Wednesday, May 17, 2006

PENNSYLVANIA PRIMARY DAY FOLLOW-UP

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Yes, I'm an optimist, even a hopeless optimist but I never believed for a minute that Chuck Pennacchio was going to stop Bob Casey. After Casey gratuitously endorsed Alito I had visions of Pennsylvania Democrats waking up and seeing that they were being hoodwinked by a non-ideological, careerist Inside-The-Beltway power structure that couldn't care less if they were inventing a new Joe Lieberman to savage progressive values and ideals inside the Democratic Party. But it didn't happen. That didn't stop me from donating money or from asking others to do so. DWT readers ponied up nearly $1,000 for Chuck's campaign.

There's no chance I'll be asking anyone-- including myself-- to donate money to Casey's campaign even though he's running against the worst Senator up for re-election. If you live in Pennsylvania you have to ask yourself if you want to get rid of the indescribably detestable Santorum by electing a reactionary Democrat who will almost always vote against important progressive values and ideals. Casey will be far worse than Lieberman. He'll vote better than Santorum in the Senate and he'll be absolute poison for the Democratic Party.

Other than the expected results there, PA looked pretty good last night. The 3 Democrats running in the primary for the Senate seat substantially out-polled Santorum (726,651 to 549,425) and even in the unlikely event that the 100,000 or so progressives who voted for Pennacchio and Sandals decide they can't vote for Casey-- and I wouldn't blame them-- Casey still drew far more votes than Santorum (613,890 to 549,425). Another indication of Pennsylvanians' dissatisfaction with Opus Dei's representative in Washington is that political novice Lynn Swann, running in a doomed campaign against right-of-center incumbent Democratic Governor, Ed Rendell (corporate whore), outdrew Santorum 570,704 to 549,425). That means over 20,000 Republicans who bothered to show up on primary day and vote for Swann just could not bring themselves to pull the lever for the state's incumbent U.S. Senator.

But these two top of the ticket races were not even the worst news for the much despised PA Republican Party. Bush's approval rating in what was considered a major battleground state just one year ago is a mere 28%-- and dropping rapidly. Pennsylvanians were not amused by the Republican-controlled state Senate voting itself a pay raise in the dead of night and the Republicans' two top legislative leaders, Senate President Pro Tempore Robert Jubelirer and Senate Majority Leader Chip Brightbill, were defeated in their primary races! And at least 8 Republican state reps also lost their seats in the General Assembly.

On the federal level, the big shock of the night was the close call for one of Pennsylvania's biggest hypocrites, Congressman Don Sherwood in the 10th CD. A big family values loudmouth, Sherwood was caught in a widely publicized sex scandal involving an extramarital affair and domestic violence. An unknown school guidance counselor, Kathy Scott, nearly beat him in the primary. He will face much tougher opposition from Fighting Dem Chris Carney in November.

Completely underneath the radar of Washington punditry is the congressional race in the northwest part of the state, PA-03, a district held by Phil English (aka- Congressman Gluttony). He's being challenged by grassroots progressive Steven Porter. Neither man faced any opposition in yesterday's primary. Gluttony, an incumbent the DCCC doesn't think should be challenged, drew 30,042 votes. Porter-- with no DCCC help at all-- drew 30,612. Hopefully this will wake Rahm Emanuel and his shop full of hacks up.

Nor was this the only congressional district where more Democrats, fired up and smellin' blood, out voted dispirited Republicans. In the 4th CD, almost 56,000 Democrats went to the polls as opposed to 32,000 Republicans. In the 6th-- where Lois Murphy won a chance to take on rubber-stamp Republican Jim Gerlach again-- slightly more Democrats voted than Republicans. And in the 8th, where Fighting Dem Patrick Murphy is on his way to retiring Mike Fitzpatrick, about 5,000 more Democrats voted than Republicans.

Pennsylvania looks like a potential bonanza for Democrats in November where I expect to see wins by two Murphys and Sestak and possibly Porter and Carney. And since he will vote with Democrats on organization, I'll count Casey as a Democrat and predict he will beat Santorum (by a substantial margin). You can donate to Lois Murphy, Patrick Murphy, Steven Porter and Joe Sestak here.

3 Comments:

At 4:31 AM, Blogger cybermome said...

I'm in the 13 th Congressional district here in Pa...And while I voted for Chuck as a protest, he had
little chance as he was a lousy fund raiser with a limited constituency..
And while I am not a fan of Caseys
it does us no good here to be spending our limited energy on what could should of...

instead we should be working on
1. Crashing the Gate ...Anne Dicker
running for State Rep came within
300 votes of being on the ticket. No $$$, no Dem endorsement just lots of
chutpah and retail polics honed from the Dean campaign. I know she will run again God knows we have no farm team here in PA which is
how Casey came to be anyway.

2.Building Dem infrastructure all over Pa ...If we don't do that in places like Sestaks district...he'll lose. Weldon and the Republicans
in Delaware County have a powerful machine...

 
At 8:25 AM, Anonymous Anonymous said...

I'll say he'll be poison to the Democratic party. If this vile little theocrat wins (and in a pro-choice state) the DLC and the anti-choice folks will be all over this strategy and replicate it in '08. Now that a coalition of centrist democrats and republicans have managed to convince the American people that a single mother can raise a child on her wages from Burger King and that the State and the community owe her no support or help it won't interfere with the important things like balanced budgets and invasions and occupations if they force those pre-pregnant women to carry to term evidence of their failures of abstinence. Now that the GOP has shored up the deadbeat Dad vote by eviscerating funding for child support enforcement (no doubt an onerous and unfair burden) there really isn't a problem for them at all.
Men like Casey (and Scalia and Alito and Roberts and so on) aren't just poison to the Democratic party, they're poison to the whole culture. If he actually wins we'll see the DLC dems running a good many more guys just like him. It might be a good idea to develop a strategy to deal with that....

 
At 9:44 AM, Anonymous Anonymous said...

PA's going to be great on the state level as well--important, among other reasons because state legislatures determine congressional districts. If Dems want controll of congress, controlling state legislatures is crucial.

An example from the PA-7, where Joe Sestak is running. The Republicans have about a 2 to 1 advantage in voter registration, but the 7th district has been going Democratic for president and governor since the early 90s. We've got people voting Democratic at the top of the ticket, but the trick now is to break on through to local offices.

2006 looks like the year we can finally turn PA-7 and Delaware county blue at the local level. In addition to Joe Sestak we have some great candidates for state house. A prime example is Bryan Lentz, a veteran of Iraq and Bosnia and a former prosecutor in Philly (www.votelentz.com)

 

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