Thursday, January 24, 2019

If Swamp Guy Tries To Break Into The House Tuesday Evening . . .

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Swamp Guy's bound to flip his lid, wouldn't you think?

"House Speaker Nancy Pelosi (D-CA) said in a letter that the House will not consider a concurrent resolution authorizing the president's address in the House chamber until the government has opened.

"Pelosi's response came shortly after President Trump said he would show up at the House for the prime-time speech on Tuesday.

“ 'Again, I look forward to welcoming you to the House on a mutually agreeable date for this address when government has been opened,' Pelosi said."

-- washingtonpost.com, Wednesday afternoon

by Ken

Here's the scenario as I imagine it. It seems pretty tight to me.

• Swamp Guy shows up at the House Tuesday evening, Coked up on Diet C. He behaves so utterly trumpishly, demanding admission to the (empty) House chamber, where his two surviving brain cells are convinced applause awaits him, that the assorted security forces in the zone (House cops, D.C. gendarmes, FBI, Homeland Security enforcement agents, whoever), while squabbling over jurisdiction, agree on one point: This swamp creature needs to be detained.

• In due course Swamp Guy is brought before some sort of magistrate, judge, or other arraignment-type official for processing. After a minute or two of psychotic Swamp Guy babbling, it's hard to imagine any magistrate, judge, or other arraignment-type official in the country -- well, in the D.C. area, at least -- not ordering that the detainee remain in custody, by whatever means necessary, for proper psychological evaluation.

• It's hard to imagine any psychological evaluator who's not directly in Swamp Guy's chain of command not recommending in the strongest terms that the creature be bound over -- in the highest-level security facility possible -- for full psychological testing.

• Are you going to tell me that any competent psychological or psychiatric professional is not going to recommend that the subject, in whom not a single sanely functioning brain cell can be found, be remanded immediately to a maximum-security facility for treatment, again under the highest level of security possible?

• Surely no competent psychological or judicial adjudicator would ever allow Swamp Guy to resume slithering the earth free.

• Ideally, the Unspeakable Pence can be grandfathered in, on the ground that what sane person could possibly commit to four if not eight years (two of them already served) of wedging his head that far up the smelly, toxic butt of a creature like Swamp Guy?

• Which means: Over to you, President Pelosi. A grateful nation thanks you for your service.

Works for me.


YESTERDAY'S NEW YORKER "DAILY CARTOON,"
BY IVAN EHLERS


"This is the perfect location to deliver
my State of the Union address.
"

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Thursday, February 01, 2018

Midnight Meme Of The Day!

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-by Noah

The gas is strong with this one.

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Wednesday, January 31, 2018

Morbidly Obese And Hypocritical Jim Sensenbrenner (R-WI) On The SOTU: "It Is Not A Venue To Score Cheap Political Points."

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When I saw John Wagner's piece, "Names of campaign donors to be flashed during live stream of Trump's State of the Union speech," in the Washington Post Tuesday morning before dawn, I literally thought it was a parody. Señor Trumpanzee "is seeking to parlay his first State of the Union address on Tuesday into cash for his reelection campaign," wrote Wagner, "by offering supporters a chance to see their name flashed on the screen during a broadcast of the speech. In a fundraising solicitation on Monday, Trump offered those willing to pay at least $35 the opportunity to see their name displayed during a live streaming of the address on his campaign website.
"This is a movement," the solicitation says. "It's not about just one of us. It's about ALL of us. Which is why your name deserves to be displayed during Tuesday night's speech."

The web page to which the solicitation links offers donors the opportunity to contribute as much as $2,700-- the maximum amount allowed per election.
The part that wasn't true was the buzz on Capitol Hill that if you contributed $5,000 to his SuperPAC who could fuck Melania and if you gave $10,000 you could have a go at Ivanka. I checked Snopes and there was nothing about any of the Trumpanzee women but they did confirm that Trump was turning the SOTU address into a campaign fundraiser.



Also not confirmed was that Paul Ryan has had the tweet tattooed on his ass. So how does one analyze this stunt in light of the proposal put forward this week by Rep. Ro Khanna (D-CA) and Yale Law Professor Bruce Ackerman this week? Writing for the Sacramento Bee, they asserted, accurately, that "There can be no denying the overwhelming power of the rich in current American politics. As political scientists have repeatedly shown, Congress is systematically unresponsive to the opinions of ordinary Americans, reacting only to the views of the richest 10 percent. The positions of the current Congress-- tax cuts to the 1 percent, repealing net neutrality, refusing a vote on DACA, and rejecting Medicare for All-- have led to a crisis of confidence about whether the body is capable of representing the democratic will of our nation. Nothing matters more than reforming Congress so it is not beholden to the donor class. That’s why we are calling for a statutory proposal to reverse this slide into plutocracy."
The Citizen Sovereignty Act grants each registered voter a special credit card account that can be spent for only one purpose: to support favored candidates in federal elections. Citizens could sign up on the internet for the right to spend fifty “democracy dollars” during every election cycle on the contest for the presidency, the Senate, and the House.

Nearly 140 million Americans went to the polls in 2016. If the same number had been able to spend democracy dollars, they would have contributed the equivalent of $7 billion in campaign financing-- compared to the $6.8 billion in green dollars provided by private interests. This is a small price to pay to restore real democracy in the United States.

The statute is designed to respect all Supreme Court decisions guaranteeing candidates the right to raise private money and would be constitutional even under the Roberts Court. While the holy grail remains to overturn Citizens United and the Supreme Court’s flawed doctrine that money is speech, this initiative will allow us to reform our democracy without waiting helplessly for the court to change.

Under the democracy dollars system, even plutocrats might pause before relying on their own money or donor money. They will have to make a choice: Either they opt into the democracy dollar system, or they rely on green dollars. If they choose the latter, that will allow their opponents to raise millions of democracy dollars that the plutocrats might have obtained if they had competed for the support of their fellow citizens.

The plutocrats would lose any significant financial advantage and would also incur a huge cost of bad publicity for refusing support from ordinary Americans.

The point of the initiative is to kick off a conversation among reformers so that we don’t waste the next few years backing half-hearted initiatives.

Among reforms, the current favorite is the “matching grant” system that prevails in New York City and other places. Under this alternative, “small” contributions of up to $1,050 are matched 6-to-1 with public funds. But in New York, these “small” donations overwhelmingly come from the top ten percent earning more than $180,000 a year.

The average family, with an income of $43,000, has a hard enough time providing a decent life for themselves and their kids. If they have anything left over, it is perfectly understandable when they give it to their church or little league instead of a candidate they admire. For a single mom at the 25th percentile earning $26,000, the smallest political contribution is a luxury she can’t afford.

In contrast, once voters gain control of democracy dollars, fundraising would become a community affair-- a box lunch for 50 neighbors could gross 2,500 democracy dollars. These grass-roots efforts would provoke tens of millions of dinner-table conversations: Who should get our democracy dollars? Who is really concerned about America?

In 2015, Seattle voters became the first community to endorse a democracy dollars initiative for city elections. South Dakota followed in 2016 with a referendum of its own.

Our initiative brings the debate to the national level, and aims to put the progressive coalition in a position to act decisively if Americans repudiate the Republicans’ plutocratic politics in “wave elections” in 2018 and 2020.

Pompous Blowhard by Nancy Ohanian

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Tuesday, January 30, 2018

Midnight Meme Of The Day!

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-by Noah

State of the Union? I got your State of the Union right here:

Stores closing. Housing sales sliding down to their lowest in 3 years (Fewer construction jobs, nervous would-be buyers). Laughing stock of the world. Ah, so much winning! Oh, yeah. I'm sick of it!

And, it will only get worse. Under Trump, we do not have a government that is working on behalf of this country.

Trump's anti-solar move costs U.S. 26,000 jobs almost immediately and 10x that in the very near future. In 2016, 1 out of 50 new American jobs was in the growing solar industry, but Trump just couldn't have that! Texas, of all places is leading the way in wind energy capacity. Renewable energy; that was something his predecessor encouraged. Trump believes in coal being the future. What anti-American president would want to encourage growing industries and eventual world leadership in those industries? Sure, some companies might do the right thing. Some proposals may sound good. But it's the total picture that counts at the end of the day, and if something sounds good but comes out of Trump's pie hole, we know it's a lie.

Sending back Dreamers is not good for America, no matter how they got here. Sending them back will cost the economy an estimated $400 Billion+. All of these actions are the actions of someone who is, for all intents and purposes, either a Manchurian president or a psychotic who is out to harm the lives of as many Americans as possible, personally profiting from those actions all the while. Of course, Trump could be both psychotic and Manchurian. No reasonable person would put that past him.

It takes a lot to lower the bar when it comes to politicians but Trump has done it. He has broken a pathological lying bullshit barrier that no Washington watcher or insider could have ever thought could be broken. He is the Mach1000 of bullshit. It's the equivalent of a rocket going faster than the speed of light. No one ever thought it could be done.

It doesn't matter what Señor Trumpanzee says during his speeches. It only matters what he does. Only fools take his words seriously or treat him with respect. The man has been a con man all his life. That's his one true talent. We can wonder about degrees of insanity, syphilis, dementia, or all of the above. It's not the cause. It's the result. The man's entire life has been a clusterphuck of failed marriages and failed businesses, but, he has always sucked and suckered people into his maelstrom of lunacy. This time he's done it with a whole country. This con, as well-orchestrated as it was, needs to be over immediately. Nothing the man says is credible, no matter how many applaud him.

We need a complete ban on this administration. They are not giving us the best people. They are not giving us the brightest. They're giving us people who have lots of problems. They're giving us looters. They're OK with rapists. They're OK with pedophiles. They're bringing us crime. They speak and act like they're on drugs. They're taking our health while we pay for theirs. I'd like to assume that some are good people, but I see no evidence of that.

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Monday, January 29, 2018

Midnight Meme Of The Day!

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-by Noah

The State of the Union is Fucked.

Usually, presidents stand before Congress and the national TV audience to give their "State of the Union" speech and say "The state of the Union is strong." It's showmanship. It's a designed cheer and applause line no matter what the real state of the union happens to be at the time. I suspect that, on Tuesday night, our psychopathic 300 pound fartbag of a president will say something to the same effect, maybe even the exact same words, if he is having a good night reading his teleprompter, that is. But, what will happen is anybody's guess. He could say those magic bullshit words. It would be in keeping with his propensity to lie. He is incapable of a true statement. To him, truth is a disease. Even his name isn't his name.

More than likely, "Trump" will say "The state of the Union is strong" and then he will start rambling about how we are strong because of his own tremendousness and magnificence, his deal-making, his leadership, his indisputably stable genius... you know how it goes. He will claim to have "signed more legislation than any previous president"; still not understanding that signing executive orders is not signing legislation. He will say all this and the obsequious republicans in the hall will stand up and stomp and cheer. All the while, Mike Pence will be sitting on the dais in back of Trump praying to his fake Christian god that his boss will just keel over dead right then and there so he can take over the big podium and start bringing his dreams of Christian jihad to full flower at a faster pace. Right next to him will be a smirking Paul Ryan, applauding Trump's every utterance and white power hand gesture, while he also prays for Trump's sudden demise and adds Pence's demise, too; not that he disagrees with anything Trump or Pence say or do, but but because he has his own dreams, the darkest dreams of all dreams.

