Sunday, September 02, 2018

Fixing The Democratic Primary Against Bernie Is The One And Only Goal Of The Democratic Establishment For 2020

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I read yesterday that John Kerry is thinking about running for president again. There's a huge battle brewing inside the Democratic Party over who the corporate Dem who will be the representative of the status quo ante to go up against Bernie will be. I gather Biden-- the banksters' best friend-- is the first choice but there are dozens of corporate Dems who love a shot at it.

Yesterday David Siders wrote in Politico about the latest way the establishment thinks it can stop Bernie-- Whoever wins South Carolina will be the Democratic nominee. Democratic voters in New Hampshire and Iowa are too difficult to manipulate however...

Siders doesn't call them cocksucking corporate leaches; he refers to them as "top Democrats." Is there a "top Democrat committee?" Let's see... Joe Crowley, Debbie Wasserman Schultz, Joe Lieberman, George Norcross, Harry Reid, Rahm Emanuel, Ed Rendell, Kirk Watson, Jim Clyburn... Gretchen Whitmer’s father, Richard, the king of Blue Cross/Blue Shield? Is that who Siders meant? The strategy is to find a voting base that will vote for the establishment candidate, not for Bernie. "In the wake of South Carolina’s pivotal role in the past two competitive Democratic presidential contests," wrote Siders, "top Democrats are beginning to rethink their traditional approach to primary season, and focus their energy on the first Southern state to vote. It’s a tacit acknowledgment of the essential role African American voters play within the Democratic Party as much as it is a nod to recent primary election results. With the racially diverse Obama coalition increasingly viewed as the key to the party’s future, the two early states that have historically overshadowed South Carolina-- Iowa and New Hampshire-- are suddenly looking outmoded to many Democrats."
Iowa- Bernie- 49.6%, Hillary- 49.9%
New Hampshire- Bernie- 60.4%, Hillary- 38.0%
South Carolina- Bernie- 26.0%, Hillary 73.5%
Ummm... let's see... which state with the conservative self-serving establishment want. Hard to tell? Let's find someone super corrupt and ask him. Hold on while I think of a real scumbag... or a few of them.
“The primary process in selecting a candidate will now not be determined by the Iowas and New Hampshires,” said former New Mexico Gov. Bill Richardson, who ran for president in 2008. “It will be a long, drawn out affair, and the first big test will be South Carolina to see who is strongest among the party’s base, the African American base of the Democratic Party.”

The floodgates are poised to open within weeks. In early jockeying ahead of the 2020 primary, Joe Biden, Deval Patrick and Eric Holder are all expected to travel to South Carolina before November’s midterm elections. Kamala Harris is likely to visit. Eric Garcetti is scheduled to return to the state in late September, and Terry McAuliffe is hosting a fundraiser in Washington for James Smith, South Carolina’s Democratic gubernatorial nominee.

Former Vice President Joe Biden has lent his endorsement not only to Smith, but also to Dick Harpootlian, a former state Democratic Party chairman running for a state Senate seat.

In part, the candidates’ early focus on South Carolina reflects the path Obama and Clinton took to the Democratic nomination. The state helped to cement their credentials with black voters, a crucial demographic both in South Carolina and in the states whose elections will quickly follow.

By mid-March alone in 2016, the presidential primary campaign had already run through 10 states with black primary turnout exceeding 25 percent, according to CNN exit polls. In 2020, North Carolina-- a key swing state with black turnout of 32 percent two years ago-- is moving its primary to early March, as well.

Iowa and New Hampshire are demographically among the whitest states in the nation.

“You have to think about where the party is now,” said Jaime Harrison, associate chair of the Democratic National Committee and a former South Carolina state party chair. “You’ve got some people who are still using a 1980s model for running for president, which is ‘I just need to camp out in Iowa and New Hampshire … The Democratic Party now looks very different than it did in the 80s or 90s, or even the 2000s. The question is, how are you going to appeal to people of color, which are now the backbone of this party?”

Harrison added, “The best way to test that is in South Carolina … I think that’s going to be really, really important component of the presidential race this time around.”

