Two Months From Tomorrow...

But rotten conservative DCCC staffer is working to undermine him

Saturday, President Obama headlined a rally in Anaheim for California Democratic candidates that the DCCC is pushing: Katie Porter, Harley Rouda, Mike Levin, Gil Cisneros, Josh Harder and T.J. Cox. Katie Hill was also invited but had a previous commitment. Conservative racist staffers at the DCCC are seeking to undermine Ammar Campa-Najjar, who infuriated them by beating their right-wing corporate schmuck candidate in the primary, so they didn't invite him. Ammar,who used to work for Obama, was personally invited by the president and showed up-- but was kept off the stage by a DCCC stooge, Kyle Layman, who doesn't care what President Obama wants as long as he can fulfill his own right-wing agenda. People are always asking me what Layman has over Dan Sena and Ben Ray Lujan that make them keep him around. He really is a cancer on the 2018 election cycle. You can say "fuck you" to the DCCC by contributing to Ammar's campaign here. Obama seemed to be promising ultimate hope for Americans sick of the lies, chaos and dysfunction that define the Trump Regime and the Republicans in Congress who enable it: "When we're not stepping up, other voices fill the void. The good news is in two months, we have a chance to restore sanity in our politics."

Over the weekend, Phil Rucker at the Washington Post, among others, made the point that the midterms have shaped up to be all about Trump-- very bad news for Republicans, especially for Republicans in swing districts where Trump is detested. Even when poll respondents say they will be voting on issues like healthcare or jobs, ultimately it is always either a wish to find candidates to hold Trump accountable or, among imbeciles, a wish to find candidates to back Trump's toxic, suicidal agenda that dominates.

Rucker wrote that "The Nov. 6 election that will determine control of Congress is likely to hinge on the president-- the man and his rash actions, more so than his policies-- to a remarkable degree. The spike in Democratic enthusiasm that has Republicans fearful of losing their House majority is driven largely by opposition to Trump personally-- his attacks on civic institutions, his impetuousness and the chaos that tornadoes around him-- strategists on both sides say."

Mike Allen reported that on Wednesday afternoon, Republican congressional leaders met with Trump in the Roosevelt Room. They were cranky and complaining-- the House leaders know they're likely to be in the minority come January, helped along by his tariffs and unpopularity. POTUS shared their mood: This was Woodward-anonymous week." Claims that Trump, an economic illiterate and bumbling moron, is behind the economic expansion that Obama engineered and put into play, are not going to do much for Republicans in November, primarily because, as Allen writes, "despite relative prosperity in the nation and peace in the world, both sides expect a slash-and-burn fall-- focused on what they see as the evil intent of the other side, and aimed at inflaming their own voters." In the end, more voters hate Trump than like him. He's incredibly unpopular going into a first term midterm and it is not a stretch to see his party lose 60 or more seats. (If the DCCC didn't exist in its current form, there is little doubt the Republicans would lose 100 seats.)

The latest poll by IPSOS for Reuters is just devastating for Trump and his supporters. Among registered voters 55% disapprove and just 42% approve. It's even worse among independents-- who will determine the midterm results-- 56% disapproving and just 38% approving.

In terms of Congress, disapproval was even worse. Among Democrats 76% disapprove of the way Congress is handling its job. 56% of Republicans agree and so do 66% of independents. When asked which party's candidate they plan to vote for in November, 44% said Democrats and 35% said Republicans. Among independents only 18% say they plan to vote for a Republican (while 29% say they'll vote for a Democrat).

How are these numbers impacting individual races? Last week Marist polled Indiana's Senate race for NBC. With a statewide R+9 PVI (same as Mississippi and Missouri), Indiana gave Trump a 1,557,286 (56.8%) to 1,033,126 (37.9%) win over Hillary. She won only 4 of the state's 92 counties. The new poll shows Democrat Joe Donnelly beating Trumpist Mike Braun 49-43% among likely voters.

Tennessee is even redder than Indiana. The statewide PVI Is R+14. Trump eviscerated Hillary 1,522,925 (60.7%) to 870,695 (34.7%). She won 3 counties out of the state's 95.And yet... all the non-partisan polling shows Democrat Phil Bredensen leading extreme Trumpist Marsha Blackburn. The latest, by Marist for NBC, has Bredesen beating Blackburn 48-44% among registered voters and 48-46% among likely voters.

Florida is the ultimate swing state. The PVI is R+2 and Trump did narrowly beat Hillary 4,617,886 (49% to 48.8%) but all the post-primary gubernatorial polls show progressive Democrat Andrew Gillum beating far right Trumpist Ron DeSantis. The most recent poll, by Quinnipiac shows Gillum leading 50% to 47%. Trump's negative popularity rating in the state is hurting DeSantis.

Texas is to the GOP what California is to the Democrats. But this year, Ted Cruz's Texas Senate seat is a "toss-up." The most recent poll, by Emerson, shows a dead-heat, well within the margin of error between Democrat Beto O'Rourke and Cruz, who TRump's budget director, Mick Mulvaney, says may be too unlikable to win.

But it isn't just how unlikable Cruz is. Of Texas' 36 congressional districts, 25 are held by Republicans. Of those 25, there are 11 in danger of flipping blue!

• TX-02, where Todd Litton (D) has a $407,675 to $100,252 cash advantage over Dan Crenshaw (R)
• TX-06 , where Jana Lynne Sanchez (D has a $67,772- $25,157 cash advantage over Ron Wright (R)
• TX-07, where Democratic challenger Lizzie Fletcher has outraised GOP incumbent John Culberson $2,312,615 to $2,007,183
• TX-10, where progressive Mike Siegel may be on the verge of pulling off one of the cycle's biggest shocks by beating Michael McCaul
• TX-21, where Joseph Kopser (D) outraised Chip Roy (R) $1,550,139 to $934,789
• TX-23, where Gina Jones (D) is running neck and neck with Republican incumbent Will Hurd
• TX-31, where MJ Hegar has outraised incumbent John Carter $1,612,439 to $996,707
• TX-32, where Colin Allred has pulled ahead of Pete Sessions
• TX-36, where Dayna Steele is also on the verge of one of the cycle's biggest upsets by toppling Trumpist dentist Brian Babin.

Please consider helping turn win back Texas by clicking on this Blue America Texas thermometer and contributing what you can to Beto and the progressive Democrats running for congressional seats: