Monday, November 03, 2008

Karl Rove Predicts That McCain Gets Buried In A Massive Landslide-- Dixville Notch & Hart's Location, NH Agree


In a couple of hours we'll be posting the DWT predictions for House and Senate seats. I was trying to figure out how to work in a prediction for Obama swamping McCain. And then I noticed that Karl Rove already did. I think he's being a little conservative but he's awarding Obama 338 electoral votes to McCain's 200. Obama gets Ohio, Virginia, Nevada and Florida and McCain gets North Carolina, Missouri, North Dakota and Indiana. Rove gives Montana to McCain and I'm not so sure of that one; I'm still feeling that Ron Paul will throw it to the good guys.

Dixville Notch, New Hampshire has 75 residents and 21 registered voters. They just voted at midnight-- and the winner is... Barack Obama, a huge break with tradition for an overwhelmingly Republican bastion. The last Democrat to win there was Hubert Humphrey in 1968. Obama took 15 votes, McCain 6 and Nader 0. Jeanne Shaheen also won. And the other hamlet that votes at midnight, Hart's Location, population 42, also gave Obama a win-- 17-10.

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At 5:19 AM, Anonymous Anonymous said...

Can someone please tell me why Rove's predictions matter at all? He wasn't ever noted for thoughtfulness. He was simply very good at pulling dirty tricks out of his ass. It's like choosing a doctor on the basis that he had once been a highly successful blackmailer. There is an apparent disconnect between the professions.

For the rest, I favor moderate Reps over Blue Dog Dems, which seems to be your approach, too. So I'm just as disgusted with Lunsford as you are. I suppose I have to wonder: will it be a good thing to have Lunsford in place, when that means it will be much harder to make the seat progressive in the future? When a Rep is in there, we only need to run one race against them, but when a conservative Dem is in, we usually need to run one very tough race to knock the sitting Dem out in the primaries, and then another against a Rep.

At 10:59 AM, Anonymous Anonymous said...

I shouldn't have to remind you that Dixville Notch's pick in 1968 lost to a very evil man.


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