Monday, July 17, 2017

Will Trump Resign By Wednesday Evening? Or Will It Take Longer?


painting by Nancy Ohanian

36% is pretty bad-- the worst approval rating any president has had in 70 years-- and Trump's approval ratings just keep getting worse and worse. Is their a floor? At around the 33% mark, cowardly Democrats-- like Pelosi and Hoyer-- and panic-stricken Republicans will start talking about impeachment. And once the first number is a "2" for a month or so, only hard-core neo-fascists and actual Confederates in Congress will still stick with Trump. But Philip Bobbitt, LBJ's nephew and a distinguished constitutional law professor at Columbia University, says it's not likely to come to that. Writing for the Evening Standard in London, Bobbitt asserts that Señor Trumpanzee is more likely to resign than be impeached. And it would be naive not to blame poor dumb elephant-killing Fredo for a rapidly approaching constitutional crisis. And Kushner-In-Law.

Bobbitt, who has served as an advisor to his uncle as well as for Ford, Carter, Reagan, George H.W. Bush, Clinton and Obama, doesn't for-see Trump holding on.
A piece of the iceberg which is largely hidden broke off this week and floated to the surface of public consciousness. Donald Trump Jr acknowledged receiving an email stating that the Russian government was prepared to offer “very high-level and sensitive information” as “part of Russia and its government’s support for Mr Trump” that would incriminate Hillary Clinton. Trump Jr arranged to receive the information at a meeting attended by himself, his brother-in-law Jared Kushner and his father’s campaign manager, Paul Manafort that, in the event, proved disappointing.

As former Director of National Intelligence James Clapper said this week: “I can’t believe this one exchange represents all there is … We are headed for a constitutional crisis.” Where would be the endgame of such a crisis?

One possibility is impeachment. Although most attention has been focused on the President’s culpability for having obstructed justice by attempting to thwart the FBI investigation into the Russian connection, a more promising possibility is impeachment for bribery. Most people think of the “bribery” listed in the constitution as a basis for impeachment as the taking of a bribe, and this is certainly true. But equally important is offering a bribe. By determining that the head of the FBI, James Comey, wished to continue in his post, the President came perilously close to violating the constitution when he then stated that he would “think about it”, and raised the subject of Comey terminating the Russia investigation. Indeed, the offering of such a bribe formed one of the counts in Richard Nixon’s impeachment when it was alleged he offered a judicial promotion to a judge for favourable treatment in court.

A second possibility is indictment for the violation of a criminal statute-- such as the Espionage Act, lying to a federal officer, the suborning of perjury or the obstruction of justice. But since a sitting President cannot be indicted, and can only be prosecuted once he has been removed from office-- or ended his term-- this is for the time being unlikely.

The likeliest possibility is the President’s resignation, as a consequence of the criminal prosecution of his children. Whatever his policy goals, it has long been clear that creating a dynasty-- having destroyed the two reigning political dynasties in the last campaign-- is his greatest objective. Resignation, as remote as it seems right now, might well be a choice the President would make to save his children from prison, and himself from future prosecution.

Would the President pardon them? If he did, it would seal his impeachment and his own prosecution.
Paul Ryan has been called the barrier to impeachment proceedings against Trump-- and the Adelsons wrote him two $10,000,000 checks in return for him backing Trump-- but a some point Ryan will have to ask himself if poltical suicide is where he wants to be heading-- and for someone he viscerally detests. Iron worker and union activist Randy Bryce has caught on in a big way-- nationally and in southeast Wisconsin-- and the latest polling shows Ryan likely to lose his 2018 reelection bid. No one on Capitol Hill would be happier than Ryan to see Trump resign-- and as soon as possible... better Wednesday morning than Wednesday evening. Ryan doesn't deserve to be let off the hook so easily-- and does America really deserve Mike Pence?



At 3:46 AM, Anonymous Hone said...

I very much doubt Trump would ever resign, as it would indicate a "loss" - something Trump could never tolerate abut himself. Also, he could not pardon his family and crew if he resigned. It is more likely he will push this as far as he can until he is stopped, if that happens, which appears doubtful. He will continue to bully and threaten and lie, lie, lie, his modus operandi for decades. He will attempt to destroy those against him. He may still fire Mueller and would thumb his nose at Congress to do something about it, which they won't. He will continue to enrich himself beyond his wildest dreams, which is what this is all about other than his fantasy to become ruler of the world along with his financially connected Siamese twin, Putin.

Trump will continue to ruin the USA. Our government is now sitting on top of a huge sink hole, jus waiting for the whole thing to fall in. His slogan to Make America Great Again is the biggest fallacy ever. Whatever he says has been the opposite of reality and this is another example of this concept is a frightening nutshell.

How the hell did over 60 million people vote for this evil monster? He is so much worse than anyone could have imagined, and his detractors imagined quite a lot. So many people are SO STUPID and ignorant about what is going on. Amazingly, many Trump supporters do not even care about Russia - the biggest threat to this country and far bigger than ISIS. The Rise and Fall of the Third Reich should be required reading in high school. Practically illiterate Trump could not even get through the introduction. Trump has proven that when it comes to being President, being a criminal mobster takes the place of knowing anything.

At 4:59 AM, Anonymous Anonymous said...

Let's not lose sight of the best (only?) reason to hope Trump survives his term: MIKE PENCE. Four years of an incompetent bumbler at the helm will do far less harm to our nation than the same time led by a moderately skilled - I don't think I'm overestimating Pence's political abilities - religious fanatic.

Despite Trump's best efforts, some cabinet secretaries like Tillerson and Mattis will keep foreign policy from going completely off the rails. Domestically, DeVos and Sessions could stir up real trouble; but we have to think (lest we go mad) that the career professionals in those departments will be able to somewhat thwart the bosses' plans.

Those small glimmers of hope disappear with Pence in the oval office. I think there's also something to be said for the further fragmentation of the Republican party after a full dose of Trump. With a little luck could it not disintegrate into its internally contradictory factions and cease to be a unified national entity?

At 6:28 AM, Anonymous Anonymous said...

Hone, consider that 36% (of adults) is about 75 million. So he is supported by the 62 million who voted for him plus another 13 million. More worried now?

I cannot conceive that this malignant narcissist would stop short of sacrificing his kids to keep his throne. I don't see him as human enough to step down to keep his kids out of jail. He may pardon them just before resigning, but that would be a double admission of failure. I don't think he has that in him.

At 3:39 PM, Anonymous Anonymous said...

Trump won't resign. He will fight back and attempt to wipe out those he sees as oppressing him. He will have to be removed by some variety of force, legal or otherwise. Neither party has the balls to try this.


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