Thursday, December 18, 2008

There's Wall Street and Wall Street -- let's shed a tear (not really!) for the Street boys and girls taking a hit this year on their Christmas bonuses

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Yes, that's our Christmas tree! (Or last year's, anyway.) As we look up Broad Street toward Wall from Exchange Place, the building at left with the big flag is the NYSE. The nearer building at left, 20 Broad Street, is where I work. In the foreground is our "outside" checkpoint, to get into the building lobby, where we get to go through the metal detector and X-ray bag check.


"Critics say bonuses never should have been so big in the first place, because they were based on ephemeral earnings. These people contend that Wall Street's pay structure, in which bonuses are based on short-term profits, encouraged employees to act like gamblers at a casino -- and let them collect their winnings while the roulette wheel was still spinning.

"'Compensation was flawed top to bottom,' said Lucian A. Bebchuk, a professor at Harvard Law School and an expert on compensation. 'The whole organization was responding to distorted incentives.'"



by Ken

I expect that wherever you live, your state and locality are undergoing enough fiscal agony that you don't want to hear about what we're going through here in New York State and New York City. All the more so since our governor (you know, the fellow who became governor after Governor Fancypants, the guy we elected, couldn't keep it in his pants -- leaving us, through no fault of anyone except the people who write and rewrite our state constitutions and supporting laws -- without a lieutenant governor, which doesn't sound like much of a handicap until you reckon that our state parties may not be able to figure out how to organize our State Senate, where tie votes may become common and we have no way to break ties), who hopes someday to be elected to the job, believes that any talk of taxing our rich folks any less gently than at present will cause them all to leave the state. (To go where? West Virginia?)

I bring this up as prelude to an admission. We New Yorkers are financial junkies. By which I don't mean we all watch Bloomberg and read Rupert Murdoch's Wall Street Journal. I mean we live to a precariously large degree off tax revenues squeezed out of those horrible people on Wall Street.

Which may be a cheeky thing to write from a mere stone's throw away from Wall Street. Well, it would be a stone's throw if I went down to the lobby and then stepped out onto Broad Street. But I'm not going to do that, because even though I wouldn't have to go through the outside security check again, as long as I don't leave our "restricted" zone, which extends most of the way out into Broad Street (which, contrary to its name, isn't all that broad, especially with the "restricted" zone fenced off -- see the photo above), I would have to go through the metal detector again, and this morning suddenly it was set off by the zippers on my jacket (from WalMart, so help me -- from my one and only shopping expedition there some years back).

I should explain that last month my company moved downtown to the building that literally adjoins the New York Stock Exchange. We're not only part of the NYSE Security Zone, we're part of the NYSE security system. My badge comes from the NYSE security office. (Word to the wise: Don't mess with those guys there. They've got guns.) The good part -- wait, wait, there must be a good part -- oh yes, we don't have to take our shoes off. But we do have to go through the metal detector and shoot all bags and cell phones and whatnot through the X-ray machine every time we enter the building.

I'm sure you understand that for the overwhelming majority of the people who work here, on this block between Wall Street and Exchange Place (and let me tell you about Exchange Place -- sounds pretty fancy, right? trust me, you've got bigger alleys in your town), are just plain old working stiffs, not what you think of when you think of "Wall Street."

But those other "Wall Streeters," ah! The ones who pull down those fancy salaries and those intergalactic bonuses -- I can shake my class-resenting fist at them, but the sad fact remains that we New Yorkers depend heavily on the portion of that loot they cough up in taxes. When times on the Street are good, our mayor and governor are all smiles, doling out government cash (at least to the kinds of people their ideological bents incline them to hand out government cash to) with patronly pleasure. But when times are bad . . . well, when times are bad, we're reduced to talking about turning our schools into luxury housing. (No matter how bad the times, it seems that in NYC there are always people who can afford more luxury housing.)

This was once a great manufacturing city. You wouldn't believe all the stuff that got made here. That's just about gone, though. This was once a great port city. Not so much anymore. The great rebound the city enjoyed a couple of decades ago put us squarely at the mercy of the new world of "service industries." And the biggest service we seem to provide is paying greedy, arrogant sons-of-bitches to shove money around electronically until it disappears. (I can't help wondering, with all this wonderful "security" we've got down here at the NYSE, whether the system hasn't been set up to let the wrong people in.) We moved down here because, post-9/11, downtown Manhattan is still a relatively depressed area, and landlords are supposedly more generous about offering "deals." This was before the economic meltdown, of course. I'm guessing that now an awful lot of commercial real estate is opening up locally.

I guess it was just last week I ventured down to the street in search of some kind of break (I don't go out to lunch -- for one thing I can't afford to eat in this neighborhood, and for another I dread having to go through inspection again, but usually by 4 or 5pm I just have to escape my cubicle) and walked right into the 85th annual lighting of the NYSE Christmas tree. The normal cordoning off of the security zone on Broad Street was maintained, of course, and inside it many people authorized to be within it were enjoying the entertainment, but the rest of the block was open to the public.

And on the little stage that had been set up, hosted by a young woman who I assume is a local TV celebrity, who bragged about hosting this great event for the second year in a row, a procession of the least talented performers in the tristate area would assume their positions, one after another, and yawp into an audio setup from hell. (The worst, at least in the time I observed, was a quartet of not-that-adorable teenage boys from Long Island claimed to have been the talk of the Macy's Thanksgiving Day parade. Heavens, what a noise!) I saw people holding cups, and sure enough eventually tracked down the source, a stand where they were handing out hot chocolate -- so sweet, it seemed designed to induce instant diabetes -- and also little candy canes. If there was a receptacle for the empty cups, I didn't see it, but I also didn't see any cups on the pavement. Now there's a true holiday miracle.

This was my first Wall Street Christmas. For long-time Street people, I'm guessing it was far from the sweetest (though surely the cocoa can't ever have been sweeter). Some of my fellow revelers must surely have been lamenting the hit their Christmas bonuses would be taking this year. But remember, most of us down there are getting the same bonuses we've gotten in years past: the magic zero. The grim reality remains, however, that because those Street hot shots aren't getting their bonuses, or not the bonuses they've come to expect, the city's kids are about to be sent out into the streets selling apples.

Well, at least it has been a good year for apples, after last year's really crappy season. And the pears! Have you ever had such wonderful pears?

Oh wait, the whole point here was to share this NYT article with you, the one from which our opening quote was extracted -- from their series "The Reckoning."

December 18, 2008

THE RECKONING
On Wall Street, Bonuses, Not Profits, Were Real

By LOUISE STORY

"As a result of the extraordinary growth at Merrill during my tenure as C.E.O., the board saw fit to increase my compensation each year."
— E. Stanley O'Neal, the former chief executive of Merrill Lynch, March 2008

For Dow Kim, 2006 was a very good year. While his salary at Merrill Lynch was $350,000, his total compensation was 100 times that -- $35 million.

The difference between the two amounts was his bonus, a rich reward for the robust earnings made by the traders he oversaw in Merrill's mortgage business.

Mr. Kim's colleagues, not only at his level, but far down the ranks, also pocketed large paychecks. In all, Merrill handed out $5 billion to $6 billion in bonuses that year. A 20-something analyst with a base salary of $130,000 collected a bonus of $250,000. And a 30-something trader with a $180,000 salary got $5 million.

But Merrill's record earnings in 2006 -- $7.5 billion -- turned out to be a mirage. The company has since lost three times that amount, largely because the mortgage investments that supposedly had powered some of those profits plunged in value.

Unlike the earnings, however, the bonuses have not been reversed.

As regulators and shareholders sift through the rubble of the financial crisis, questions are being asked about what role lavish bonuses played in the debacle. Scrutiny over pay is intensifying as banks like Merrill prepare to dole out bonuses even after they have had to be propped up with billions of dollars of taxpayers' money. While bonuses are expected to be half of what they were a year ago, some bankers could still collect millions of dollars.

Critics say bonuses never should have been so big in the first place, because they were based on ephemeral earnings. These people contend that Wall Street's pay structure, in which bonuses are based on short-term profits, encouraged employees to act like gamblers at a casino -- and let them collect their winnings while the roulette wheel was still spinning.