The Rev. Leah Daughtry, a longtime Democratic operative who served as CEO of the 2008 and 2016 Democratic National Convention committees, said, “Given the demographic changes in the country and the growing activism of African American voters, I think over time … there is a growing idea among the party regulars that Iowa, New Hampshire are not demographically representative of who the party is.”

She said, “At what point does the weight of their significance shift? I think the perception is shifting now.”

In addition to South Carolina’s relatively small size and inexpensive cost of advertising, the state’s Republican-heavy politics have afforded potential 2020 candidates an opening to help underfunded Democrats within the state without appearing overtly solicitous of attention for their own ambitions.

That red-state status is one reason candidates are focusing now, in the midterm election year, on South Carolina-- and not on California, a massive, delegate-heavy state that is moving earlier in the primary season in 2020, but where top-of-the-ticket Democrats do not need assistance.
You want a red state? OK, how about West Virginia? No? Too progressive? In 2016, Bernie beat Hillary 51.4% to 35.8%. Too white.

OK. How about a swing state? Michigan is more purple than red-- and about a third of the population is non-white. Good enough? No, Bernie won the primary 49.8% to 48.3%-- even with a massive Wayne County turnout for Hillary-- 163,886 (60.0%) to 104,999 (38.4%). Scratch them.
Earlier this year, Biden, who has cultivated extensive ties in South Carolina, endorsed Smith in a video message at the state Democratic Party’s convention. Garcetti, the Los Angeles mayor, is scheduled to keynote a fundraiser for the Charleston County Democratic Party on Sept. 23, after previously raising money for the state party.

California Rep. Adam Schiff, Ohio Rep. Tim Ryan and former New Orleans Mayor Mitch Landrieu [all horrible but hoping to land a VP slot] have appeared in the state, as has Sen. Jeff Merkley of Oregon. Maryland Rep. John Delaney, who has already announced his presidential campaign, traveled to South Carolina in April, before going on to visit all 99 counties in Iowa.

Garcetti adviser Bill Carrick, a South Carolina native who managed Missouri Rep. Dick Gephardt’s 1988 presidential campaign, said he expects Iowa to “eliminate some people who won’t go to South Carolina or, if they go there, they won’t be taken seriously.”

But in an unwieldy candidate field where everyone “other than Sen. [Bernie] Sanders and Vice President Biden, the rest of them are going to be scrambling to be in the top tier,” Carrick said South Carolina presents an opportunity for a candidate to distinguish himself or herself in a diverse but relatively small state.

“It’s not a mega-state, so people can go forward and communicate there,” he said. “I would not underestimate its influence in this process.”

While Iowa and New Hampshire will likely remain “make or break” states for long-shot candidates, said former Pennsylvania Gov. Ed Rendell, higher profile candidates will find that “South Carolina [comes] pretty fast after New Hampshire, so you could certainly regenerate your chances by doing well in South Carolina.”

“Hillary barely won in Iowa, right? She got clobbered in New Hampshire,” said Rendell, a former DNC chairman. “But she won South Carolina, and that really boosted her.”

He said, “I don’t think anybody can take the Bernie Sanders route to the nomination, which is, Bernie Sanders got wiped out in the South.”

Goal ThermometerAt its recent meeting in Chicago, the Democratic National Committee adopted rules confirming Iowa, once again, as the first caucus state in 2020. In a prepared statement, the Iowa Democratic Party chairman, Troy Price, called hosting the caucuses an “awesome responsibility.”

“[But] assuming you have a split between Iowa and New Hampshire, South Carolina becomes critical,” said Bob Shrum, a longtime political strategist who served on multiple Democratic presidential campaigns.”

Before California and its massive delegate haul, he said, “South Carolina would be the next signal, and primary voters are always looking for signals.”

In South Carolina, Seawright puts that sentiment in spiritual terms.

“Anyone who’s thinking about, or flirting with, the idea of running for president in the Democratic primary in 2020 understands two things,” he said. "The road to heaven and the road to the White House runs through South Carolina, and very likely, whoever wins South Carolina will be the Democratic nominee for president in 2020.”
Beating Trump should be a slam dunk. But leave it to the corporate Democrap establishment to fuck that up-- and permanently destroy the Democratic Party in the process. The thermometer above in for the Bernie Sanders campaign, presumably for a Sanders/Warren ticket.



