate races look quite favorable to Democrats, meaning they have a good shot of taking back the upper chamber by way more than the one vote Lieberman represents.

My guess is that Lieberman understands this, that he's not really going to switch, and that he's just going to periodically tell people he "might" switch whenever he feels he hasn't been given enough love by Beltway reporters. The man is, at his core, the biggest narcissist in contemporary congressional history. What motivates him more than anything is seeing himself on television. If that means backing out of his own promises and threatening to overturn a national election in order to send more troops to die in a war, then he's willing to do that. However, he knows that once he turns the threat into reality and switches, he immediately will be perceived as politically irrelevant and, because he will have switched in defense of the Iraq War, he will also likely remembered as the most hated and infamous U.S. Senator since Joe McCarthy.

So, to sum up: I hope Lieberman switches because A) it would be advantageous for Democrats in the long-term B) it wouldn't hurt Democrats or progressives in the short-term, if Senate Democrats developed the spine to filibuster horrible nominees (admittedly an "if") and C) while he already is politically irrelevant in terms of actual power, Lieberman's switch would, finally, make him widely perceived as irrelevant, meaning that he would cease to have any effect on the national debate and that his melting, Emperor-from-Star-Wars face would stop appearing on my television set and freaking out my dog, Monty.

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2 Comments:

At 12:23 AM, Anonymous Anonymous said...

I agree completely. Since he already votes with the Republicans, what would the Dems have to lose? Well, the chairmanships, of course. But as David explains so well, there are more than enough advantages to outweigh that. And we wouldn't have to keep hearing him identified as a Democrat in press stories about all the things he does to undermine any kind of progressive agenda.

 
At 1:31 AM, Anonymous Anonymous said...

As much as Lieberman is threatening to leave over the Senate Democratic Party Caucus grumblings of a non binding resolution and policy to Iraq. He has to know he is taking a big risk. The Republicans are going into the Elections of 2008, incredibly vulnerable, especially in the Senate. The Democrats can pick up 3 seats in Maine, Minnesota and New Hampshire to start with along states like Colorado, Oregon are not at all safe for Repugs. If the Democrats can pick off someone like Dole in NC or Alexander in TN while maintaining LA and SC, they have enough for a more comfortable majority. Whatever the approval ratings are right now, (Susan Collins has some high one IIRC in ME) Iraq will be a huge political issue, if troops are still there during voting in 2008, and Republican incumbnent could lose 5-10% of the vote because of it.

If Lieberman switches, and the Republicans lose seats in 2008, he will be a political pariah to the Democrats, expect any Military Base in CT to be closed, and Defense Contracts transfered. It would probably be his last term. He has to know the risks he is taking to do this. As much as Democrats may feel fine if Lieberman switches, the Democrat Chairmans wouldn't like losing their fiefdoms and they will remember who caused it if they regain them in 2008

 

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