"Compensation was flawed top to bottom," said Lucian A. Bebchuk, a professor at Harvard Law School and an expert on compensation. "The whole organization was responding to distorted incentives."

Even Wall Streeters concede they were dazzled by the money. To earn bigger bonuses, many traders ignored or played down the risks they took until their bonuses were paid. Their bosses often turned a blind eye because it was in their interest as well.

"That's a call that senior management or risk management should question, but of course their pay was tied to it too," said Brian Lin, a former mortgage trader at Merrill Lynch.

The highest-ranking executives at four firms have agreed under pressure to go without their bonuses, including John A. Thain, who initially wanted a bonus this year since he joined Merrill Lynch as chief executive after its ill-fated mortgage bets were made. And four former executives at one hard-hit bank, UBS of Switzerland, recently volunteered to return some of the bonuses they were paid before the financial crisis. But few think others on Wall Street will follow that lead.

For now, most banks are looking forward rather than backward. Morgan Stanley and UBS are attaching new strings to bonuses, allowing them to pull back part of workers' payouts if they turn out to have been based on illusory profits. Those policies, had they been in place in recent years, might have clawed back hundreds of millions of dollars of compensation paid out in 2006 to employees at all levels, including senior executives who are still at those banks.

A Bonus Bonanza

For Wall Street, much of this decade represented a new Gilded Age. Salaries were merely play money -- a pittance compared to bonuses. Bonus season became an annual celebration of the riches to be had in the markets. That was especially so in the New York area, where nearly $1 out of every $4 that companies paid employees last year went to someone in the financial industry. Bankers celebrated with five-figure dinners, vied to outspend each other at charity auctions and spent their newfound fortunes on new homes, cars and art.

The bonanza redefined success for an entire generation. Graduates of top universities sought their fortunes in banking, rather than in careers like medicine, engineering or teaching. Wall Street worked its rookies hard, but it held out the promise of rich rewards. In college dorms, tales of 30-year-olds pulling down $5 million a year were legion.

While top executives received the biggest bonuses, what is striking is how many employees throughout the ranks took home large paychecks. On Wall Street, the first goal was to make "a buck" -- a million dollars. More than 100 people in Merrill's bond unit alone broke the million-dollar mark in 2006. Goldman Sachs paid more than $20 million apiece to more than 50 people that year, according to a person familiar with the matter. Goldman declined to comment.

Pay was tied to profit, and profit to the easy, borrowed money that could be invested in markets like mortgage securities. As the financial industry's role in the economy grew, workers' pay ballooned, leaping sixfold since 1975, nearly twice as much as the increase in pay for the average American worker.

"The financial services industry was in a bubble," said Mark Zandi, chief economist at Moody's Economy.com. "The industry got a bigger share of the economic pie."

A Money Machine

Dow Kim stepped into this milieu in the mid-1980s, fresh from the Wharton School at the University of Pennsylvania. Born in Seoul and raised there and in Singapore, Mr. Kim moved to the United States at 16 to attend Phillips Academy in Andover, Mass. A quiet workaholic in an industry of workaholics, he seemed to rise through the ranks by sheer will. After a stint trading bonds in Tokyo, he moved to New York to oversee Merrill's fixed-income business in 2001. Two years later, he became co-president.

Even as tremors began to reverberate through the housing market and his own company, Mr. Kim exuded optimism.

After several of his key deputies left the firm in the summer of 2006, he appointed a former colleague from Asia, Osman Semerci, as his deputy, and beneath Mr. Semerci he installed Dale M. Lattanzio and Douglas J. Mallach. Mr. Lattanzio promptly purchased a $5 million home, as well as oceanfront property in Mantoloking, a wealthy enclave in New Jersey, according to county records.

Merrill and the executives in this article declined to comment or say whether they would return past bonuses. Mr. Mallach did not return telephone calls.

Mr. Semerci, Mr. Lattanzio and Mr. Mallach joined Mr. Kim as Merrill entered a new phase in its mortgage buildup. That September, the bank spent $1.3 billion to buy the First Franklin Financial Corporation, a mortgage lender in California, in part so it could bundle its mortgages into lucrative bonds.

Yet Mr. Kim was growing restless. That same month, he told E. Stanley O'Neal, Merrill's chief executive, that he was considering starting his own hedge fund. His traders were stunned. But Mr. O'Neal persuaded Mr. Kim to stay, assuring him that the future was bright for Merrill's mortgage business, and, by extension, for Mr. Kim.

Mr. Kim stepped to the lectern on the bond trading floor and told his anxious traders that he was not going anywhere, and that business was looking up, according to four former employees who were there. The traders erupted in applause.

"No one wanted to stop this thing," said former mortgage analyst at Merrill. "It was a machine, and we all knew it was going to be a very, very good year."

Merrill Lynch celebrated its success even before the year was over. In November, the company hosted a three-day golf tournament at Pebble Beach, Calif.

Mr. Kim, an avid golfer, played alongside William H. Gross, a founder of Pimco, the big bond house; and Ralph R. Cioffi, who oversaw two Bear Stearns hedge funds whose subsequent collapse in 2007 would send shock waves through the financial world.

"There didn't seem to be an end in sight," said a person who attended the tournament.

Back in New York, Mr. Kim's team was eagerly bundling risky home mortgages into bonds. One of the last deals they put together that year was called "Costa Bella," or beautiful coast -- a name that recalls Pebble Beach. The $500 million bundle of loans, a type of investment known as a collateralized debt obligation, was managed by Mr. Gross's Pimco.

Merrill Lynch collected about $5 million in fees for concocting Costa Bella, which included mortgages originated by First Franklin.

But Costa Bella, like so many other C.D.O.'s, was filled with loans that borrowers could not repay. Initially part of it was rated AAA, but Costa Bella is now deeply troubled. The losses on the investment far exceed the money Merrill collected for putting the deal together.

So Much for So Few

By the time Costa Bella ran into trouble, the Merrill bankers who had devised it had collected their bonuses for 2006. Mr. Kim's fixed-income unit generated more than half of Merrill's revenue that year, according to people with direct knowledge of the matter. As a reward, Mr. O'Neal and Mr. Kim paid nearly a third of Merrill's $5 billion to $6 billion bonus pool to the 2,000 professionals in the division.

Mr. O'Neal himself was paid $46 million, according to Equilar, an executive compensation research firm and data provider in California. Mr. Kim received $35 million. About 57 percent of their pay was in stock, which would lose much of its value over the next two years, but even the cash portions of their bonus were generous: $18.5 million for Mr. O'Neal, and $14.5 million for Mr. Kim, according to Equilar.

Mr. Kim and his deputies were given wide discretion about how to dole out their pot of money. Mr. Semerci was among the highest earners in 2006, at more than $20 million. Below him, Mr. Mallach and Mr. Lattanzio each earned more than $10 million. They were among just over 100 people who accounted for some $500 million of the pool, according to people with direct knowledge of the matter.

After that blowout, Merrill pushed even deeper into the mortgage business, despite growing signs that the housing bubble was starting to burst. That decision proved disastrous. As the problems in the subprime mortgage market exploded into a full-blown crisis, the value of Merrill's investments plummeted. The firm has since written down its investments by more than $54 billion, selling some of them for pennies on the dollar.

Mr. Lin, the former Merrill trader, arrived late to the party. He was one of the last people hired onto Merrill's mortgage desk, in the summer of 2007. Even then, Merrill guaranteed Mr. Lin a bonus if he joined the firm. Mr. Lin would not disclose his bonus, but such payouts were often in the seven figures.

Mr. Lin said he quickly noticed that traders across Wall Street were reluctant to admit what now seems so obvious: Their mortgage investments were worth far less than they had thought.

"It's always human nature," said Mr. Lin, who lost his job at Merrill last summer and now works at RRMS Advisors, a consulting firm that advises investors in troubled mortgage investments. "You want to pull for the market to do well because you're vested."

But critics question why Wall Street embraced the risky deals even as the housing and mortgage markets began to weaken.