Yes, Republicans will cheer whatever their beloved leader has to say. They will cheer his batshit insanity as if it is there own, because it is their own. If Trump says we need more pedophiles in government, they will applaud that. If Trump says no more black or brown, no matter how many billions they contribute to our economy, they will of course, applaud that. If, after nodding to Pence, he announces a government taxpayer-funded program of "gay conversion," they will applaud and cheer that; even the self-loathing closet cases among them. If Trump starts talking about closing down public schools and replacing them with Trump Universities, they will applaud that. Selling the Grand Canyon? Yeah, they will applaud that. Yosemite? That, too. Make DACA children build "The Wall" for a dollar a day? Total Republican bliss! Even more deficit-multiplying redistribution of wealth up to the top 1% via more tax scams? C'mon do ya have to ask? The benefits of coal ash and lead in our water? You bet. If Trump says he wants to join with Russia in a new USSR and sell all our resources to Russia for 10 cents on the dollar, they will applaud that, and the TV cameras will pivot to the guest section where they will find a beaming Vladimir Putin. For extra measure, Putin will be flanked by an American porn star on one side and a Russian porn star on the other, all in a display of the new unity.

Then, in a consolation prize nod to China, he will announce that helping Puerto Rico recover is no longer an American problem (not that he ever thought that it was) because Jared has dealt the island to China in return for cash for his New York real estate ventures.

Most of all, if Señor Trumpanzee actually does have a highly unlikely moment of honesty and says "The State of the Union is Fucked," Republicans will applaud, cheer, and stomp for that the most of all. They will then unfurl a huge gold banner with sparkling diamond letters that spell out "Mission Accomplished." And this time it will be true. Trump will grin at Putin, looking for approval from daddy. As he does that, Kellyanne Conway, Sarah Huckabee Sanders, Mitch McConnell, and, Lindsey Graham, and Louis Gohmert, all dressed up in 1950s cheerleader outfits will all start conga line dancing off the dais and up the aisles, while Stephen Miller takes over the podium mic and sings "Springtime For Hitler."


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Friday, March 03, 2017

Putting Trump's Endless Lies Under The Microscope

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Although there was more enthusiasm among Americans for Obama's first speech to Congress and even for George W. Bush's first, I was still pretty surprised to read that most Americans liked what they heard from Trump Tuesday night. I guess they like being lied to. Maybe they find it comforting. The bar had certainly been set very low but one of my old friends from college mentioned in a comment that she couldn't watch it but that her husband did-- or at least tried. "he could only tolerate Trump for a short while and shut it off. In my lifetime, watching Lyndon Johnson, Nixon and George Bush on television was a nightmare-- I could not stand looking at their faces. It is hard to imagine that things could get worse, but they have by far. The Orangeman fills me with deep disgust and revulsion. He flaunts his disrespect for the American people, the Constitution and democracy. With his inability to read a book, let alone several pages of a briefing, I am certain he never read the Constitution. Did he absorb American history in high school? Long live Frederick Douglas! He is so ignorant, dangerous, disturbed, deeply corrupted and traitorous with the Russians and yet the Republicans applauded him last night like he is some terrific leader. Congress is becoming the Nazis 2.0. I fervently hope that the American people are not morphing into the Germans. I don't think so and hope not-- it is evident that many, many Americans are deeply upset about what is going on and are taking a stand against this horror. Maybe truth, reason and morality will win out in the end! This country has certainly faced major obstacles in the past and overcome them."



Andrew Griffin covered the speech for the Independent in the U.K., where President Snowflake had just cancelled his visit because of the intensity of the opposition from ordinary Londoners who don't want that fat racist lout in their city. Griffin reported that "almost every major claim made in it appeared to be false." Even if American journalists and pundits largely missed it, journalists abroad saw right through the cavalcade of lies.
He appeared to wrongly claim that he was responsible for a vast reduction in the price of the F-35 jet, as well as falsely characterising a report into the problems of immigration.

The President's speech made contested claims about the value of immigration, his success in office, his plans for tax reform, and healthcare coverage.

While much of the speech was focused on the same rhetoric that Mr Trump led his campaign with-- including a commitment to bring jobs back to the US and boost the military-- he also made a number of factual claims about his work as president.

TRUMP: "According to the National Academy of Sciences, our current immigration system costs America's taxpayers many billions of dollars a year."

THE FACTS: That's not exactly what that report says. It says immigrants "contribute to government finances by paying taxes and add expenditures by consuming public services."

The report found that while first-generation immigrants are more expensive to governments than their native-born counterparts, primarily at the state and local level, immigrants' children "are among the strongest economic and fiscal contributors in the population."

The report found that the "long-run fiscal impact" of immigrants and their children would probably be seen as more positive "if their role in sustaining labor force growth and contributing to innovation and entrepreneurial activity were taken into account."

TRUMP: "We've saved taxpayers hundreds of millions of dollars by bringing down the price" of the F-35 jet fighter.

THE FACTS: The cost savings he persists in bragging about were secured in full or large part before he became president.

The head of the Air Force program announced significant price reductions in the contract for the Lockheed F-35 fighter jet Dec. 19-- after Trump had tweeted about the cost but weeks before he met the company's CEO about it.

Pentagon managers took action even before the election to save money on the contract. Richard Aboulafia, an analyst with the aerospace consulting firm Teal Group, said there is no evidence of any additional cost savings as a result of Trump's actions.

TRUMP: "We will provide massive tax relief for the middle class."

THE FACTS: Trump has provided little detail on how this would happen. Independent analyses of his campaign's tax proposals found that most of the benefits would flow to the wealthiest families. The richest 1 percent would see an average tax cut of nearly $215,000 a year, while the middle one-fifth of the population would get a cut of just $1,010, according to the Tax Policy Center, a joint project by the Brookings Institution and Urban Institute.

TRUMP: "Ninety-four million Americans are out of the labor force."

THE FACTS: That's true, but for the vast majority of them, it's because they choose to be.

That 94 million figure includes everyone aged 16 and older who doesn't have a job and isn't looking for one. So it includes retirees, parents who are staying home to raise children, and high school and college students who are studying rather than working.

They are unlikely to work regardless of the state of the economy. With the huge baby-boomer generation reaching retirement age and many of them retiring, the population of those out of the labor force is increasing and will continue to do so, most economists forecast.

It's true that some of those out of the workforce are of working age and have given up looking for work. But that number is probably a small fraction of the 94 million Trump cited.


Pravda means "truth"
TRUMP: "Obamacare is collapsing ... imploding Obamacare disaster."

THE FACTS: There are problems with the 2010 health care law, but whether it's collapsing is hotly disputed.

One of the two major components of the Affordable Care Act has seen a spike in premiums and a drop in participation from insurers. But the other component, equally important, seems to be working fairly well, even if its costs are a concern.

Trump and congressional Republicans want to repeal the whole thing, which risks leaving millions of people uninsured if the replacement plan has shortcomings. Some critics say GOP rhetoric itself is making things worse by creating uncertainty about the future.

The health law offers subsidized private health insurance along with a state option to expand Medicaid for low-income people. Together, the two arms of the program cover more than 20 million people.

Republican governors whose states have expanded Medicaid are trying to find a way to persuade Congress and the administration to keep the expansion, and maybe even build on it, while imposing limits on the long-term costs of Medicaid.

While the Medicaid expansion seems to be working, the markets for subsidized private health insurance are stressed in many states. Also affected are millions of people who buy individual policies outside the government markets, and face the same high premiums with no financial help from the health law.

Larry Levitt of the nonpartisan Kaiser Family Foundation says "implosion" is too strong a term. An AP count found that 12.2 million people signed up for this year, despite the Trump administration's threats to repeal the law.

But a health care blogger and industry consultant, Robert Laszewski, agrees with Trump, saying too few young, healthy people have signed up to guarantee the stability of the insurance markets.

TRUMP: His budget plan will offer "one of the largest increases in national defence spending in American history."

THE FACTS: Three times in recent years, Congress raised defence budgets by larger percentages than the 54 billion dollars, or 10%, increase Mr Trump proposes. The base defense budget grew by 41 billion dollars, or 14.3%, in 2002; by 37 billion dollars, or 11.3%, in 2003, and by 47 billion dollars, or 10.9%, in 2008, according to Defence Department figures.

TRUMP: "According to data provided by the Department of Justice, the vast majority of individuals convicted for terrorism-related offences since 9/11 came here from outside of our country. We have seen the attacks at home-- from Boston to San Bernardino to the Pentagon and yes, even the World Trade Centre."

THE FACTS: It is unclear what Justice Department data he's citing, but the most recent government information does not back up his claim. Just over half the people Mr Trump talks about were born in the US, according to Homeland Security Department research revealed last week. That report said of 82 people the government determined were inspired by a foreign terrorist group to attempt or carry out an attack in the US, just over half were native-born.

Even the attacks Mr Trump singled out were not entirely the work of foreigners. Syed Rizwan Farook, who along with his Pakistani wife killed 14 people in the 2015 attack in San Bernardino, California, was born in Chicago.

It is true that in the immediate aftermath of September 11, the FBI's primary concern was with terrorists from overseas feared to be plotting attacks in the US, but that is no longer the case.

The FBI and the Justice Department have been preoccupied with violent extremists from inside the US who are inspired by the calls to violence and mayhem of the Islamic State group. The Justice Department has prosecuted scores of IS-related cases since 2014, and many of the defendants are US citizens.


Carol Shea-Porter won her seat on the same day that Trump beat Clinton in her New Hampshire district. Trump won the district with 48.2% but there was a good deal of ticket splitting and Shea-Porter beat Tea Party incumbent Frank Guinta 161,828 (44.2%) to 157,011 (42.9%), despite spoiler Shawn O'Conner's 34,612 votes (9.4%). Carol watched Trump's speech Tuesday evening and reminded her constituents back home that "“In his first forty days in office, President Trump has created deep divisions in our country. He has disregarded the fundamental values our nation was built on: tolerance for religious and ethnic diversity, freedom of the press, and the rule of law."
President Trump spoke falsely tonight when he claimed we are experiencing the worst financial recovery in more than half a century. The fact is, when President Obama took office on January 20, 2009, we were losing 700,000 jobs a month, and at this point in his term we had already passed a bipartisan jobs bill that 9 out of 10 economists agree saved our country from a Great Depression. We have now had 76 straight months of private-sector job growth thanks to President Obama’s leadership.

Tonight, President Trump mentioned economic priorities I strongly support-- investing in infrastructure and enacting tax relief for the middle class-- but the truth is that almost half of his first 100 days have passed with zero action on these priorities.

There is no better example of words without action than his Affordable Care Act rhetoric, which is being confronted with the reality that tens of thousands in New Hampshire now have access to care, even if they have a pre-existing condition that would have excluded them from coverage before, and even if they need treatment for substance abuse or PTSD. Our health care system has changed for the better, and the people of this nation have said loud and clear: we’re not going back.

The only actions Donald Trump has taken as President are dragging us backwards, not forwards. In his speech, President Trump boasted about his hiring freeze for ‘non-essential’ federal workers. But the truth is, the men and women at the Manchester VA Medical Center who work to ensure our veterans get the care they deserve, are essential. The workers who have made our Shipyard the best in the world, like Paul O’Connor, my guest for tonight’s speech, are essential. There are countless men and women working in New Hampshire and across the country who President Trump doesn’t see, but we know they are the key to our nation’s prosperity.

President Trump’s vision of our country excludes so many of the people who make New Hampshire great. His speech propagated anti-immigrant sentiments that cannot coexist with our proud history as a nation of immigrants. Our immigrant neighbors in New Hampshire are not violent criminals; they are our doctors, our students, our small business owners. We must not allow his divisive rhetoric to obscure the principles on which our Founders built this nation.