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11 Comments:

At 7:02 AM, Blogger leu2500 said...

And these establishment strategists should be believed why? They are the same ones who said Hillary was a slam dunk against Trump.

 
At 7:08 AM, Anonymous ap215 said...

This too is a screwup by the establishment.

http://thehill.com/homenews/campaign/391459-dnc-panel-adopts-rule-requiring-candidates-to-run-serve-as-a-democrat

 
At 7:12 AM, Anonymous Anonymous said...

Yep. The "party" is "fixing" it so their corporate donor base (the only base that counts) gets what they want. Voters being too goddamn stupid to know any better will gleefully accept another cycle of being ratfucked by the money.

Sounds like everything is STILL getting worse and worse. Just like 1981 to now.

epiphany yet?

 
At 8:29 AM, Anonymous Anonymous said...

I am astounded that an entire Party trembles in fear that a Democratic Socialist is far more popular than they are, and that he might defeat them in a fair contest. I bet they wish they still had the services of Dick Tuck!

The "democrats'" "Southern Strategy" should be making African-Americans most upset. The Party appears to believe that they know best, and all they have to do is remind they's chillins about that fact. Then they will vote as they are expected to. Can't have the servant class think for themselves! Wouldn't be prudent!

And it's good to see the recognition of the likelihood that the "democrats" will again snatch defeat from the jaws of victory.

It's what they get paid to do!

 
At 11:54 AM, Anonymous Anonymous said...

These folks are just quad annual voter rustlers trying to create a stampede by yelling "Yeee haaaH Yee haaah (shoot gun in the air) South Carolina South Carolina!!!". They got TV analyst along the trail hitting them with the same images. Where the hell is Sheriff Bernie?

 
At 12:09 PM, Anonymous Anonymous said...

In response to 9:50 am, the Democratic party would like to remind the hoipolloi that its shit stinks a very little bit less than that of the GOP.

 
At 12:51 PM, Blogger hester said...

Imho, the Democratic "leaders' would prefer Trump to Bernie. They might get their wish. Phuckers never learn.

 
At 2:20 PM, Anonymous Anonymous said...

12:09, it does not.

herbivore (democrap) shit often stinks worse than carnivore (Nazi) shit.

 
At 3:13 PM, Anonymous Anonymous said...

John Joseph of the Cro-Mags would disagree with that. In his book titled Meat Is For Pussies, he recounts a time a repair man took a huge shit in his restroom after eating pork or some shit, and ever since then he's had a sign on his bathroom door saying "vegetarians only".

 
At 12:45 PM, Anonymous Anonymous said...

Does anyone remember 1968? The 'craps ratfucked their voters by rigging it for Humphrey, the john Kerry of his time (better, smarter warmonger), and telling all who voted for Gene McCarthy (the only remaining anti-war candidate after RFK was blown away). McCarthy got more primary votes but not a winning delegate count in a very split race. But add RFK's numbers and it should have put McCarthy into the race against the hated (even in his own party) Nixon.

Somehow, the issues that resonated, largely anti-war, became secondary to running a "viable" candidate for the money and the white war-loving, communism-phobic cracker demo (remember the south had been assimilated into the Nazi party due to LBJ's signing of voting and civil rights). Some things never change, well, except 10s of thousands, mostly students, protested the 'crap betrayal and caused mayor daley to order his police to start a riot... on TV!! Today, nobody would protest... or did I miss it in 2016's ratfucking of Bernie?? didn't think so.

Would McCarthy have stayed silent on Nixon's treason, as HHH and LBJ did? Unknown.

But voting showed that we voters WANTED to cast our votes to end the viet nam war. The 'craps did not allow us to do so.

Like I said, some things never change.

BECAUSE WE NEVER MAKE IT CHANGE!!

 
At 8:05 PM, Anonymous Anonymous said...

You missed 2016 because every time it appeared in the mainstream news, they immediately cut to whatever distraction or misdirection they could.

 

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