"What happened to their investments was of no interest to them, because they would already be paid," said Paul Hodgson, senior research associate at the Corporate Library, a shareholder activist group. Some Wall Street executives argue that paying a larger portion of bonuses in the form of stock, rather than in cash, might keep employees from making short-sighted decision. But Mr. Hodgson contended that would not go far enough, in part because the cash rewards alone were so high. Mr. Kim, for example, was paid a total of $116.6 million in cash and stock from 2001 to 2007. Of that, $55 million was in cash, according to Equilar.

Leaving the Scene

As the damage at Merrill became clear in 2007, Mr. Kim, his deputies and finally Mr. O'Neal left the firm. Mr. Kim opened a hedge fund, but it quickly closed. Mr. Semerci and Mr. Lattanzio landed at a hedge fund in London.

All three departed without collecting bonuses in 2007. Mr. O'Neal, however, got even richer by leaving Merrill Lynch. He was awarded an exit package worth $161 million.

Clawing back the 2006 bonuses at Merrill would not come close to making up for the company's losses, which exceed all the profits that the firm earned over the previous 20 years. This fall, the once-proud firm was sold to Bank of America, ending its 94-year history as an independent firm.

Mr. Bebchuk of Harvard Law School said investment banks like Merrill were brought to their knees because their employees chased after the rich rewards that executives promised them.

"They were trying to get as much of this or that paper, they were doing it with excitement and vigor, and that was because they knew they would be making huge amounts of money by the end of the year," he said.

Ben White contributed reporting.

If you'll excuse me, I think I'm going to venture out for some fresh air. Right after I empty my pockets.
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Wednesday, April 11, 2007

BUSH REGIME'S ONE BIG SUCCESS-- INCREASING THE DISPARITY BETWEEN THE SUPER RICH AND THE REST OF AMERICA

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A few days ago I was ignoring the flatulence coming out of George Bush's face on CNN when I noticed an interesting crawl under his image. Someone I used to work for had had a big pay raise-- from $16.5 million a year to $22 million a year. His name is Dick Parsons and he became the CEO of TimeWarner in May of 2002 and added the Chairman of the Board title one year later. After the death of the company's founder, Steve Ross, Time Warner fell prey to avaricious corporate predators from outside the company-- AOL's Steve Case-- and inside. Under that regime, of which Parsons was a part, the company lost tens of billions of dollars and the share price plummeted from over $90/share to around $20/share. Today it is almost exactly where it was when Parsons became CEO. In all likelihood, at least $6 billion was looted by insiders, although I'm not accusing Parsons on being one of the ones who looted the company. Nor am I accusing him of being a visionary or a powerful force of any kind. I was a division president when he took over. I barely knew him and had the impression that he was a colorless bureaucrat who managed to wind up advancing up the corporate ladder by never making any waves. And he just gave himself a very nice raise. His contract expires next year and many think he harbors hopes to run for mayor of New York City. That raise he just got should be a good downpayment on that race. And, yes, of course, he's a Republican.

The official propaganda that his staff wrote about him is quite heroic:
Since becoming CEO, Mr. Parsons has led Time Warner’s turnaround and set the company on a solid path toward achieving sustainable growth. In the process, he has put in place the industry's most experienced and successful management team, strengthened the company's balance sheet and simplified its corporate structure, and carried out a disciplined approach to realigning the company's portfolio of assets to improve returns.


If any of it were remotely true he might be worth a tenth of the salary he's being paid. It isn't and he isn't. Unless you compare him to other chief executives. Oh, he's just as good as almost any of them. In 2006 the typical CEO at a big company made just over $10 million a year, almost a 10% increase from the year before. That doesn't count lavish exit packages and the benefits of deferred compensation-- and personal use of the corporate jet.

That said, Monday's NY Times ran an exhaustive piece on executive compensation, "in response to a barrage of criticism that regulators have not kept up with the complexities of swelling pay packages." This, of course, is one instance where it is not Bush Regime incompetence, but rather carefully-planned design where the interests of our country and our very society have been severely damaged. Regime "regulators"-- maybe "enablers" would be a more appropriate description-- have overseen the development of a reporting system so complex that even experts are unable to decipher the basics. "And a new section in proxies, meant to explain clearly how executives are compensated, is overrun with mind-numbing corporate-speak and legalese. Even the simplest of questions becomes mired in the disclosure swamp."

The CEO of AT&T, far from the highest paid executive ($31.5 million last year) "can look forward to about $73.8 million in deferred pay and the largest pension on the list, at $84.7 million in retirement benefits. The guy who did get the highest pay, Ray Irani of Occidental Petroleum ($52.1 million), "has more money socked away in his deferred compensation account than any other executive Equilar examined. In fact, Mr. Irani’s deferred pay of $124 million yielded at least $679,396 in interest last year-- interest that amounted to more than 14 times the average salary of an oil industry worker."

And that brings us to the plight of ordinary workers. Between 1995 and 2005, CEO compensation has increased by 298%. The average worker's pay has gone up by 4.3%. Worse, there is no correlation whatsoever between CEO pay and company profits. Earlier in the year I talked about the growing gap between the very rich and the rest of us in the Bush years. Under George Bush, the disparity between the boss and his workers has risen to a point to where the boss makes 475 times more than his average employee. There are no other industrialized countries even in the same ballpark.

Today's Wall Street Journal cautions investors that when the CEO buys a mansion, it's time to sell the company's stock. What about when he buys his sixth mansion? What is it time to do then? May I direct you to the little video hotlinked to the DWT World Headquarters icon on the right? David Sirota points out that the Journal should have mentioned that the hideous bankruptcy law actually allows the wealthy to shield their mansions. "A company CEO who knows he might be bankrupt or the target of shareholder lawsuits likely knows the best way to protect his money from seizure is to dump it in a huge house. That's thanks to bankruptcy laws that Congress passed on a bipartisan basis-- laws that created and preserve this mansion protection loophole."

And yet we have a Democratic Congress now. Won't that help? Maybe around the margins. I mean they voted to raise the minimum wage a bit, although Bush is likely to veto it unless they agree to more tax breaks for the super wealthy. And if you'll take a look at the piece Joshua Grossman wrote last night about California and extrapolate on a national basis, you'll get a better understanding of how difficult it is for progressives and populists to make real progress. Corporate-oriented Democratic senators like Max Baucus (MT), Joe Biden (DE), Mary Landrieu (LA),  Mark Pryor (AR), Blanche Lincoln (AR), Ben Nelson (NE), Tom Carper (DE), and Evan Bayh (IN)-- a few examples-- are more apt to vote with Republicans and their corporate allies than with Democrats on crucial issues of basic fairness. And, it's at least as bad in the House.

Progressive taxation has given way to the most regressive tax system this country has seen since Bush's political and spiritual antecedents, Herbert Hoover, Calvin Coolidge and Warren Harding. And in the immediate future, we have Americans believing hard economic times are just around the corner and that a recession is looming. There is probably nothing more likely to guarantee that than the widespread unease about Bush's economy. This morning's L.A. Times points out the bleaker outlook: "Sixty percent of the poll respondents said a recession was somewhat or very likely within the next year. Two-thirds said they thought the country was 'seriously off on the wrong track.' This is down from 70% in a similar poll last month but otherwise the highest in 12 years. 'I see prices keep going up-- gas, produce, groceries, heating oil, electricity,' said Martha Flynn, who lives in Chicago. 'People are struggling.' ...Economists say such sentiments often foreshadow trouble to come.

Is it any wonder that, according to today's NY Times, "Republican leaders across the country say they are growing increasingly anxious about their party’s chances of holding the White House, citing public dissatisfaction with President Bush, the political fallout from the war in Iraq and and the problems their leading presidential candidates are having generating enthusiasm among conservative voters?" Yesterday Republican leaders interviewed by the Times "were concerned about signs of despondency among party members." They ain't seen nothing yet-- especially not when you consider moves like the one management at Citigroup, the country's largest financial institution, made today. They just announced that they're "eliminating 17,000 jobs as part of a companywide restructuring to reduce costs and improve profit." When management fires large numbers of workers they inevitably get gigantic bonuses, regardless of whether long-term profitability is actually improved or not. And while the WSJ suggests selling shares if the CEO buys a mansion, another NY Times story recommends renting a place if the economic roof collapses.

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