Finally, we must acknowledge what President Trump left unsaid tonight. The American people have unanswered questions about his financial holdings, and especially about his ties to Russia. The first forty days of his Presidency have been defined by chaos and resignations. Until President Trump discloses the information we the people demand about his conflicts of interest, we cannot trust anything he says, including his speech tonight.
Her guest, the Paul O'Connor she referred to above, is the former president of the Portsmouth Naval Shipyard’s Metal Trades Council. He recently retired after 40 years of civilian service and now serves as an IBEW International Representative. He had something to add about Trump's address as well: "The vision for America President Trump outlined tonight is wrong for the working men and women in New Hampshire. We need fair wages, good healthcare, fair immigration policies, and a government that works for people, not profits. The working men and women of New Hampshire will not be fooled by this President’s hollow promises, but will judge him by his actions, which so far have failed to reflect the values that make our country truly great."


Tuesday night, journalists reported that Trump had managed to "act presidential"

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Wednesday, March 01, 2017

Trump Speaks!

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by Skip Kaltenheuser

Occasionally scribble on politics and sooner or later public relations enterprises will find you. The moment President Trump finished up, emails came knocking on my inbox.

I’d like to highlight a few of the more welcome ones. Two came from Patriotic Millionaires. The couple hundred or so well-heeled members push political equality, sustaining wages and the quaint notion that wealthy people and corporations should shoulder a larger share of the tax burden. They disapprove of Trump’s push to repeal the Affordable Care Act and its funding from taxes.

According to Morris Pearl, former managing director at BlackRock and chair of Patriotic Millionaires, "The ACA taxes-- capital gains, dividends, and interest-- target the wealthiest amongst us. The tax code already taxes their income at much lower rates than wages; gutting the ACA funding would only further add to our already egregious levels of economic inequality. Wealthy Americans do not need yet another tax cut, we need a funded government to sustain a growing economy. That’s what will truly benefit all Americans.”

The second message from this group focused on Trump’s proposed tax cuts. Says Pearl, “In an economy that is 70% consumer driven, the last thing we need to do to grow and sustain our economy is give millionaires yet another tax cut. The exhausted policies of 'trickle-down economics' have failed spectacularly. President Trump needs to rethink his goals-- rather than offer these faulty tax cuts to our nation’s wealthiest, he should instead commit to a $15 minimum wage. Business owners and investors need consumers with more disposable income. President Trump should work to improve the lives and wallets of the lower and middle class because that is how we all prosper.”

The group’s issues can be explored here.

Another email came from afar, from Mexico Presidential Candidate Margarita Zavala. I don’t know anything about her except she’s a former first lady of Mexico and a former law professor, but I thought her words were well-chosen. "Tonight, we saw a speech by President Trump that continues to put Mexico as a problem for the U.S., and continues to nourish hate speech that divides, polarizes and engenders enmity and mistrust. President Trump does not value how important it is for America to have a constructive and beneficial relationship with our country. He puts the relationship with Mexico as a 'zero sum game' in which the profits of one are the losses of the other and that is patently false... Pres. Trump’s call for a wall is offensive and useless, it is a solution to a problem that does not exist. The United States is more prosperous, safer and more competitive thanks to the alliance with our country…” Saying that her country was not adversarial to America but was complimentary, she noted that "Mexico is the second destination of US exports and the first of exports from California, Arizona, New Mexico and Texas. We buy more products from USA than Japan, Germany and UK together and Mexican tourists spend more than 18 billion dollars a year in the US.”

One email was from a group called Define American?, which had a press conference at the National Press Club Wednesday morning. The group aims to educate the public on the contributions of undocumented immigrants. One of the offerings at its site is #factsmatter, offering a statistical perspective to mitigate inflammatory distortions of immigrants’ interactions with America. Speakers include folks who were interpreters for American forces in the Middle East, a risky task.

I won’t attempt to parse ideal immigration policies, other than they ought to be less ham-handed and bone-headed than what we’ve been treated to lately.

The recent shooting in Olathe, Kansas by some crazy targeting two engineers from India because he thought them Iranian, as well as a brave local who ignored the peril to intervene, was startling to me. Growing up in Prairie Village, a suburb of Kansas City, I knew old Olathe well. My late dad rented a pasture there to board a few horses. Before Olathe became part of suburban sprawl, when my traveling salesman father was home on weekends we rode all over much of that area that is now covered with homes. I can’t imagine anyone was more shocked by the tragedy than the people living there. Nice people. And various enterprises are giving them a lot more international exposure than I had growing up.

The other night in Washington, DC I was driving home from an event at the French Embassy for the Island of Martinique, feeling like I’d just been abroad. In record-breaking February warmth, the top was down on the ’66 Corvair, which was purring until it wasn’t, when smoke was wafting out of the engine that started sounding like a banshee. Broken fan belt. Midnight in DC is still pretty active. Cars were stacking up on a narrow street behind me as I struggled to push my car out of the way. Suddenly a half dozen guys appeared from nowhere, not from the cars behind me, just from the street, and helped shove my car into an alley. Central American accents. After the car cooled, I waived down a driver who was from Guatemala. He cheerfully pulled into the alley and got out his cables and got the Corvair going again, long enough to get home. The next day my Vietnamese mechanic and his home country crew put everything right. Half the time I take a problem to him, it’s a quick fix and he waives off the charge. I’ve never questioned the fairness of a billing.

I felt lucky to have these people from the far flung here, just as helpful in a pinch as people in Kansas would have been.



UPDATE: Howie Was Collecting Reactions Too

Let's start with Elizabeth Warren, who should have been the one to give the rebuttal in my opinion. "There’s nothing," she wrote right after the speech, "about Donald Trump’s vision for America that will make America great."
Racism, sexism, bigotry and hatred have no place in our country.
Tearing apart immigrant families and banning Muslims is against everything this country stands for.
Ripping health care out of the hands of millions of Americans is irresponsible and cruel.
And gutting the rules, firing the cops, and handing over the keys to our economy to the billionaires and giant corporations won’t level the playing field for working families.
But I’ll give him credit: Donald Trump did say something true in his big speech tonight. The earth did shift beneath our feet in 2016. Quiet voices did become a loud chorus. An earthquake did unite us.
 
Just not the way President Trump thinks it did.
 
The American people are ready to fight back against Trump’s hateful and dangerous agenda. They’ve shown it at marches and protests and all across the country. They’ve shown it through petitions and phone calls and social media.
 
Millions of Americans in Massachusetts and across this country are ready to fight back for basic human dignity and respect for every human being. And they’re ready to fight back for economic opportunity-- not for billionaires like Donald Trump, but for everyone.
Another champion of the congressional resistance, Pramila Jayapal (D-WA), wrote with laser focused precision that Trump's "rhetoric did not match reality. He said things that sounded good, but they were the opposite of his actions and rhetoric of the past. He repeated falsehoods about immigrants to justify the logic behind his inhumane and barbaric executive orders that have thrown our immigration system into complete and utter chaos. Instead of offering specifics and a plan to expand health care for all, President Trump, once again, called for the repeal of the Affordable Care Act leaving millions without health insurance. He talked about tax relief for the middle class, but the Trump tax plan is nothing more than a big tax break for the rich. He mentioned reducing poverty, but in fact his budget blueprint would decimate the very social safety net programs that help people climb out of poverty. It was surreal to listen to President Trump talk about 'draining the swamp' after he’s appointed billionaires, lobbyists and Washington-insiders to top posts in his cabinet. I firmly believe that we’re all better off when we’re all better off. We need to shift our focus from fear mongering to creating jobs, expanding health care for all, protecting our planet for our children. Tonight, we got few specifics for any real plans and a slightly softer version of the divisive Trump agenda."

It was Pramila's first State of the Union. Raul Grijalva had been to many. This one, he said was "was a well-scripted, well-rehearsed presentation. But it was also exactly what we know to expect from Donald Trump: the bluster never stops, and the facts never matter. Tonight’s speech was no different. Trump used the stature of our nation’s most prestigious venue to continue vilifying immigrants and generalizing America’s needs without offering content. If anything, Americans hoping for details from their new president were left with more questions than answers. Blatant omissions defined tonight’s speech far more than the few details it offered. What is Trump’s plan for future of public education now that the Department is run by someone who dedicated her career to ending its existence? The same should be asked about the Environmental Protection Agency now that it’s run by an oil industry hack. And where are the details on replacing the Affordable Care Act? Or even some simple accounting in an actual budget? Americans got no answers to these questions tonight. Here is what we do know: Trump can’t pass his own legislation-- he needs Congressional Republicans to carry out his policies. They will be responsible for any reckless policies they rubberstamp, and in many cases, equally culpable in their creation. The American people have a safeguard against the worst intentions of this administration: it is to hold their Congressional leaders accountable."

Luis Gutiérrez, the Chicago congressman who came up with the idea of boycotting the inauguration, went to the speech last night-- and was dismayed, but probably not surprised, by Trump’s call for greatly reduced legal immigration and a "merit-based" admissions system to reduce the legal immigration of low-skilled immigrants and his restatement of the lie that immigrants are a source of higher crime in the U.S. and that a wall will be an effective immigration or border security measure. 
The President is lying when he says he supports immigration reform in any meaningful sense. He spent most of his speech denigrating immigrants, tarring our community as criminals, drug-dealers, and killers and we cannot stand for it. He is dressing his mass deportation plans up in nicer language, but hearing every Republican applaud the President’s hateful words is very disheartening.

The President sees Latinos and immigrants as threats, as criminals, and as killers. He highlights the crimes that some immigrants have committed in an effort to turn the American people against immigration. He envisions an immigration system where quotas for PhD’s are set in Washington and the multitude of immigrants who built this country and who keep it flourishing would not be welcome. The Latino community won’t forget and won’t let that happen. And the millions of allies we have who support immigration as a fundamental and integral aspect of America’s greatness will not forget either.

The President’s speech was ripped from the pages of Breitbart and you could imagine Steve Bannon’s lips moving with every sentence. Bannon and Trump’s vision of an isolated and vengeful America, with a less diverse population and greater walls and motes is an ugly and fear-based vision.

I also found his characterization of Chicago as a murderous hellscape unfair, especially because I do not believe for an instant that Trump wants to do anything meaningful for the residents of our great city, anything to invest in jobs or in safer streets. It was a gratuitous jab at our city and I resent it.

The President has taken America around a sharp bend, veering towards a nation that is looking backwards and fearful of the future.
Mark Pocan, the congressman from the Madison, Wisconsin area reminded his constituents that we've all "heard the President stand in front of a teleprompter and deliver a speech full of empty promises and self-serving boasts before. At the end of the day, what matters to hard-working people in this country struggling to make ends meet are actions. So far, this President has done little to improve economic conditions and provide real help for working families. We have heard a lot of words from the President, but seen precious few policies from the White House that would create economic stability in our country. Instead, we have seen an Administration focused on spreading fear and hatred, while putting Wall Street banks and CEOs ahead of working people... This is a President who would like claim he is on the side of working people, but his own actions as a ‘businessman’ hurt workers and small businesses. His cabinet is full of Wall Street Bankers, multi-millionaires and billionaires who took advantage of an economy rigged against working families. It’s also no surprise his tax plan will be full of tax cuts for the wealthy and big corporations. These are not the actions of a President who wants to see working Americans succeed. There are still a lot of question marks surrounding this President on everything from his tax returns to his conflicts of interest to his potential ties to Russia and their interference in our election. I hope that the American people hear what the President said tonight and hold him to a higher standard when it comes to his actions and policies."

Goal Thermometer

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Tuesday, February 28, 2017

Orange Orangutan Will Have More Bad News For Americans Tonight

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Last week Kaiser Health released their latest polling data on where Americans stand on healthcare. They found that "attitudes towards the Affordable Care Act (ACA) have shifted with a larger share reporting a favorable opinion towards the law (48 percent) than reporting an unfavorable opinion (42 percent). This is the highest level of favorability of the ACA measured in more than 60 Kaiser Health Tracking Polls since 2010 and is largely driven by a change in the views of independents, among which 50 percent now view the law favorably... The vast majority of Americans say it is either 'very important' (55 percent) or 'somewhat important' (29 percent) for ACA replacement plans to ensure that states that have received federal funds to expand Medicaid continue to receive those funds, with majorities of Democrats (95 percent), independents (84 percent), and Republicans (69 percent) saying it is important. And that's just one of a dozen recent polls showing the same thing. Pew's results show that 54% of Americans approve of the Affordable Care Act and only 43% disapprove. The Huffington Post tracker poll-- which combines the results of all recent polls-- shows that 47.8% favor Obamacare and 42.8% oppose it, the momentum clearly growing in favor.

So how his our contrarian authoritarian in the White House reacting? With Mnuchin and Mulvaney now confirmed and in place, Trump is bellowing about sharply increasing military spending and cutting spending on domestic programs-- especially ones the far right doesn't like-- healthcare and environmental protections. Yesterday he told all federal agencies to factor an increased share of the budget for military spending into their own budget requests for the next fiscal year. Cuts won't include Medicare and Social Security before the 2018 midterm elections but they will be "drastic" everywhere else. "Trump," reported the NY Times "will demand a budget with tens of billions of dollars in reductions to the Environmental Protection Agency and State Department, according to four senior administration officials with direct knowledge of the plan. Social safety net programs, aside from the big entitlement programs for retirees, would also be hit hard... [T]his plan-- a product of a collaboration between the Office of Management and Budget director, Mick Mulvaney; the National Economic Council director, Gary Cohn; and the White House chief strategist, Stephen K. Bannon-- is intended to make a big splash for a president eager to show that he is a man of action."


Trump’s top advisers huddled in the White House this weekend to work on his Tuesday night prime-time address. They focused on a single, often overlooked message amid the chaos of his first weeks in the White House: the assertion that the reality-show candidate is now a president determined to keep audacious campaign promises on immigration, the economy and the budget, no matter how sloppy or disruptive it looks from the outside.

“They might not agree with everything you do, but people will respect you for doing what you said you were going to do,” said Jason Miller, a top communications strategist on the Trump campaign who remains close to the White House.

“He’s doing something first, and there’s time for talk later,” Mr. Miller added. “This is ultimately how he’s going to get people who didn’t vote, or people who didn’t vote for him, into the fold. Inside the Beltway and with the media, there’s this focus on the palace intrigue. Out in the rest of the country, they are seeing a guy who is focused on jobs and the economy.”

The budget plan, a numerical sketch that will probably be substantially altered by House and Senate Republicans-- and vociferously opposed by congressional Democrats-- will be Mr. Trump’s first big step into a legislative fray he has largely avoided during the first 40 days of his administration.

Thus far, instead of legislating, he has focused on a succession of executive orders on immigration and deregulation written by Mr. Bannon’s small West Wing team.

Resistance from federal agencies could ease some of the deepest cuts in the initial plan before a final budget request is even sent to Congress. And Capitol Hill will have the last word.

To meet Mr. Trump’s defense request, lawmakers in both parties would have to agree to raise or end statutory spending caps on defense and domestic programs that were imposed by the 2011 Budget Control Act.

...In putting together their budget plans, White House officials are operating under the assumption that the rate of the United States’ economic growth this year will be 2.4 percent, according to one person who has been briefed on the matter. That is slightly ahead of current projections, but it is well below the 3 percent to 4 percent growth that Mr. Trump promised during the campaign.

For next year, the operating assumption is only slightly higher, that person added, a sign that the budget process will not be too out of step with economic reality.

The turmoil that has engulfed Mr. Trump’s West Wing is largely of his own devising-- part of a calculated effort by Mr. Bannon to move boldly despite his team’s lack of experience, and despite the reluctance of many mainstream Republicans to work for a president whom many of them opposed in the party’s brutal primaries.

...Lawmakers in both parties have complained that the president’s big words are not yet matched by detailed policy prescriptions or a legislative affairs team capable of executing such undefined promises as repealing and replacing the Affordable Care Act or rewriting the tax code.

The budget outline will give Mr. Trump an opportunity to add some specifics to an agenda that has been defined by bellicose speech and the broadest possible policy strokes.

Still, aides said Mr. Trump did not plan to change his style for Tuesday’s address. The speech, they said, is likely to have more in common with his clipped inaugural address-- in which he declared, “The time for empty talk is over”-- than the fine-print litanies of policy proposals favored by President Bill Clinton or the high-flung invocations of national purpose preferred by President George W. Bush and Mr. Obama.

Mr. Trump’s team, conscious of his recent reversals and a first-month approval rating that is among the lowest ever recorded, has emphasized his determination to break the partisan gridlock and inaction that has kept congressional approval ratings in the 15 to 30 percent range for years.

At the start of an interview last week with Sean Hannity of Fox News at the Conservative Political Action Conference, Kellyanne Conway, the president’s counselor, called him “President Action, President Impact, Donald J. Trump.”


In a round-robin of Sunday show interviews, Stephen Miller, Mr. Trump’s policy adviser, maintained that the president had accomplished more in his first month than most of his predecessors had in their entire administrations.

In reality, most of Mr. Trump’s executive actions have had no more effect on actual policy than news releases. And his nail-in-the-coffin order on the Trans-Pacific Partnership trade deal came well after the agreement had been put on life support by labor protests and liberal opposition.

One West Wing official, who requested anonymity to speak candidly about strategy, said the administration craved the split-screen television images of Mr. Trump at round-table discussions with business executives every few days on one side, and the vehement protesters of his administration on the other.

But his critics say such photo opportunities are all an act, a not-very-entertaining real-life rendition of The Apprentice by an ineffective rookie president.

“This man is not a doer,” said Representative Nancy Pelosi, the House minority leader, who will host a Monday “pre-buttal” of Mr. Trump’s Tuesday speech. “Oh, please. He has nothing to show for what he’s been doing in office for 40 days. It’s all been squandered.”
So... what can we expect during the Trumpanzee congressional address tonight? I've been talking to the Democrats who most hate what he's doing to America and no one seems to be planning anything like what South Carolina neo-fascist slob Joe Wilson did during Obama's first State of the Union. Luis Gutiérrez (D-IL), who came up with the idea for boycotting the inauguration says he's going to tonight's speech. "This year," he said, "I do not plan to applaud this President or leap to my feet to give him a standing ovation --  even in the unlikely event he says something I agree with. No, I am not boycotting, but I am planning to essentially sit on my hands. I plan to listen to every word with rapt attention, but zero enthusiasm. I hope many of my colleagues feel similarly and join me in listening quietly... The core American values of equality, fair treatment, a day in court, and a government that is accountable to the people who vote --  these are all values that the Trump Administration flouts with arrogance and disdain. So, I will be there, with my guest, but I don’t plan on angling my way to the aisle, I do not plan to shout 'You Lie' even when he does, and I will also not be putting my hands together in support of his speech. He has a great deal of work to do for me to applaud him."

Gutiérrez's will be bringing Chicago immigration attorney Fidaa Rashid who works with a mostly Middle Eastern clientele-- those most directly targeted by Trump’s Muslim Ban-- as his guest tonight. She was born in the U.S. to parents who were refugees from Gaza. Raúl Grijalva's guest tonight will be Jacqueline García de Rayos, daughter of Guadalupe García de Rayos, the 20 year Arizona resident who went in for a routine check-in with immigration officials last month and was arrested on the spot and deported the next day, the first of Señor Trumpanzee's "bad dudes" to be deported. Jerry Nadler, Jared Polis and Mark Pocan are bringing DACA recipients as their guests and Pramila Jayapal is bringing Aneelah Afzali, Founder of the American Muslim Empowerment Network (AMEN).

Today's greatest graphic


Jim Murphy, an international gambling expert, has been writing about sports betting as well as handicapping theory and practice for over two decades. He's well-known as an odds making consultant for sports and "non-sport novelty bets" focused on the entertainment business, politics, nontraditional events, things like how many people would get whacked in the season premiere of The Sopranos. Today he's offering odds on what could happen at tonight's the State of the Trumpanzee Union.
Much like the Presidential Inauguration, the process as we know it today is a mishmash of precedent combined with a healthy dose of political self importance. Several weeks before the address, the Speaker of the House formally ‘invites’ the President to speak to the joint Congress. Like a hot Hollywood party, the number of people who can attend and how many guests they can bring is strictly limited. Every member of Congress gets a ‘plus one’ and can invite one guest. The Speaker of the House can invite 24 guests who sit with him in his box. Even the President is limited in the number of guests he can invite-- the First Lady gets in by virtue of her position but 24 guests are allowed to join her. The Cabinet, Supreme Court justices, assorted members of the Diplomatic Corps, and Joint Chiefs of Staff are also in attendance and are the only attendees with the exception of the President and Speaker of the House that get "reserved seating." Congress has "first come first serve" seating.
Before we look at Murphy's odds, keep in mind that in betting lingo, a negative number (generally representing the "Favorite") = how much you have to bet to profit $100. A positive number = how much you profit if you bet $100.
Will Trump mention ‘fake news’ in his address to Congress?

Yes: -110
No: -110

Will Trump mention ‘Russia’ in his address to Congress?

Yes: +130
No: -150

Will Trump mention ‘Neil Gorsuch’ in his address to Congress?

Yes: -300
No: +250

Will Trump mention ‘Chuck Schumer’ in in his address to Congress?

Yes: -300
No: +250

Will Trump mention ‘9th Circuit’ in his address to Congress?

Yes: +450
No: -600

Will Trump mention ‘Twitter’ in his address to Congress?

Yes: +250
No: -400

Will Trump mention ‘Vladimir Putin’ in his address to Congress?

Yes: +175
No: -200

Will Trump mention the Academy Awards or any award winner in his address to Congress?

Yes: +450
No: -600

Will Trump’s address to Congress be disrupted by a protester?

Yes: +210
No: -250

Will Donald Trump be President on 12/31/17 at 11:59 PM Eastern?

Yes: -750
No: +500

Number Donald Trump Tweets that include the exact word ‘dishonest’ from 2/27/17 at 12:01 AM Eastern through 3/5/17 at 11:59 PM Eastern?

Over 2.5: +130
Under 2.5: -150

Number Donald Trump Tweets that include the exact word ‘fake’ from 2/27/17 at 12:01 AM Eastern through 3/5/17 at 11:59 PM Eastern?

Over 4.5: -120
Under 4.5: +100

Number Donald Trump Tweets that include the exact word ‘great’ from 2/27/17 at 12:01 AM Eastern through 3/5/17 at 11:59 PM Eastern?

Over 3.5: -150
Under 3.5: +130

Number Donald Trump Tweets that include the exact word ‘illegal’ from 2/27/17 at 12:01 AM Eastern through 3/5/17 at 11:59 PM Eastern?

Over 1.5: +110
Under 1.5: -130

Number Donald Trump Tweets that include the exact word ‘sad’ from 2/27/17 at 12:01 AM Eastern through 3/5/17 at 11:59 PM Eastern?

Over 1.5: +120
Under 1.5: -140

Which of these Donald Trump appointees will be the next to leave their job (fired or resigned)?

Sean Spicer: +450
Rex Tillerson: +750
Jeff Sessions: +750
Betsy DeVoss: +750
Kellyanne Conway: +750
James Mattis: +1150
Rick Perry: +1150
Steve Bannon: +1150
Ben Carson: +1150
Alexander Acosta: +1500
Elaine Chao: +2100
Ryan Zinke: +2100
Sonny Purdue: +2100
Steven Mnuchin: +2750
Wilbur Ross: +2750
Tom Price: +2750
John F. Kelly: +2750
Reince Priebus: +2750
Mike Pence: +4500

Will construction begin on Trump’s wall between the US and Mexico during 2017?

Yes: +500
No: -700

Will a US State declare independence before 12/31/18?

Yes: +7500
No: -12500


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